AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 7

29.2K

VIEW

Verdict

ICARO (3) narrowly on top. He got home well for second at Caulfield Heath last time having also picked up late the start prior at Cranbourne when in the market. Would love him at 1 ¼m now but the big track here should suit much better and he should get his chance to wind up. LEFT HOOK (4) stepped up to 7 ¼f at Kyneton last time and ran well, showing speed but run down late. Can't see 1m being an issue off that. DELA BELLA (8) is going okay, no match for a dominant winner here last time out but beating the rest. She should settle midfield here and get her chance. VALLE DI LUCE (7) was fair fresh at Wangaratta but will be fitter for the suitable rise in trip. GOOD LORDY ME (2) next best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Most recently 2nd in a small field at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw on November 12 over 1m, slow going 0.8 len behind Sketch with 131lbs at $9. The race before that 7th of 11 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on October 31 over 1m, 3 len behind Chillies with 131lbs at $3.70. Going the right way, very hard to beat. 1st Pick 3 Icaro Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Michael Kent J: Ben Allen T: Michael Kent	214	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Most recently 2nd in a small field at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw on November 12 over 1m, slow going 0.8 len behind Sketch with 131lbs at $9. The race before that 7th of 11 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on October 31 over 1m, 3 len behind Chillies with 131lbs at $3.70. Going the right way, very hard to beat.
4	Most recently tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd in a small field at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on November 5 over 7 ¼f, on heavy track, head behind Setheus with 131lbs at $6. Before that of 7 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on October 6 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Ornithology carrying 131lbs at $11. Will take plenty of beating. 2nd Pick 4 Left Hook Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Beau Mertens T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	153	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Most recently tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd in a small field at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on November 5 over 7 ¼f, on heavy track, head behind Setheus with 131lbs at $6. Before that of 7 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on October 6 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Ornithology carrying 131lbs at $11. Will take plenty of beating.
8	At the latest run 2nd of 9 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on November 14 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Proven Record with 128lbs at $3.50. Before that 5th of 7 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 1m, 3 len behind Red Feathers carrying 128lbs at $2.40. Hard to hold out. 3rd Pick 8 Dela Bella Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Tetyana Furdetska J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Tetyana Furdetska	102	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 9 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on November 14 over 1m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Proven Record with 128lbs at $3.50. Before that 5th of 7 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 1m, 3 len behind Red Feathers carrying 128lbs at $2.40. Hard to hold out.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.