AU - Sale - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

7.1f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

24.8K

VIEW

Verdict

DIAMOND GUST (5) looks well placed to break through here. Three runs this time in have been rock solid, just finding the talented All Business too strong last start at Geelong. He's been given a freshen since then and finds what looks to be an ideal race. PAVLICH (6) resumes. He was a narrow maiden winner before a spell, winning by a nose at Kilmore. He's only off a short spell so should hold some residual fitness and has plenty of upside. MARLION'S DREAM (7) ran well fresh at Pakenham over 6f, getting home late to grab third. The extra distance will suit nicely and he'll be hard to hold out. LULU DARLING (8) was just fair at Pakenham last time but had been knocking on the door prior and will be up on speed here. QUELLO DORATO (4) resumes with the ability to win if forward enough.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Racing well recently. Returns from a 34-day let-up. Last start 2nd of 11 at Geelong Bm66 on January 26 over 7 ¾f, 1.3 len behind All Business with 125lbs at $6.50. Before that 3rd of 9 at this track Bm62 on January 8 over 7f, 1.4 len behind In Her Stride with 129lbs at $2.10. Brings the A1 form to this and will go close. 1st Pick 5 Diamond Gust Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Ben Allen T: Matt Laurie	175	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Racing well recently. Returns from a 34-day let-up. Last start 2nd of 11 at Geelong Bm66 on January 26 over 7 ¾f, 1.3 len behind All Business with 125lbs at $6.50. Before that 3rd of 9 at this track Bm62 on January 8 over 7f, 1.4 len behind In Her Stride with 129lbs at $2.10. Brings the A1 form to this and will go close.
6	He is resuming after a three-and-a-half months break. Not seen since winning by nose Kilmore Mdn-Sw November 23 over 7 ¼f slow track defeating Mystic Rapture with 128lbs at $3.10. On debut third of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw November 8 over 6f, on heavy track, 0.5 len behind Infinite Jest with 128lbs at $3.60. Expecting improvement this time in. 2nd Pick 6 Pavlich Jockey: Patrick Moloney Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Patrick Moloney T: Matt Laurie	84	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis He is resuming after a three-and-a-half months break. Not seen since winning by nose Kilmore Mdn-Sw November 23 over 7 ¼f slow track defeating Mystic Rapture with 128lbs at $3.10. On debut third of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw November 8 over 6f, on heavy track, 0.5 len behind Infinite Jest with 128lbs at $3.60. Expecting improvement this time in.
7	Second-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Bm62 on February 5 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Blue Hawaiian carrying 130lbs at $10. Previously second-up settled back and ran on when 6th of 10 at Pakenham Bm64 on March 27 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Peel The Stickers carrying 130lbs at $26. Can improve and take plenty of beating. 3rd Pick 7 Marlion's Dream Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Bill Papazaharoudakis J: Non Runner T: Bill Papazaharoudakis	90	-	-	-	12%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Bm62 on February 5 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Blue Hawaiian carrying 130lbs at $10. Previously second-up settled back and ran on when 6th of 10 at Pakenham Bm64 on March 27 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Peel The Stickers carrying 130lbs at $26. Can improve and take plenty of beating.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.