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4:30 AM

AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 5

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
10.9f
Maiden
Synthetic
GOOD
22.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

REEL RAIDER (9) was no match for an impressive winner last time but still did a good job to finish second. At her top now and gets the blinkers applied to sharpen her up. Big chance. POOR OL' JOHNY RAY (5) was thereabouts last time out when third at Bendigo over 1 ½m, beaten 1.5 lengths. Strips rock-hard fit and doesn't need to improve much to finally get off the mark. CRYSTAL JADE (3) did little here last time over the mile but his two runs prior suggested he was heading the right way. Willing to give another chance with Stanley taking over in the saddle. ITSAGIVEN (8) hasn't been able to live up to market expectation in her last two when a beaten favourite but does shoulder efforts that can measure up. Not dismissing completely.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Reel Raider silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd in a small field at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on June 14 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Thunderbolt Way carrying 127lbs at $4.20. Before that 4th of 12 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.75 len behind Johnny Be Good carrying 127lbs at $6. Can improve again. Heading in the right direction and looks hard to beat.

1st Pick
9

Reel Raider

Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Daniel Stackhouse

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

117---20%4/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd in a small field at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on June 14 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Thunderbolt Way carrying 127lbs at $4.20. Before that 4th of 12 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on May 22 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.75 len behind Johnny Be Good carrying 127lbs at $6. Can improve again. Heading in the right direction and looks hard to beat.

5
Poor Ol' Johny Ray silk

Last start made ground from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw on June 13 over 1 ½m, slow going 1.5 len behind Reelzaz carrying 131lbs at $4.20. The start before that 8th of 11 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on May 30 over 1m, slow going 9 len behind Sasterion with 131lbs at $4.40. Worth following.

2nd Pick
5

Poor Ol' Johny Ray

Jockey: Fred W Kersley

Trainer: Denis Pagan

J: Fred W Kersley

T: Denis Pagan

168---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start made ground from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw on June 13 over 1 ½m, slow going 1.5 len behind Reelzaz carrying 131lbs at $4.20. The start before that 8th of 11 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on May 30 over 1m, slow going 9 len behind Sasterion with 131lbs at $4.40. Worth following.

3
Crystal Jade silk

At the latest run 9th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on June 15 over 1m, 6 len behind Duntulm Lass carrying 131lbs at $7.50. Can bounce back sharply.

3rd Pick
3

Crystal Jade

Jockey: Jett Stanley

Trainer: Nathan Dunn

J: Jett Stanley

T: Nathan Dunn

87---17%5/1

Analysis

At the latest run 9th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on June 15 over 1m, 6 len behind Duntulm Lass carrying 131lbs at $7.50. Can bounce back sharply.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.