AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

9.9f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 9

32.3K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough race. SIGN UP (6) didn't do a whole lot on debut at Werribee over 1m when beaten eight lengths but he didn't drop out and was kept safe in betting. Tipping he'll improve out of sight going to 1 ¼m with that run under the belt. THUNDERBOLT WAY (7) was well below his best when last seen at Kilmore on heavy ground but had been going well prior and can bounce back. LUXOR GOLD (3) had been good at Sale two back when getting into third, failing to back it up at Mornington last time. The bigger track could suit here. ITSAGIVEN (10) made nice improvement second up at Mornington when grabbing second at huge odds and have to respect off that. CREUSA (9) should improve up to 1 ¼m third up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	At debut, settled back and ran on when 7th of 10 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on May 14 over 1m, 8 len behind Meleys carrying 131lbs at $6.50. Can improve sharply to 1 ¼m. 1st Pick 6 Sign Up Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Non Runner T: Grahame Begg	126	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis At debut, settled back and ran on when 7th of 10 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on May 14 over 1m, 8 len behind Meleys carrying 131lbs at $6.50. Can improve sharply to 1 ¼m.
7	Last start 8th of 14 at Stawell Mdn-Sw on May 18 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 13 len behind Epoch with 131lbs at $6.50. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 4 over 1m, on a wet track, neck behind Just Landed carrying 131lbs at $2.80. Can bounce back here. 2nd Pick 7 Thunderbolt Way Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Nelson Smyth J: Fred W Kersley T: Nelson Smyth	155	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Last start 8th of 14 at Stawell Mdn-Sw on May 18 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 13 len behind Epoch with 131lbs at $6.50. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 4 over 1m, on a wet track, neck behind Just Landed carrying 131lbs at $2.80. Can bounce back here.
3	Comes off a 31 day let-up. Most recently 9th of 11 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 28 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Catch The Moon carrying 130lbs at $8.50. Before that 3rd of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on April 8 over 1 ¹/16m, 2.5 len behind Good Harmony with 130lbs at $18. Finds a suitable race and can be strong late. 3rd Pick 3 Luxor Gold Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Greg Eurell J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Greg Eurell	117	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Comes off a 31 day let-up. Most recently 9th of 11 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 28 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Catch The Moon carrying 130lbs at $8.50. Before that 3rd of 9 at Sale Mdn-Sw on April 8 over 1 ¹/16m, 2.5 len behind Good Harmony with 130lbs at $18. Finds a suitable race and can be strong late.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.