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2:25 AM

AU - Sale - Race 1

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
29.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

COVERT MISSION (2) goes on top. He's been close up in two runs back from a spell, just fading late at Moe first up, going even closer at Sandown Lakeside last time out when beaten under a length. He should be at peak fitness now and will be very hard to catch. Wary of SEA TRADER (4) who resumes. He didn't quite fire on debut but it was in a strong maiden won by Regal Award and he was well supported there off a good trial win. He's again trialled well leading into this and could be a quick improver. DIVINE EMPRESS (6) resumes having run in a strong Benalla maiden on debut behind Chateau Eze who has since been well performed at Group level. Suspect she can progress this time around. SWEET VIXEN (7) is a filly by Foxwedge on debut who can run well for the Cindy Alderson yard. DONEBRAVO (3) next best.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Covert Mission silk

Third-up today. First-up led but faded 3rd of 12 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Firerated carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Second-up 2nd of 8 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 8 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Per Favore carrying 128lbs at $4. Progressing well and will go close.

1st Pick
2

Covert Mission

Jockey: Jake Noonan

Trainer: Tony Noonan

J: Jake Noonan

T: Tony Noonan

206---40%6/4

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up led but faded 3rd of 12 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Firerated carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Second-up 2nd of 8 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 8 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Per Favore carrying 128lbs at $4. Progressing well and will go close.

4
Sea Trader silk

Resumes from a spell after only one run when 8th of 12 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Mdn-Sw on September 10 over 6 ½f, 5 len behind Regal Award carrying 128lbs at $3.70. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Can do much better this time around.

2nd Pick
4

Sea Trader

Jockey: Ethan Brown

Trainer: Robbie Griffiths

J: Ethan Brown

T: Robbie Griffiths

77---39%13/8

Analysis

Resumes from a spell after only one run when 8th of 12 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Mdn-Sw on September 10 over 6 ½f, 5 len behind Regal Award carrying 128lbs at $3.70. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Can do much better this time around.

6
Divine Empress silk

Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when 4th in a small field at Benalla 3yo F Mdn-Sw on September 2 over 6f, slow going 7 len behind Chateau Eze carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Expected to figure this time around.

3rd Pick
6

Divine Empress

Jockey: Damian Lane

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Damian Lane

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

85---15%6/1

Analysis

Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when 4th in a small field at Benalla 3yo F Mdn-Sw on September 2 over 6f, slow going 7 len behind Chateau Eze carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Expected to figure this time around.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.