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7:45 AM

AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
31.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ON THE PROWL (5) finished full of running fresh at Sandown-Hillside and will relish rising to 7f. He can settle closer from the kind draw and keeps the in-form Billy Egan aboard. He will take plenty of stopping. ROUGH ENUFF (6) caught the eye on debut here on January 9 and, while he couldn't produce the same burst last start, he should be hitting his straps third-up and is expected to appreciate the extra trip. He looks the main danger. ON THE LOOSE (4) was strong on debut when collared late here but was too bad to be true last time after racing keenly and folding up. A sharp bounce back is on the cards. HANDSOME MISSILE (3) is building well and comes through some solid maidens, though he is likely to give away a big start from the wide draw. He will be hoping they overdo it up front so he can launch late. Similar story for CELESTRA (9), though she has drawn slightly kinder.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
On The Prowl silk

Second-up. First-up after five months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Sandown-Hillside Mdn-Sw on March 11 over 6 ½f, 1.2 len behind Dirty Look with 130lbs at $15. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Geelong 3yo Mdn-Sw on September 25 over 5 ¾f, 1.75 len behind Quickaz with 128lbs at $19. Finished fast last time and should eat up the extra ½f.

1st Pick
5

On The Prowl

Jockey: Billy Egan

Trainer: Gavin Bedggood

J: Billy Egan

T: Gavin Bedggood

204---39%13/8

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after five months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Sandown-Hillside Mdn-Sw on March 11 over 6 ½f, 1.2 len behind Dirty Look with 130lbs at $15. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Geelong 3yo Mdn-Sw on September 25 over 5 ¾f, 1.75 len behind Quickaz with 128lbs at $19. Finished fast last time and should eat up the extra ½f.

6
Rough Enuff silk

Having third race start. At debut, 3rd of 12 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Cyber Link carrying 128lbs at $20. Last start 6th of 10 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 4 over 6f, 3 len behind Melian with 128lbs at $9. Deserves another chance.

2nd Pick
6

Rough Enuff

Jockey: Logan Bates

Trainer: Cindy Alderson

J: Logan Bates

T: Cindy Alderson

148---17%5/1

Analysis

Having third race start. At debut, 3rd of 12 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Cyber Link carrying 128lbs at $20. Last start 6th of 10 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 4 over 6f, 3 len behind Melian with 128lbs at $9. Deserves another chance.

4
On The Loose silk

Having third race start. At debut, set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 5 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Berlemont with 130lbs at $13. Last start raced on the pace before fading 8th of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on March 5 over 7f, 8 len behind Labelmaker with 130lbs at $3.80. Assessing off debut effort, so check the markets.

3rd Pick
4

On The Loose

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Greg Eurell

J: Jamie Mott

T: Greg Eurell

175---17%5/1

Analysis

Having third race start. At debut, set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 5 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Berlemont with 130lbs at $13. Last start raced on the pace before fading 8th of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on March 5 over 7f, 8 len behind Labelmaker with 130lbs at $3.80. Assessing off debut effort, so check the markets.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.