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8:15 AM

AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
28.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

THERE WERE ROSES (8) can bounce back here. She looked good winning the maiden first up here over 7f, beating a subsequent winner in Avenue Montaigne. She had excuses at Caulfield Heath last time when quickly up in grade and can bounce right back. PEARL KING (6) has been close up in two runs here this time in, beaten under a length each time. Drawn to get back but will be charging late. HEY BELLA (4) is in flying form, a winner of her past two starts over this track and distance. Bit more depth now but she's very hard to knock. BRILLANTEZZA (7) was an easy winner on debut at Wangaratta as favourite, finding the line strongly to score by two lengths. She can go on with it. GRAND SAGE (9) is racing consistently and should be right there again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
There Were Roses silk

Third-up today. Resuming won by 1.3 len at this track F&M Mdn-Sw April 9 over 7f in soft going defeating Avenue Montaigne carrying 127lbs at $2.60. Second run from a spell raced behind the speed prior to fading second last of 9 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm70 on April 29 over 1m, 4 len behind Parvenu carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Finds the right race and should take beating.

1st Pick
8

There Were Roses

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

J: Jamie Mott

T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

145---17%5/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming won by 1.3 len at this track F&M Mdn-Sw April 9 over 7f in soft going defeating Avenue Montaigne carrying 127lbs at $2.60. Second run from a spell raced behind the speed prior to fading second last of 9 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm70 on April 29 over 1m, 4 len behind Parvenu carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Finds the right race and should take beating.

6
Pearl King silk

Third-up today. Resuming 2nd in a small field at this track Bm62 on April 16 over 7f, on rain affected going, head behind Shidan carrying 131lbs at $9.50. Last start 5th of 11 at Bendigo Bm66 on May 13 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Easy Dun with 127lbs at $5.50. Can improve. Improves again and will take holding out.

2nd Pick
6

Pearl King

Jockey: Luke Nolen

Trainer: Andrea Leek

J: Luke Nolen

T: Andrea Leek

99---15%6/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 2nd in a small field at this track Bm62 on April 16 over 7f, on rain affected going, head behind Shidan carrying 131lbs at $9.50. Last start 5th of 11 at Bendigo Bm66 on May 13 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Easy Dun with 127lbs at $5.50. Can improve. Improves again and will take holding out.

4
Hey Bella silk

Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 1.5 len at this track 0-66 May 1 over 1m defeating Winter Grace with 120lbs at $3.60. The run before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.75 len at this track 0 - 66 April 9 over 1m on a soft track defeating Belcony carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Have to include again.

3rd Pick
4

Hey Bella

Jockey: Brittany Button

Trainer: Luke Oliver

J: Brittany Button

T: Luke Oliver

187---17%5/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 1.5 len at this track 0-66 May 1 over 1m defeating Winter Grace with 120lbs at $3.60. The run before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.75 len at this track 0 - 66 April 9 over 1m on a soft track defeating Belcony carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Have to include again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.