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9:45 AM

AU - Pakenham - Race 6

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
26.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BAYOU MUSIC (9) resumes for his second preparation, now with the Freedman yard (ex James Cummings). He showed plenty of ability in some strong 2yo races, second in the Byerley Handicap over 1 ?m at Flemington before the break. This looks a good trip for him to kick off in. MATAWAI (3) has run fourth in both efforts back from a spell, good in BM70 company behind a progressive winner last time at Sandown Lakeside. Back a notch here, she should be ready to peak. BUTTERNUT PRINCESS (12) ran well in a rich race fresh at Cranbourne. It was a messy finish there but she's certainly good enough at this level. CURSE IT (10) resumes having shown plenty of ability in three runs last time in. He may get further in time. CHOCOLATE ROYAL (4) resumes with each-way claims.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Bayou Music silk

Resuming. Finished off last campaign second of 8 at Flemington 2yo Hcp July 19 over 1m, soft track, a neck behind Arcora with 128lbs at $5. On debut second of 9 at Mornington 2yo Mdn-Sw May 12 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Morgana with 128lbs at $8.50. Form last time reads well, go close.

1st Pick
9

Bayou Music

Jockey: Luke Currie

Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman

J: Luke Currie

T: Anthony & Sam Freedman

105---14%13/2

Analysis

Resuming. Finished off last campaign second of 8 at Flemington 2yo Hcp July 19 over 1m, soft track, a neck behind Arcora with 128lbs at $5. On debut second of 9 at Mornington 2yo Mdn-Sw May 12 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Morgana with 128lbs at $8.50. Form last time reads well, go close.

3
Matawai silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Cranbourne Bm66 on December 5 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Regal Tycoon with 129lbs at $5. Second-up 4th of 13 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on December 26 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Stealth Of Night carrying 129lbs at $7. Likely improver who can do much better here.

2nd Pick
3

Matawai

Jockey: Jackson Radley

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Jackson Radley

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

123---19%9/2

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Cranbourne Bm66 on December 5 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Regal Tycoon with 129lbs at $5. Second-up 4th of 13 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on December 26 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Stealth Of Night carrying 129lbs at $7. Likely improver who can do much better here.

12
Butternut Princess silk

Second-up. First-up after four months 4th of 8 at Cranbourne Vg Carat on December 27 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Steel Move with 126lbs at $26. Previously second-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Cranbourne Cl1 on May 23 over 6 ½f, 1.3 len behind Highlands carrying 127lbs at $6.50. Rates highly off fresh effort.

3rd Pick
12

Butternut Princess

Jockey: Beau Mertens

Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

J: Beau Mertens

T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

213---29%5/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after four months 4th of 8 at Cranbourne Vg Carat on December 27 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Steel Move with 126lbs at $26. Previously second-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Cranbourne Cl1 on May 23 over 6 ½f, 1.3 len behind Highlands carrying 127lbs at $6.50. Rates highly off fresh effort.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.