AU - Sale - Race 9

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

8.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

24.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Keen to side with PLACENTIA BAY (3) in the last. He resumed from a very long spell over 1m at Bendigo and ran a very encouraging race to finish second, beaten 1.3 lengths. He should only improve off that and will go close if that's the case. RAZANNE (8) was a narrow maiden winner first up, struggling badly last time in tougher company when failing to beat a runner home. Drawn wide here but can bounce back. JEWEL BAY (1) doesn't win out of turn but is going okay and comes back in grade for this. He can figure. LEFT HOOK (10) was just fair last time at Geelong but was solid prior and is in the mix. BANK HEIST (4) has won two on the bounce and has to be respected again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Second run back. First-up after nearly two years 2nd of 11 in a Bm66 at Bendigo on July 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Hawk Power carrying 129lbs at $10. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 in a 0 - 64 at Bendigo on September 25 2024 over 1m, nose behind Theophilus with 131lbs at $7. Fitter and sets up very well. 1st Pick 3 Placentia Bay Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Jamie Mott T: Shane Jackson	117	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Second run back. First-up after nearly two years 2nd of 11 in a Bm66 at Bendigo on July 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Hawk Power carrying 129lbs at $10. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 in a 0 - 64 at Bendigo on September 25 2024 over 1m, nose behind Theophilus with 131lbs at $7. Fitter and sets up very well.
8	Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield and won by a long-neck at Geelong on July 10 over 7 ¼f on a heavy track defeating Mordu with 127lbs at $2.60. Last start ran last of 8 in a 3yo F Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Censori carrying 125lbs at $15. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 2nd Pick 8 Razanne Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	130	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield and won by a long-neck at Geelong on July 10 over 7 ¼f on a heavy track defeating Mordu with 127lbs at $2.60. Last start ran last of 8 in a 3yo F Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Censori carrying 125lbs at $15. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.
1	At the latest run 6th of 12 in a Bm70 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Stay Silent carrying 130lbs at $26. Before that 4th of 13 in a Bm62 at Cranbourne on July 16 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Touxlove carrying 136lbs at $9.50. In a suitable race and is a winning chance. 3rd Pick 1 Jewel Bay Jockey: Jackson Radley Trainer: Andrea Leek J: Jackson Radley T: Andrea Leek	156	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 12 in a Bm70 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Stay Silent carrying 130lbs at $26. Before that 4th of 13 in a Bm62 at Cranbourne on July 16 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Touxlove carrying 136lbs at $9.50. In a suitable race and is a winning chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.