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5:00 AM

AU - Sale - Race 6

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
5f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 9
24.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BOLD SUITOR (3) goes on top. He got his maiden out of the way two back at Pakenham and was very good again there last time in a BM62 when just finding one better. This looks a touch easier and he'll be very hard to get by. YEAH RIGHT (5) ran first up in a stronger race at Caulfield heath, boxing on fairly for a narrow sixth. He can improve quickly off that given he's lightly raced and the inside gate should see him right up on the pace. INTRIGUING STATE (6) resumes. He's a very lightly raced 7yo who was racing well last time in. He did win his maiden easily first up last time in, respecting. SHE DARESTHE DEVIL (7) ran a solid race fist up at Pakenham and can improve, albeit she struggles to win.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Bold Suitor silk

Third-up today. First-up favourite, won by a long-neck at Pakenham 3yo Mdn-Sw February 26 over 5f in soft going defeating Big Kapow carrying 128lbs at $3.70. Second run from a spell 2nd in a small field at Pakenham Bm62 on March 19 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind My Zephyr carrying 131lbs at $2.90. Going well and will take catching in this.

1st Pick
3

Bold Suitor

Jockey: Jake Noonan

Trainer: Tony Noonan

J: Jake Noonan

T: Tony Noonan

189---45%5/4

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up favourite, won by a long-neck at Pakenham 3yo Mdn-Sw February 26 over 5f in soft going defeating Big Kapow carrying 128lbs at $3.70. Second run from a spell 2nd in a small field at Pakenham Bm62 on March 19 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind My Zephyr carrying 131lbs at $2.90. Going well and will take catching in this.

5
Yeah Right silk

Second-up. First-up after eight months 6th of 10 at Caulfield Heath Bm62 on March 4 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Commands Success carrying 127lbs at $13. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at Moe Mdn-Sw on May 13 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Sun Setting with 122lbs at $4.40. Finds a nice race and sets up very well.

2nd Pick
5

Yeah Right

Jockey: Luke Cartwright

Trainer: Lyn Tolson & Leonie Proctor

J: Luke Cartwright

T: Lyn Tolson & Leonie Proctor

105---29%5/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after eight months 6th of 10 at Caulfield Heath Bm62 on March 4 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Commands Success carrying 127lbs at $13. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at Moe Mdn-Sw on May 13 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Sun Setting with 122lbs at $4.40. Finds a nice race and sets up very well.

6
Intriguing State silk

Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation sixth of 13 at Echuca Bm56 October 20 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Auckland carrying 134lbs at $5.50. Previous preparation first-up won by 3 len Bairnsdale Mdn-Sw July 21 over 5f slow track defeating Castelli In Aria with 131lbs at $17. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Should run a bold race fresh.

3rd Pick
6

Intriguing State

Jockey: Thomas Stockdale

Trainer: Kasey Wilson

J: Thomas Stockdale

T: Kasey Wilson

76---15%6/1

Analysis

Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation sixth of 13 at Echuca Bm56 October 20 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Auckland carrying 134lbs at $5.50. Previous preparation first-up won by 3 len Bairnsdale Mdn-Sw July 21 over 5f slow track defeating Castelli In Aria with 131lbs at $17. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Should run a bold race fresh.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.