AU - Pakenham - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

5.5f

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

27.8K

VIEW

Verdict

Siding with the resuming AXIOM (4) who has the upside to be winning this. He won narrowly when well backed on debut at Moe, tackling a handy BM64 at Bendigo before a break. This looks an ideal race to kick off in and he should have improved over the spell. LES BRAVES (2) got back at Seymour last time out and struggled to make inroads, disappointing as favourite there having been knocking on the door prior. This should set up better from the inside gate. ASTARI (3) is going well, placing in his past two, sticking on well for second at Geelong last time out in a BM62. He won't need to improve much to be taking this out. SUSSEX DUCHESS (8) resumed with a strong maiden win at Geelong, coming away to score by two lengths. She sets up for every chance again here. SIDELINE (6) was okay fresh and can improve with a lightly raced profile.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Resuming. Finished off last campaign second last in a small field at Bendigo 3yo Bm64 September 17 over 6 ½f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Single Choice carrying 130lbs at $8.50. On debut won by head Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw September 4 over 6f on heavy track defeating Kagemusha with 128lbs at $2.70. Has ability and can measure up to this fresh. 1st Pick 4 Axiom Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Gavin Bedggood J: Thomas Stockdale T: Gavin Bedggood	70	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last campaign second last in a small field at Bendigo 3yo Bm64 September 17 over 6 ½f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Single Choice carrying 130lbs at $8.50. On debut won by head Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw September 4 over 6f on heavy track defeating Kagemusha with 128lbs at $2.70. Has ability and can measure up to this fresh.
2	Last start 8th of 13 at Seymour Bm62 on January 15 over 6 ½f, 4.5 len behind Hot Chips with 132lbs at $2.30. The race before that 2nd of 12 at Seymour Bm62 on December 28 over 6 ½f, nose behind Some People Callme with 132lbs at $6. Prepared to give another chance. 2nd Pick 2 Les Braves Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Robbie Griffiths J: Jamie Mott T: Robbie Griffiths	175	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Last start 8th of 13 at Seymour Bm62 on January 15 over 6 ½f, 4.5 len behind Hot Chips with 132lbs at $2.30. The race before that 2nd of 12 at Seymour Bm62 on December 28 over 6 ½f, nose behind Some People Callme with 132lbs at $6. Prepared to give another chance.
3	Form hard to fault. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Geelong Bm62 on January 20 over 5f, 1.0 len behind Esquel with 128lbs at $4.80. The start before that 3rd of 9 at Cranbourne 0-62 on January 3 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Rich Lover with 128lbs at $15. Going well and should be right there again. 3rd Pick 3 Astari Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Mark Walker J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Mark Walker	148	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Geelong Bm62 on January 20 over 5f, 1.0 len behind Esquel with 128lbs at $4.80. The start before that 3rd of 9 at Cranbourne 0-62 on January 3 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Rich Lover with 128lbs at $15. Going well and should be right there again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.