AU - Pakenham - Race 5

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

12.4f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

28.2K

VIEW

Verdict

Competitive. MIDNIGHT GLOW (2) has been racing in stronger and led them up beaten 3 lengths over 1 ?m at Cranbourne three weeks ago. Has the inside gate and a handy 4lbs claim. Finds the right race and can find winning form. MADAME LEXIS (5) deserved her win this track and trip and then dropped back to a middle distance beaten 2.7L in tougher. Better suited today and she's a decent chance to bounce. DIGGERS AIM (7) won his Maiden this track/trip by almost 5L and then found one better at the venue back to 1 ¼m in a 62. Has jumped out well since and is in the mix. HOLLANDIA (4) has been within range his last two here at the distance and keeps putting in. Ben Allen replaces the apprentice and he can be in the money again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Form hard to fault. Most recently ran last in a small field at Cranbourne Bm74 on February 13 over 1m, 3 len behind Urban Outlook with 123lbs at $7. The start before that 4th of 7 at Caulfield Vg Heath on February 7 over 1 ¼m, 4.5 len behind Suntora with 119lbs at $41. Finds a suitable contest and will go close. 1st Pick 2 Midnight Glow Jockey: Jackson Radley Trainer: John Salanitri J: Jackson Radley T: John Salanitri	193	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently ran last in a small field at Cranbourne Bm74 on February 13 over 1m, 3 len behind Urban Outlook with 123lbs at $7. The start before that 4th of 7 at Caulfield Vg Heath on February 7 over 1 ¼m, 4.5 len behind Suntora with 119lbs at $41. Finds a suitable contest and will go close.
5	Most recently 5th of 8 at Cranbourne F&M Bm70 on February 27 over 1 ¼m, 2.75 len behind Grey Ice carrying 127lbs at $18. The run before that came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at this track Bm66 February 5 over 1/16m defeating Tsitsipas carrying 122lbs at $4.60. Hard to beat if she brings her A-game. 2nd Pick 5 Madame Lexis Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Nathan Dunn J: Jett Stanley T: Nathan Dunn	105	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Most recently 5th of 8 at Cranbourne F&M Bm70 on February 27 over 1 ¼m, 2.75 len behind Grey Ice carrying 127lbs at $18. The run before that came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at this track Bm66 February 5 over 1/16m defeating Tsitsipas carrying 122lbs at $4.60. Hard to beat if she brings her A-game.
7	Last start made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track 0 - 62 on February 19 over 1 ¼m, 1.75 len behind Mickidabeel carrying 130lbs at $13. The start before that won by 5 len at this track Mdn-Sw February 5 over 1/16m defeating Phoenician carrying 131lbs at $2.60. Has to be considered. 3rd Pick 7 Diggers Aim Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Trevor Rogers J: Jamie Mott T: Trevor Rogers	114	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track 0 - 62 on February 19 over 1 ¼m, 1.75 len behind Mickidabeel carrying 130lbs at $13. The start before that won by 5 len at this track Mdn-Sw February 5 over 1/16m defeating Phoenician carrying 131lbs at $2.60. Has to be considered.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.