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7:45 AM

AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
31.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CAVALRY (3) resumes. Two runs last time in read very well for this, beaten under a length by subsequent listed winner Azazel at Seymour before a spell, sent out $1.60 there. He rates very highly. ASK YOUR MOTHER (2) ran a good race first up at Sale over 6f, sitting near the pace and boxing on well for third. He'll be fitter for that and gets every hope from the inside gate, go close. TITAN'S SPIRIT (8) is knocking on the door, placing in his past two, beaten a nose at Kyneton last time out. Tricky draw but he'll be figuring with some early luck. PARERA (5) resumes. He mixed his form a bit last time in but showed glimpses and looks to have jumped out fairly well. Respecting. SACRE BLEU (7) ran midfield first up when making late ground and will be fitter with each-way claims.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Cavalry silk

Is first-up after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation third of 11 at Seymour Mdn-Sw September 11 over 1m, soft track, 0.6 len behind Azazel with 131lbs at $1.60. First up last campaign fifth of 12 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw August 28 over 7f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Fastoso carrying 131lbs at $4.20. Form last time reads nicely.

1st Pick
3

Cavalry

Jockey: Jamie Melham

Trainer: M, W & J Hawkes

J: Jamie Melham

T: M, W & J Hawkes

145---58%8/11

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation third of 11 at Seymour Mdn-Sw September 11 over 1m, soft track, 0.6 len behind Azazel with 131lbs at $1.60. First up last campaign fifth of 12 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw August 28 over 7f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Fastoso carrying 131lbs at $4.20. Form last time reads nicely.

2
Ask Your Mother silk

Second-up. First-up after six months sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at Sale Mdn-Sw on February 11 over 6f, 2 len behind First Fifteen carrying 131lbs at $9. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on May 23 over 7 ¼f, 0.5 len behind Shimonoseki carrying 131lbs at $15. Fitter and is a leading contender.

2nd Pick
2

Ask Your Mother

Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf

Trainer: Greg Eurell

J: Lachlan Neindorf

T: Greg Eurell

116---13%7/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after six months sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at Sale Mdn-Sw on February 11 over 6f, 2 len behind First Fifteen carrying 131lbs at $9. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on May 23 over 7 ¼f, 0.5 len behind Shimonoseki carrying 131lbs at $15. Fitter and is a leading contender.

8
Titan's Spirit silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Kyneton 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on February 27 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Pick Wisely carrying 131lbs at $8.50. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 12 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Hallowed Halls with 131lbs at $10. Nice effort last time. Going well and has claims.

3rd Pick
8

Titan's Spirit

Jockey: Jason Maskiell

Trainer: Nikki Burke

J: Jason Maskiell

T: Nikki Burke

178---15%6/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Kyneton 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on February 27 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Pick Wisely carrying 131lbs at $8.50. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 12 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Hallowed Halls with 131lbs at $10. Nice effort last time. Going well and has claims.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.