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9:15 AM

AU - Pakenham - Race 5

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
43.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SILVER BULLET (5) resumed with an encouraging run at Mornington when finding the line strongly for second over 6f. He put up a good number there and should relish getting to 7f for the first time. Drawn well for Ben Allen, he can track the pace and have the last say. THINKYAHOT (6) made good improvement rising from 5 ½f to 6 ½f last start, covering ground from a wide draw there in what was a strongly run affair. He can land in a better spot here and go one better. LOTTA CITY (11) stuck on well at Mornington last time out, not handling the heavy two back. She should be right there again. BUTTERSCOTCH (7) is a mare by The Autumn Sun who debuts for the Moody & Coleman yard. She's jumped out well and has to be respected. RICH KING (2) is a Rich Enuff gelding for the Laurie yard who can figure off a jump out win.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Silver Bullet silk

Second-up. First start 10th of 14 at Sale 2yo Mdn-Sw on July 31 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Best Of The Best with 129lbs at $6.50. Returned from break made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on December 23 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Our Justify carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Fitter and rates highly.

1st Pick
5

Silver Bullet

Jockey: Ben Allen

Trainer: Charlotte Littlefield

J: Ben Allen

T: Charlotte Littlefield

188---31%9/4

Analysis

Second-up. First start 10th of 14 at Sale 2yo Mdn-Sw on July 31 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Best Of The Best with 129lbs at $6.50. Returned from break made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on December 23 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Our Justify carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Fitter and rates highly.

6
Thinkyahot silk

Having third race start. At debut, 5th of 12 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Firerated carrying 128lbs at $20. Second-up 2nd of 12 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 6 ½f, 1.3 len behind Tarzing with 128lbs at $4.20. Better again and should go close.

2nd Pick
6

Thinkyahot

Jockey: Koby Jennings

Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

J: Koby Jennings

T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

121---29%5/2

Analysis

Having third race start. At debut, 5th of 12 at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Firerated carrying 128lbs at $20. Second-up 2nd of 12 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 6 ½f, 1.3 len behind Tarzing with 128lbs at $4.20. Better again and should go close.

11
Lotta City silk

At the latest run raced on the pace when 3rd of 10 at Mornington F&M Mdn-Sw on January 1 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Sheanadh carrying 125lbs at $4.40. Before that 6th of 12 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw on December 7 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 16 len behind Rodriquez carrying 123lbs at $3.40. Making headway. Drawn well and has claims.

3rd Pick
11

Lotta City

Jockey: Celine Gaudray

Trainer: Jerome Hunter

J: Celine Gaudray

T: Jerome Hunter

100---12%8/1

Analysis

At the latest run raced on the pace when 3rd of 10 at Mornington F&M Mdn-Sw on January 1 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Sheanadh carrying 125lbs at $4.40. Before that 6th of 12 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw on December 7 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 16 len behind Rodriquez carrying 123lbs at $3.40. Making headway. Drawn well and has claims.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.