AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

12.4f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

28.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ARDASHIR (2) stepped up to 1 ?/16m here and relished the stamina test, coming away to win his maiden by 3.5 lengths at his fourth start. He looks a stayer with some promise who can go on with it from a good draw. He goes on top from another 3.5 length maiden winner ROYAL OPTIMISM (3) who is off a short let up here. He was far too good at Geelong as favourite when last seen, he might just give Ardashir the map favours from a wider draw but there's little between them. QUITE THE LASS (6) won well two back and was good again over this route last time in similar company. She'll be up on speed and hard to run down. DEALT (7) got home well enough at Swan Hill last time and has place claims again. MR WATERVILLE (1) could be an improver up in trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Last start favourite, scored a big 3.5 len win at this track Mdn-Sw April 2 over 1/16m defeating Erupt with 131lbs at $1.60. The race before that 8th of 11 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on March 10 over 1 ¼m, 2.75 len behind Princess Painton carrying 131lbs at $8. Looks hard to beat again. 1st Pick 2 Ardashir Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Ciaron Maher	144	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Last start favourite, scored a big 3.5 len win at this track Mdn-Sw April 2 over 1/16m defeating Erupt with 131lbs at $1.60. The race before that 8th of 11 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on March 10 over 1 ¼m, 2.75 len behind Princess Painton carrying 131lbs at $8. Looks hard to beat again.
3	Racing well recently. Returns from a 32-day let-up. At the latest run favourite, won by 3.5 len at Geelong Mdn-Sw March 22 over 1m defeating Soul Mistress with 130lbs at $2.10. The race before that 3rd of 10 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on February 21 over 1 ³/16m, 0.5 len behind Yoshi Stardom with 130lbs at $1.70. Dominant last time and will take beating again. 2nd Pick 3 Royal Optimism Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Chris Waller J: Fred W Kersley T: Chris Waller	118	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Racing well recently. Returns from a 32-day let-up. At the latest run favourite, won by 3.5 len at Geelong Mdn-Sw March 22 over 1m defeating Soul Mistress with 130lbs at $2.10. The race before that 3rd of 10 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on February 21 over 1 ³/16m, 0.5 len behind Yoshi Stardom with 130lbs at $1.70. Dominant last time and will take beating again.
6	Racing well recently. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Bm66 on April 2 over 1/16m, long-neck behind Eye For An Eye with 125lbs at $3.20. The run before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Bairnsdale Bm62 March 22 over 1m defeating Luckett carrying 125lbs at $3.60. Going well and should be right there. 3rd Pick 6 Quite The Lass Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Reece Goodwin J: Jye Mcneil T: Reece Goodwin	125	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Bm66 on April 2 over 1/16m, long-neck behind Eye For An Eye with 125lbs at $3.20. The run before that came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Bairnsdale Bm62 March 22 over 1m defeating Luckett carrying 125lbs at $3.60. Going well and should be right there.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.