AU - Sale - Race 7

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

7.1f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

25.0K

VIEW

Verdict

BAJARIA (10) finds a much more suitable race having contested a much stronger BM64 at Caulfield Heath last time and struggling. The two runs prior to start the campaign read nicely for this with a pair of runner up finishes and anything like that sees her go close. Wary of SCALABLE (9) who ran a good race first up at Pakenham when beaten a nose. She's off 39 days here which is interesting but she should prove hard to hold out. FATTY FINN (1) won well enough in a dash home here last start to beat Just For Kicks comfortably, which we should get a guide to earlier. He can roll forward and give a sight again. DECANTED (7) is another second up but off a let up, struggling as favourite at Cranbourne on soft ground. He can improve sharply here. SO YOU EXCEL (12) won her maiden narrowly here last time out and has claims off that.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Most recently second last of 9 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm64 on April 29 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Empire Song carrying 126lbs at $10. The start before that 2nd in a small field at Pakenham Cl1 on April 9 over 6f, slow going nose behind Humble Trader carrying 125lbs at $2.80. Should bounce back to form. 1st Pick 10 Bajaria Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Peter Gelagotis J: Jye Mcneil T: Peter Gelagotis	159	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently second last of 9 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm64 on April 29 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Empire Song carrying 126lbs at $10. The start before that 2nd in a small field at Pakenham Cl1 on April 9 over 6f, slow going nose behind Humble Trader carrying 125lbs at $2.80. Should bounce back to form.
9	Second run back. Comes off a 38-day let-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 8 at Pakenham F&M Bm62 on April 9 over 7f, slow going nose behind Cooly carrying 128lbs at $9. Previously second-up ran last of 7 at Randwick 3&4yo Bm78 on November 1 over 7 ½f, slow going 15 len behind Rotagilla carrying 115lbs at $8.50. Fitter and a strong chance. 2nd Pick 9 Scalable Jockey: Luke Nolen Trainer: Emma-Lee & David Browne J: Luke Nolen T: Emma-Lee & David Browne	102	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Second run back. Comes off a 38-day let-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 8 at Pakenham F&M Bm62 on April 9 over 7f, slow going nose behind Cooly carrying 128lbs at $9. Previously second-up ran last of 7 at Randwick 3&4yo Bm78 on November 1 over 7 ½f, slow going 15 len behind Rotagilla carrying 115lbs at $8.50. Fitter and a strong chance.
1	Form hard to fault. Comes off a 39 day let-up. Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at this track Mdn-Sw April 8 over 7f defeating Just For Kicks with 130lbs at $2.10. The run before that 2nd of 10 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on March 26 over 7f, in the wet, 2.5 len behind On The Prowl carrying 130lbs at $11. Can go on with it. 3rd Pick 1 Fatty Finn Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Charlotte Littlefield J: Ben Allen T: Charlotte Littlefield	130	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes off a 39 day let-up. Most recently favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at this track Mdn-Sw April 8 over 7f defeating Just For Kicks with 130lbs at $2.10. The run before that 2nd of 10 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on March 26 over 7f, in the wet, 2.5 len behind On The Prowl carrying 130lbs at $11. Can go on with it.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.