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8:15 AM

AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
45.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GENERAL BLU (4) looks the one to beat. He debuted at Geelong over 5 ?f and ran an eye-catching second, drawing wide there and getting right back to last before rattling home to be beaten a nose. He gets the golden switch to barrier two here and will take a power of beating. SPARKLING LUCK (8) resumes. He showed good ability in his debut campaign and has trialled well leading in. He can roll forward here and measure up with natural improvement. BRADFORD (1) was just fair in a similar race here fresh but should be fitter and can improve. CLANSMAN (3) is a Flying Artie gelding on debut for the Moloney yard who has trialled well leading in and can figure. Wary of MAHERSHALA (6) on debut for strong connections.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
General Blu silk

At debut, ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 10 at Geelong 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 20 over 5f, nose behind Superliv carrying 128lbs at $9. Excellent debut and will be very hard to hold out here.

1st Pick
4

General Blu

Jockey: Thomas Stockdale

Trainer: Simon Zahra

J: Thomas Stockdale

T: Simon Zahra

155---40%6/4

Analysis

At debut, ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 10 at Geelong 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 20 over 5f, nose behind Superliv carrying 128lbs at $9. Excellent debut and will be very hard to hold out here.

8
Sparkling Luck silk

Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 9 at Geelong Mdn-Sw October 2 over 1 ยน/16m, soft track, 3.5 len behind Brave Danza carrying 126lbs at $2.50. On debut fourth of 11 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw August 20 over 6f, soft track, 2 len behind Humble Trader with 128lbs at $21. Looks all set for a bright return.

2nd Pick
8

Sparkling Luck

Jockey: Zac Spain

Trainer: Lloyd Kennewell

J: Zac Spain

T: Lloyd Kennewell

115---16%11/2

Analysis

Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 9 at Geelong Mdn-Sw October 2 over 1 ยน/16m, soft track, 3.5 len behind Brave Danza carrying 126lbs at $2.50. On debut fourth of 11 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw August 20 over 6f, soft track, 2 len behind Humble Trader with 128lbs at $21. Looks all set for a bright return.

10
Dama Royale silk

Third race start today. When well in the market at debut, sat on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on January 3 over 5f, 0.6 len behind Blue Akoya with 123lbs at $3. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 17 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Migliorare with 123lbs at $4.20. Racing well. Shows ability and can figure prominently here.

3rd Pick
10

Dama Royale

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

J: Non Runner

T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

141---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Third race start today. When well in the market at debut, sat on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on January 3 over 5f, 0.6 len behind Blue Akoya with 123lbs at $3. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 17 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Migliorare with 123lbs at $4.20. Racing well. Shows ability and can figure prominently here.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.