AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

9.9f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 7

32.4K

VIEW

Verdict

The form of SHINDY (11) reads well for this, especially the second placing to Accidental Bid, who would have started a hot favourite in last week's G1 SA Derby, back in March. Then ran 2nd to Cushioned, who ran in the G1 Oaks in Adelaide, but disappointed when fourth last time out. Back to Pakenham suits and deserves to be given another chance. MONTESQUIEU (5) is a So You Think gelding who knocked up late at his second run, so he'll be better for that and 1 ¼m looks a suitable progression. POOR OL' JOHNY RAY (6) was outclassed in Listed grade last start and only needs to repeat the maiden third placing the start prior to be a factor. AUTUMN DIAMONDS (9) will have come on for two runs at 1m and should appreciate 1 ¼m.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 11 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 28 over 1 ¼m, 4.5 len behind Catch The Moon carrying 127lbs at $2.15. Before that 2nd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on April 9 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.0 len behind Cushioned carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Ready to peak after four runs back and is sure to run well. 1st Pick 11 Shindy Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Peter Gelagotis J: Ben Allen T: Peter Gelagotis	166	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 11 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 28 over 1 ¼m, 4.5 len behind Catch The Moon carrying 127lbs at $2.15. Before that 2nd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on April 9 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.0 len behind Cushioned carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Ready to peak after four runs back and is sure to run well.
5	Had two starts to date. At debut, eased back early on 6th of 9 at Stawell 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 5 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Sistine Express with 128lbs at $10. Last start 3rd in a small field at this track Mdn-Sw on April 23 over 1m, 3 len behind Rockette carrying 130lbs at $26. Should be primed at 1 ¼m after two runs back. 2nd Pick 5 Montesquieu Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Nick Ryan J: Billy Egan T: Nick Ryan	102	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Had two starts to date. At debut, eased back early on 6th of 9 at Stawell 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 5 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Sistine Express with 128lbs at $10. Last start 3rd in a small field at this track Mdn-Sw on April 23 over 1m, 3 len behind Rockette carrying 130lbs at $26. Should be primed at 1 ¼m after two runs back.
7	Was well-supported at debut, 4th in a small field at this track Mdn-Sw on April 23 over 1m, 5 len behind Rockette carrying 130lbs at $2.30. Will be better for the debut and suited this trip. 3rd Pick 7 Seaborn Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Non Runner T: Matt Laurie	144	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 4th in a small field at this track Mdn-Sw on April 23 over 1m, 5 len behind Rockette carrying 130lbs at $2.30. Will be better for the debut and suited this trip.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.