AU - Sale - Race 4

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

39.4K

VIEW

Verdict

KEEN OBSERVER (5) has just found one better in three starts to date, all on heavy ground. He was well backed last time at Seymour and bumped into a smart one. He'll roll forward and take catching. TROUBLE'N PARADISE (2) resumes. He showed ability early last campaign and should be an improver this time around. He'll kick up and take some catching. CLASSIC SECRET (12) ran a good race behind a very good filly on debut at Geelong to grab third. Better for that and should get a nice run midfield. RUN RUN WIN (11) can run well on debut for the Price & Kent Jnr yard. Gelding by Wild Ruler who profiles well for this being a son of the stakes-winning mare Make My Own Luck.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when 3rd in a small field in the LR Valley Pearl (St Albans Stakes) at Caulfield on March 21 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Rich On Bubbles with 128lbs at $14. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Suited back to maiden company and sets up well. 1st Pick 4 Blue And Gold Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Cindy Alderson J: Non Runner T: Cindy Alderson	178	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when 3rd in a small field in the LR Valley Pearl (St Albans Stakes) at Caulfield on March 21 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Rich On Bubbles with 128lbs at $14. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Suited back to maiden company and sets up well.
5	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd in a small field in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 27 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Autumn In Grinzing with 128lbs at $1.80. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Geelong on August 14 over 6f, on heavy track, 0.5 len behind Greenwich Boy carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Ready to break through at peak fitness. 2nd Pick 5 Keen Observer Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Non Runner T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	197	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd in a small field in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Seymour on August 27 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Autumn In Grinzing with 128lbs at $1.80. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Geelong on August 14 over 6f, on heavy track, 0.5 len behind Greenwich Boy carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Ready to break through at peak fitness.
2	Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Finished off last campaign sixth of 8 at Geelong Mdn-Sw May 1 over 6 ¼f, 3 len behind Recycle King with 131lbs at $3.10. On debut third of 8 at Ararat 3yo Mdn-Sw March 30 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Miss Ellaneous carrying 128lbs at $3.20. Sets up well and can win. 3rd Pick 2 Trouble'n Paradise Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Jye Mcneil T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	71	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Finished off last campaign sixth of 8 at Geelong Mdn-Sw May 1 over 6 ¼f, 3 len behind Recycle King with 131lbs at $3.10. On debut third of 8 at Ararat 3yo Mdn-Sw March 30 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Miss Ellaneous carrying 128lbs at $3.20. Sets up well and can win.

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