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7:05 AM

AU - Sale - Race 9

Thoroughbred
19 Runners
8.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
24.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Keen to side with PLACENTIA BAY (3) in the last. He resumed from a very long spell over 1m at Bendigo and ran a very encouraging race to finish second, beaten 1.3 lengths. He should only improve off that and will go close if that's the case. RAZANNE (8) was a narrow maiden winner first up, struggling badly last time in tougher company when failing to beat a runner home. Drawn wide here but can bounce back. JEWEL BAY (1) doesn't win out of turn but is going okay and comes back in grade for this. He can figure. LEFT HOOK (10) was just fair last time at Geelong but was solid prior and is in the mix. BANK HEIST (4) has won two on the bounce and has to be respected again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Placentia Bay silk

Second run back. First-up after nearly two years 2nd of 11 in a Bm66 at Bendigo on July 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Hawk Power carrying 129lbs at $10. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 in a 0 - 64 at Bendigo on September 25 2024 over 1m, nose behind Theophilus with 131lbs at $7. Fitter and sets up very well.

1st Pick
3

Placentia Bay

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Shane Jackson

J: Jamie Mott

T: Shane Jackson

117---27%11/4

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after nearly two years 2nd of 11 in a Bm66 at Bendigo on July 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Hawk Power carrying 129lbs at $10. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 in a 0 - 64 at Bendigo on September 25 2024 over 1m, nose behind Theophilus with 131lbs at $7. Fitter and sets up very well.

8
Razanne silk

Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield and won by a long-neck at Geelong on July 10 over 7 ¼f on a heavy track defeating Mordu with 127lbs at $2.60. Last start ran last of 8 in a 3yo F Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Censori carrying 125lbs at $15. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

2nd Pick
8

Razanne

Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Lachlan Neindorf

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

130---10%9/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield and won by a long-neck at Geelong on July 10 over 7 ¼f on a heavy track defeating Mordu with 127lbs at $2.60. Last start ran last of 8 in a 3yo F Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Censori carrying 125lbs at $15. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

1
Jewel Bay silk

At the latest run 6th of 12 in a Bm70 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Stay Silent carrying 130lbs at $26. Before that 4th of 13 in a Bm62 at Cranbourne on July 16 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Touxlove carrying 136lbs at $9.50. In a suitable race and is a winning chance.

3rd Pick
1

Jewel Bay

Jockey: Jackson Radley

Trainer: Andrea Leek

J: Jackson Radley

T: Andrea Leek

156---12%15/2

Analysis

At the latest run 6th of 12 in a Bm70 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Stay Silent carrying 130lbs at $26. Before that 4th of 13 in a Bm62 at Cranbourne on July 16 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Touxlove carrying 136lbs at $9.50. In a suitable race and is a winning chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.