AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 4

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Maiden

Synthetic

GOOD

22.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

SOUL MISTRESS (10) closed off strongly last start to get up for second, beaten a long neck, over 1m at this track when coming back from a spell. Better for that and was knocking on the door of a win last time in. Go close. JENNI BASSETT (8) finished 5.5 lengths away in seventh last time out over 7f at this track after being in contention on the bend two weeks ago. Draws well and should get a nice run, expect she improves here. MISS SHIINO (9) did her best work late to finish second when unwanted in betting at her latest appearance at this track over 7f. Have to take seriously now, big chance. OSHIMA (3) debuted three weeks ago when he finished sixth over 6f at this track, beaten 1.75 lengths. Will take a lot from that last run and is worth following up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Second-up. First-up after four months 2nd of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 6 over 1m, long-neck behind Shindy carrying 127lbs at $9.50. Previously second-up 5th of 14 at Moe Mdn-Sw on January 25 over 1 ¼m, 2.5 len behind Tassadar with 127lbs at $4.40. Fitter and rates highly. 1st Pick 10 Soul Mistress Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Ken & Kasey Keys J: Jye Mcneil T: Ken & Kasey Keys	162	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 2nd of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 6 over 1m, long-neck behind Shindy carrying 127lbs at $9.50. Previously second-up 5th of 14 at Moe Mdn-Sw on January 25 over 1 ¼m, 2.5 len behind Tassadar with 127lbs at $4.40. Fitter and rates highly.
8	Most recently raced on the pace before fading 7th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 6 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Jenni Agogo with 127lbs at $14. The start before that 4th of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on June 22 over 7f, 3 len behind Lotta City with 127lbs at $8. Finds a nice race. 2nd Pick 8 Jenni Bassett Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Jett Stanley T: Phillip Stokes	155	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Most recently raced on the pace before fading 7th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 6 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Jenni Agogo with 127lbs at $14. The start before that 4th of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on June 22 over 7f, 3 len behind Lotta City with 127lbs at $8. Finds a nice race.
9	Second-up. First-up after five months ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on June 29 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Clansman with 127lbs at $51. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at Albury Mdn-Sw on January 19 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Hells Spirit with 122lbs at $6.50. Better for that and warrants respect. 3rd Pick 9 Miss Shiino Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Michael Dee T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	125	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on June 29 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Clansman with 127lbs at $51. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at Albury Mdn-Sw on January 19 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Hells Spirit with 122lbs at $6.50. Better for that and warrants respect.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.