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6:00 AM

AU - Sale - Race 6

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
24.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RADICAL DUDE (5) was in control from the outset to score as a heavily supported favourite on debut over 6f at Cranbourne two-and-a-half weeks ago, coming right away to win by 3.5 lengths in a field of four. Harder now but he looks more than capable of winning again. ROSA AOTEAROA (2) resumes with imposing form last time in work, just missing here then winning 2/3, far too good at Mornington before a break. He looks to have trialled very nicely and can pick up where he left off. TWO TO TANGO (7) was an impressive maiden winner last time out, scoring by 1.5 lengths over 5 ½f at Pakenham. Tipping she can measure right up. THE MANSMAN (4) resumes. This may be too sharp but he can be working home late. DAILY BUGLE (1) perhaps next best.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Radical Dude silk

Was well-supported at debut, won favourite, won by 3.5 len at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw March 20 over 6f defeating Wyandra carrying 128lbs at $1.30. Looks very good and will be well fancied to remain unbeaten.

1st Pick
5

Radical Dude

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman

J: Non Runner

T: Anthony & Sam Freedman

188---29%5/2

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, won favourite, won by 3.5 len at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw March 20 over 6f defeating Wyandra carrying 128lbs at $1.30. Looks very good and will be well fancied to remain unbeaten.

2
Rosa Aotearoa silk

Gelding back from a spell of four-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation won by 1.5 len Mornington Cg&E Bm62 November 27 over 6f defeating Russian Front carrying 131lbs at $2.70. When resuming last campaign second of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw October 8 over 5 ½f, a nose behind Bajaria with 131lbs at $15. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Profiles well and will take catching.

2nd Pick
2

Rosa Aotearoa

Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse

Trainer: Reece Goodwin

J: Daniel Stackhouse

T: Reece Goodwin

131---48%11/10

Analysis

Gelding back from a spell of four-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation won by 1.5 len Mornington Cg&E Bm62 November 27 over 6f defeating Russian Front carrying 131lbs at $2.70. When resuming last campaign second of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw October 8 over 5 ½f, a nose behind Bajaria with 131lbs at $15. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Profiles well and will take catching.

7
Two To Tango silk

Second-up. First start sat behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 13 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Chateau Vega carrying 123lbs at $3.30. Went for a break before returning came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 1.5 len at Pakenham Mdn-Sw March 19 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Unriddle with 126lbs at $9. Can go on with it now.

3rd Pick
7

Two To Tango

Jockey: Ben Allen

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Ben Allen

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

195---23%7/2

Analysis

Second-up. First start sat behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 13 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Chateau Vega carrying 123lbs at $3.30. Went for a break before returning came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 1.5 len at Pakenham Mdn-Sw March 19 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Unriddle with 126lbs at $9. Can go on with it now.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.