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5:00 AM

AU - Sale - Race 6

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
24.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FEHMARN (1) is coming off a solid win at Cranbourne to make it three wins from six starts, dashing best over this trip to score by half a length. Sets up well in the first few again and can go on with the job. MCKEYLA (6) resumes. She was beaten as favourite first up in town last campaign, tacking a couple of better races thereafter. Off a long break so watch the betting. HOTSPUR REALE (10) resumed with an even run at Ballarat over this trip. Fitter for that and should be hard to hold out. CRANK (12) resumes having put up a good number on debut at Terang before struggling in town. Wary fresh. NORDIC STRIKE (7) is racing consistently and is in the mix again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Fehmarn silk

Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len in a Bm62 at Cranbourne on October 9 over 5f defeating Presscode carrying 130lbs at $3.40. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Hillside on September 9 over 5f, slow going 1.4 len behind Jakivy carrying 132lbs at $5.50. Sets up very well to win again.

1st Pick
1

Fehmarn

Jockey: Lauren Burke

Trainer: Rebecca Waymouth

J: Lauren Burke

T: Rebecca Waymouth

130---20%4/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len in a Bm62 at Cranbourne on October 9 over 5f defeating Presscode carrying 130lbs at $3.40. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Hillside on September 9 over 5f, slow going 1.4 len behind Jakivy carrying 132lbs at $5.50. Sets up very well to win again.

6
Mckeyla silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 13 months. Finished off last campaign second last of 9 at Moonee Valley Mares Bm74 October 3 2025 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Stokke with 128lbs at $7. First up last campaign fifth of 7 at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm70 August 27 2025 over 5f, soft track, 3 len behind Jennyanydots with 133lbs at $2.35. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Drawn low and has claims fresh.

2nd Pick
6

Mckeyla

Jockey: Stephanie Hateley

Trainer: Robbie Griffiths

J: Stephanie Hateley

T: Robbie Griffiths

68---15%6/1

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 13 months. Finished off last campaign second last of 9 at Moonee Valley Mares Bm74 October 3 2025 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Stokke with 128lbs at $7. First up last campaign fifth of 7 at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm70 August 27 2025 over 5f, soft track, 3 len behind Jennyanydots with 133lbs at $2.35. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Drawn low and has claims fresh.

10
Hotspur Reale silk

Second-up. First-up after six months got back early 6th of 11 in a Bm66 at Ballarat on September 30 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Yolo carrying 127lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a 0 - 62 at Cranbourne on January 22 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Tookay Pete with 127lbs at $3.60. Fitter and can improve.

3rd Pick
10

Hotspur Reale

Jockey: Luke Currie

Trainer: Brian Mcgrath

J: Luke Currie

T: Brian Mcgrath

79---15%6/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after six months got back early 6th of 11 in a Bm66 at Ballarat on September 30 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Yolo carrying 127lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a 0 - 62 at Cranbourne on January 22 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Tookay Pete with 127lbs at $3.60. Fitter and can improve.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.