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6:30 AM

AU - Sale - Race 8

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
7.1f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 9
24.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Very tough finish. CENTU CAVADDI (5) was a bit disappointing third up at Bendigo having just missed back to the inside prior at Seymour. Things didn't really work out for him last time on a good tempo, fancy he can take a sit here and prove stronger late. ISLAND BOY (3) resumes. He was racing in some decent company last time in, winning in town two back. He can run well fresh at big odds. PRINCING (4) didn't handle the synthetic last time but had been in solid form prior and can bounce back strongly. TOUXLOVE (13) made nice improvement second up at Moe and should be ready to peak now, albeit will want the wider lanes to be in play. SHUBAEL (7) resumes having been in good form last time in. Watch the market off the long break.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Centu Cavaddi silk

At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 13 at Bendigo Bm62 on June 25 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Impending Shadow carrying 133lbs at $6.50. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 at Seymour Bm62 on June 11 over 7f, on a slow track, head behind Deadly Press carrying 133lbs at $2.60. Finds a suitable race and can atone.

1st Pick
5

Centu Cavaddi

Jockey: Jett Stanley

Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

J: Jett Stanley

T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

160---19%9/2

Analysis

At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 13 at Bendigo Bm62 on June 25 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Impending Shadow carrying 133lbs at $6.50. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 at Seymour Bm62 on June 11 over 7f, on a slow track, head behind Deadly Press carrying 133lbs at $2.60. Finds a suitable race and can atone.

3
Island Boy silk

Is first-up after a break of six-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation when last of 10 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 December 20 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Angland carrying 123lbs at $16. Previously first up, second last in a small field at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw September 4 over 6f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Axiom carrying 128lbs at $10. Form last time reads well, respecting.

2nd Pick
3

Island Boy

Jockey: Caitlin Hollowood

Trainer: Julius Sandhu

J: Caitlin Hollowood

T: Julius Sandhu

95---6%18/1

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of six-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation when last of 10 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 December 20 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Angland carrying 123lbs at $16. Previously first up, second last in a small field at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw September 4 over 6f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Axiom carrying 128lbs at $10. Form last time reads well, respecting.

4
Princing silk

Last start sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 11 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm62 on June 22 over 1m, 5 len behind Hulkster carrying 136lbs at $6. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Mornington Bm66 on June 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind The Devil In Her with 131lbs at $8. Can bounce back.

3rd Pick
4

Princing

Jockey: Thomas Stockdale

Trainer: Jerome Hunter

J: Thomas Stockdale

T: Jerome Hunter

192---12%8/1

Analysis

Last start sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 11 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm62 on June 22 over 1m, 5 len behind Hulkster carrying 136lbs at $6. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Mornington Bm66 on June 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind The Devil In Her with 131lbs at $8. Can bounce back.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.