AU - Sale - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

24.2K

VIEW

Verdict

LULU DARLING (3) is racing well, placing in 4 of her 5 runs this time in, just finding a handy one too smart at Pakenham last time out over this distance. She can land in a handy, trailing position from the inside gate here and a repeat of last start sees her very hard to hold out. SMALL TOWN HERO (4) is another knocking on the door having just found one better in his past three. He'll put himself somewhere up near the pace and give a sight. GARNACHO (2) will be better over further but is still expected to sprint well fresh. I'M DYNAMITE (9) hasn't been far away of late and appears the next in line.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run 2nd of 11 at Pakenham Bm62 on March 5 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Alero with 129lbs at $18. The race before that 6th of 10 at Pakenham Bm62 on February 5 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Factcheck carrying 130lbs at $8. Nearing a win and looks hard to beat. 1st Pick 3 Lulu Darling Jockey: Koby Jennings Trainer: Michael Huglin J: Koby Jennings T: Michael Huglin	120	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 11 at Pakenham Bm62 on March 5 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Alero with 129lbs at $18. The race before that 6th of 10 at Pakenham Bm62 on February 5 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Factcheck carrying 130lbs at $8. Nearing a win and looks hard to beat.
4	Form hard to fault. Last start sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 at Yarra Valley Bm62 on March 15 over 6f, long-neck behind Superset with 128lbs at $5. The run before that 2nd of 8 at this track 0 - 62 on March 1 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Jett Smash with 129lbs at $3.60. Knocking on the door and will take beating. 2nd Pick 4 Small Town Hero Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Brett Conlon J: Jake Noonan T: Brett Conlon	100	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 at Yarra Valley Bm62 on March 15 over 6f, long-neck behind Superset with 128lbs at $5. The run before that 2nd of 8 at this track 0 - 62 on March 1 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Jett Smash with 129lbs at $3.60. Knocking on the door and will take beating.
1	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Yarra Valley Bm56 January 13 over 7 ½f defeating Trinity's D'oro carrying 136lbs at $16. Second run from a spell 6th of 12 at Echuca Bm62 on March 8 over 7f, 3 len behind Fire Tribe carrying 133lbs at $7.50. Can improve. Certainly worth another chance. 3rd Pick 1 Ioane Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Amy & Ash Yargi J: Non Runner T: Amy & Ash Yargi	81	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Yarra Valley Bm56 January 13 over 7 ½f defeating Trinity's D'oro carrying 136lbs at $16. Second run from a spell 6th of 12 at Echuca Bm62 on March 8 over 7f, 3 len behind Fire Tribe carrying 133lbs at $7.50. Can improve. Certainly worth another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.