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6:35 AM

AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 9

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Synthetic
GOOD
24.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BALANCE (5) got the job done first up as a short priced favourite at Geelong, sent out the $1.65 elect and just proving a bit too good late. Suspect there's more to offer now and she should get a lovely run just behind the speed again. NEZIHA (9) resumes. She was beaten as favourite in her only run last time in and spelled but had shown good ability in her maiden campaign and warrants plenty of respect. BRASS IN POCKET (14) resumes. She chased home Concord Connie on debut which is strong form and went on with it thereafter. Tough draw but she's got pace and can roll forward, respecting. THE FLYING POPOV (3) worked home well first up at Geelong and should come on from that although the draw doesn't help. TWO TO TANGO (8) has the ability to run well fresh and draws for a nice run.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Balance silk

Second run back. First-up after seven months favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on September 11 over 5 ½f defeating Sheer Panic carrying 127lbs at $1.65. Previously second-up eased back early on 5th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Cranbourne on February 27 over 6f, 6 len behind Juvenal carrying 126lbs at $1.45. Nice profile to go on with the job.

1st Pick
5

Balance

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Clinton Mcdonald

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Clinton Mcdonald

152---25%3/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after seven months favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on September 11 over 5 ½f defeating Sheer Panic carrying 127lbs at $1.65. Previously second-up eased back early on 5th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Cranbourne on February 27 over 6f, 6 len behind Juvenal carrying 126lbs at $1.45. Nice profile to go on with the job.

9
Neziha silk

Back after a long spell. Finished off last preparation 4th in a small field in a Cl1 at Pakenham on April 9 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Humble Trader carrying 125lbs at $2.25. When resuming last campaign on from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a 3yo F Mdn-Sw at Geelong on November 14 over 6f, head behind Shystar with 126lbs at $15. Fitter for a jump-out on September 22 at Pakenham when finished fifth. This is an ideal race to kick off. Has good ability and can take this out fresh.

2nd Pick
9

Neziha

Jockey: Ben Allen

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Ben Allen

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

109---25%3/1

Analysis

Back after a long spell. Finished off last preparation 4th in a small field in a Cl1 at Pakenham on April 9 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Humble Trader carrying 125lbs at $2.25. When resuming last campaign on from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a 3yo F Mdn-Sw at Geelong on November 14 over 6f, head behind Shystar with 126lbs at $15. Fitter for a jump-out on September 22 at Pakenham when finished fifth. This is an ideal race to kick off. Has good ability and can take this out fresh.

14
Brass In Pocket silk

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation eighth of 13 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo F Bm78 May 23 over 7f, soft track, 5.5 len behind Milos Filos carrying 112lbs at $4.60. On debut third of 9 at Pakenham 3yo F Mdn-Sw April 9 over 6f, soft track, 2.75 len behind Concord Connie carrying 126lbs at $12. Tough draw but can go well fresh.

3rd Pick
14

Brass In Pocket

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Nathan Dunn

J: Non Runner

T: Nathan Dunn

66---1%1000/1

Analysis

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation eighth of 13 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo F Bm78 May 23 over 7f, soft track, 5.5 len behind Milos Filos carrying 112lbs at $4.60. On debut third of 9 at Pakenham 3yo F Mdn-Sw April 9 over 6f, soft track, 2.75 len behind Concord Connie carrying 126lbs at $12. Tough draw but can go well fresh.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.