AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

28.2K

VIEW

Verdict

CELERITY (3) won big at Flemington three back and has finished second at Flemington and Caulfield Heath in the two outings since. She keeps improving and the apprentice is off and winning rider Jamie Melham back on. Races forward and is the one to beat. CAFFETTIERA (5) resumes and was last seen in the Group 3 Blue Sapphire Stakes. Went close in a Cranbourne Open 3 prior and placed at Geelong at her only fresh start. Has two jumpouts under the saddle and will get every chance from the inside barrier. SHE'S MY EX (4) is an improving galloper and has jumped out well since her solid effort at Flemington is stronger. Craig Williams sticks from that and has won twice on the filly. Led last time and she also has winning claims. MARILYN'S EDGE (7) resumes and is proven fresh. Brings two wins from the Cranbourne jumpouts and is ready to race well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 8 at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm66 on February 9 over 5f, long-neck behind Gentle Steel with 133lbs at $1.75. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 9 at Flemington F&M Bm78 on January 17 over 5 ½f, 1.0 len behind Thanks Gorgeous carrying 123lbs at $2.15. Tough to beat. 1st Pick 3 Celerity Jockey: Jamie Melham Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Jamie Melham T: Ciaron Maher	265	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 8 at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm66 on February 9 over 5f, long-neck behind Gentle Steel with 133lbs at $1.75. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 9 at Flemington F&M Bm78 on January 17 over 5 ½f, 1.0 len behind Thanks Gorgeous carrying 123lbs at $2.15. Tough to beat.
5	Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation eighth of 10 at Caulfield in the G3 Blue Sapphire November 29 over 6f, soft track, 5 len behind Motorsports with 121lbs at $6. On debut third of 9 at Geelong 3yo Mdn-Sw September 25 over 5 ¾f, 1.3 len behind Quickaz carrying 123lbs at $5. Expecting her to hit the ground running. 2nd Pick 5 Caffettiera Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	126	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation eighth of 10 at Caulfield in the G3 Blue Sapphire November 29 over 6f, soft track, 5 len behind Motorsports with 121lbs at $6. On debut third of 9 at Geelong 3yo Mdn-Sw September 25 over 5 ¾f, 1.3 len behind Quickaz carrying 123lbs at $5. Expecting her to hit the ground running.
4	Third-up today. Comes off a 54 day let-up. Resuming raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a head at Seymour Bm62 December 28 over 5f defeating No Limitation carrying 126lbs at $3.70. Second run from a spell 4th of 12 at Flemington 3yo F Hcp on January 10 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Jenni The Ninja with 122lbs at $8.50. Solid credentials and has decent claims. 3rd Pick 4 She's My Ex Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Craig Williams T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	119	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Third-up today. Comes off a 54 day let-up. Resuming raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a head at Seymour Bm62 December 28 over 5f defeating No Limitation carrying 126lbs at $3.70. Second run from a spell 4th of 12 at Flemington 3yo F Hcp on January 10 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Jenni The Ninja with 122lbs at $8.50. Solid credentials and has decent claims.

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Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

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A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

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