AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

25.8K

VIEW

Verdict

A few last start winners to work out here. The leaning is to ASIATIC (10) for the Busuttin & Young stable. She got through the heavy going at Kyneton with a strong win first up over Tan Tat Delight, who won her next start by three lengths. Different conditions here but up in trip should suit and she can go on with it. QUEENSBURY (5) resumed with an encouraging run at Geelong when showing early speed, fitness just giving out late on the testing ground when second. He'll be better for that and his form last time in reads well. NAITANUI (2) resumed with a strong maiden win at Ararat, scoring by 1.75 lengths. Looks to have come back better this time around and can measure up. TASSRON (3) resumes having shown good ability last time in, albeit over a touch further. He draws for every chance. CAPTAINS CHOICE (1) was a shock winner here last start at $91 but it was only his second start.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Third race start. First start 5th of 10 at this track 2yo F Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Biologics with 126lbs at $7.50. Went for a spell before returning won by 0.5 len at Kyneton 3yo Mdn-Sw November 5 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Tan Tat Delight carrying 123lbs at $12. Has upside and should be able to go on with it. 1st Pick 10 Asiatic Jockey: Linda Meech Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Linda Meech T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	198	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Third race start. First start 5th of 10 at this track 2yo F Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Biologics with 126lbs at $7.50. Went for a spell before returning won by 0.5 len at Kyneton 3yo Mdn-Sw November 5 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Tan Tat Delight carrying 123lbs at $12. Has upside and should be able to go on with it.
5	Second run back. First-up after five months led but faded 2nd of 7 at Geelong 0 - 62 on November 8 over 6f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Vizie carrying 130lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 2 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Whateley with 128lbs at $14. Fitter now and should go close. 2nd Pick 5 Queensbury Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: John Moloney J: Thomas Stockdale T: John Moloney	171	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months led but faded 2nd of 7 at Geelong 0 - 62 on November 8 over 6f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Vizie carrying 130lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 9 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 2 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Whateley with 128lbs at $14. Fitter now and should go close.
2	Second run back. First-up after six months won by 1.75 len at Ararat Mdn-Sw November 9 over 6 ½f defeating Hughie's Spirit carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 6th of 8 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on May 25 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Gunado carrying 131lbs at $3.40. Can improve again, big chance. 3rd Pick 2 Naitanui Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Ben Allen T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	121	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months won by 1.75 len at Ararat Mdn-Sw November 9 over 6 ½f defeating Hughie's Spirit carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 6th of 8 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on May 25 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Gunado carrying 131lbs at $3.40. Can improve again, big chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.