AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Maiden

Synthetic

GOOD

22.9K

VIEW

Verdict

This race has taken a hit from scratchings and it leaves two horses dominating betting. COVERT MISSION (1) finished seventh when resuming two runs back then did a good job last start but found one better over 6f at this track, beaten only one length. This now looks very skinny and a repeat goes awfully close. TAG THE BRIDE (12) kept coming last time to finish 0.8 lengths from the winner in second over 5f at this track. Her debut here last time in reads very well and she can improve again. They're clearly the two but of the rest, MYHOMECOMINGQUEEN (6) wasn't far away last time and can place from SPIDERMAN (4) who maps well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Colt by Written Tycoon on debut. Won a Flemington jump-out on August 14. Strong chance to break through. Trial winner who should be very competitive. 1st Pick 10 Written Empire Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Non Runner T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	47	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Colt by Written Tycoon on debut. Won a Flemington jump-out on August 14. Strong chance to break through. Trial winner who should be very competitive.
1	Third-up today. First-up 7th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Seymour on July 19 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Works Dirty carrying 131lbs at $2.40. Second-up sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 16 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Phillip Island with 131lbs at $6. Racing well. Very fit now and a winning chance. 2nd Pick 1 Covert Mission Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Tony Noonan J: Jake Noonan T: Tony Noonan	185	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 7th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Seymour on July 19 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Works Dirty carrying 131lbs at $2.40. Second-up sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 16 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Phillip Island with 131lbs at $6. Racing well. Very fit now and a winning chance.
12	Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat Synthetic on July 14 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Pump The Pedals with 117lbs at $3.30. Second-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 10 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Watten Assett carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Rates highly. Improving and should take catching. 3rd Pick 12 Tag The Bride Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: John Sadler J: Jye Mcneil T: John Sadler	141	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat Synthetic on July 14 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Pump The Pedals with 117lbs at $3.30. Second-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 10 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Watten Assett carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Rates highly. Improving and should take catching.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.