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4:00 AM

AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 4

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8f
Maiden
Synthetic
ALL WEATHER
22.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ROCK CATCHER (10) on top, having her first run in Australia for the Greg Eurell yard. She'd shown some ability in New Zealand, runner up at Awapuni Synthetic before coming here. Kicks off at a good trip and notably gets Damian Lane aboard, should be ready to run well. MISS SHIINO (9) was disappointing here second up over 1m but had run well at big odds fresh. Drawn to get back but should be steaming home. BIVVY (2) ran a solid race on debut on heavy going at Moe when well supported. Onto firmer footing here can see him improve quickly. BOLSHIE (3) is a 24 start maiden who put in a good effort last start at Cranbourne, now fresh for the drop in trip. Rough hope. ROXOLANI (11) struggled on debut in a good race but was in the market and could improve.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Rock Catcher silk

Comes off a 50 day let-up. Most recently 2nd of 8 at Awapuni Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 21 over 1 ยน/16m, 0.6 len behind Romanin carrying 125lbs at $2.90. The race before that 6th of 14 at Te Rapa Mdn 2&3yo on May 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Not Usual Moana with 122lbs at $12.40. Shows ability and can make a winning local debut.

1st Pick
10

Rock Catcher

Jockey: Damian Lane

Trainer: Greg Eurell

J: Damian Lane

T: Greg Eurell

130---27%11/4

Analysis

Comes off a 50 day let-up. Most recently 2nd of 8 at Awapuni Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 21 over 1 ยน/16m, 0.6 len behind Romanin carrying 125lbs at $2.90. The race before that 6th of 14 at Te Rapa Mdn 2&3yo on May 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Not Usual Moana with 122lbs at $12.40. Shows ability and can make a winning local debut.

9
Miss Shiino silk

Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on June 29 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Clansman with 127lbs at $51. Last start 8th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 20 over 1m, 6 len behind Oshima carrying 127lbs at $4. Better than the last effort suggests and is worth another chance.

2nd Pick
9

Miss Shiino

Jockey: Ethan Brown

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Ethan Brown

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

112---10%10/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on June 29 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Clansman with 127lbs at $51. Last start 8th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 20 over 1m, 6 len behind Oshima carrying 127lbs at $4. Better than the last effort suggests and is worth another chance.

2
Bivvy silk

Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 9 at Moe Mdn-Sw on July 21 over 6f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Heavy Haulage with 131lbs at $3.40. Shows ability and expected to improve. Can be a sharp improver now, respecting.

3rd Pick
2

Bivvy

Jockey: Jye Mcneil

Trainer: Cindy Alderson

J: Jye Mcneil

T: Cindy Alderson

96---20%4/1

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 9 at Moe Mdn-Sw on July 21 over 6f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Heavy Haulage with 131lbs at $3.40. Shows ability and expected to improve. Can be a sharp improver now, respecting.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.