AU - Sale - Race 6

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

24.7K

VIEW

Verdict

PRINCESS MESS (5) made it two wins in succession last start when she scored by 1.75 lengths over 6 ½f at Stawell. Takes beating again, especially with the main danger coming out this morning. PROVEN SOUL (8) progressed nicely second up and finished just 0.8 lengths from the winner in second over 6f at Seymour. Should be peaking now and has winning claims. CHOCOLATE BOX (3) was returning from a break last time out and proved too classy, scoring by a head over 6f at Pakenham. Has a solid second-up record and must be respected. CAPRICORN STAR (1) should roll forward and give a sight third up and ready to peak with the 7lbs claimer engaged.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Second run back. First-up after seven months 3rd of 12 at Pakenham Bm66 on May 15 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Legio Ten with 130lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside Bm74 on October 1 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Steel Trap carrying 121lbs at $4.20. Fitter and is a leading contender. 1st Pick 2 Bronte Beach Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Non Runner T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	171	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after seven months 3rd of 12 at Pakenham Bm66 on May 15 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Legio Ten with 130lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside Bm74 on October 1 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Steel Trap carrying 121lbs at $4.20. Fitter and is a leading contender.
5	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming favourite, won by 1.75 len at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw May 3 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Hopeless Romantic carrying 127lbs at $4.60. Second run from a spell favourite, won by 1.75 len at Stawell Bm56 May 18 over 6 ½f in the wet defeating Triomphe carrying 133lbs at $1.80. No reason she can't win again. 2nd Pick 5 Princess Mess Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Patrick Payne J: Billy Egan T: Patrick Payne	152	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming favourite, won by 1.75 len at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw May 3 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Hopeless Romantic carrying 127lbs at $4.60. Second run from a spell favourite, won by 1.75 len at Stawell Bm56 May 18 over 6 ½f in the wet defeating Triomphe carrying 133lbs at $1.80. No reason she can't win again.
8	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 6th of 11 at Ballarat Bm62 on April 30 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Documentary with 127lbs at $7. Second run from a spell 2nd of 11 at Seymour Bm62 on May 21 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Thinxzo with 127lbs at $6.50. Well placed and looks tough to stop again. 3rd Pick 8 Proven Soul Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Scott Cameron J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Scott Cameron	83	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 6th of 11 at Ballarat Bm62 on April 30 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Documentary with 127lbs at $7. Second run from a spell 2nd of 11 at Seymour Bm62 on May 21 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Thinxzo with 127lbs at $6.50. Well placed and looks tough to stop again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.