AU - Sale - Race 2

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

30.4K

VIEW

Verdict

BEAU STRADA (6) has had a few chances but is knocking on the door, placing in her past couple when just finding one better at Mornington over 6f this week. Turns around quickly here and back in trip but she should get her chance. RED ROSE CAFE (8) ran a positive race on debut at Pakenham, kept safe in betting on that occasion and battling on well in a bunched finish to be beaten under a length. She should improve off that and will be very hard to run down. MORNING RALPH (4) has been okay his past couple at Werribee & Cranbourne. He finds a nice race here and can be running into the finish late. HE'S FIERCE (3) wasn't all that far away at Seymour last start and won't need to improve much to be figuring in the finish. GATTODANCE (1) resumes. He hasn't shown a whole lot to date but is with a new yard and won a recent jumpout easily, watch the betting.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Racing well recently. Last start 2nd in a small field at Mornington F&M Mdn-Sw on May 10 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind She Won't Fold carrying 128lbs at $2.45. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 19 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Brass In Pocket carrying 123lbs at $10. Overdue and gets her chance. 1st Pick 6 Beau Strada Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Luke Oliver J: Billy Egan T: Luke Oliver	193	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 2nd in a small field at Mornington F&M Mdn-Sw on May 10 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind She Won't Fold carrying 128lbs at $2.45. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 19 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Brass In Pocket carrying 123lbs at $10. Overdue and gets her chance.
8	At debut, 4th of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 1 over 5f, 0.7 len behind Eureka Rose carrying 127lbs at $7. Likely improver who is a leading contender. 2nd Pick 8 Red Rose Cafe Jockey: Joe Bowditch Trainer: Colin Scott J: Joe Bowditch T: Colin Scott	157	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis At debut, 4th of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 1 over 5f, 0.7 len behind Eureka Rose carrying 127lbs at $7. Likely improver who is a leading contender.
4	At the latest run 5th of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on April 24 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Blondie's Award with 130lbs at $17. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on April 11 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Bear Champ carrying 130lbs at $18. Can improve in this affair. 3rd Pick 4 Morning Ralph Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Teo Nugent T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	94	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on April 24 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Blondie's Award with 130lbs at $17. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on April 11 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Bear Champ carrying 130lbs at $18. Can improve in this affair.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.