AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

31.8K

VIEW

Verdict

KINGS DOMAIN (7) has placed in both starts to date and looks well placed to break through. He stuck on well for second when last seen at Wangaratta and can improve again. This looks winnable and the bigger track can suit nicely. CERTAINLY QUIET (12) was just fair fresh at Kilmore when in the market over 7 ¼f, looking in need of more ground which she gets here. Expect improvement. ZAMPARINI SPIRIT (3) is going well, the placing two back behind Mystery 'N' Drama reading particularly well. He's had a few chances but should be right there. FABULOUS FIANO (6) resumes. He showed some ability last time in and this is a good trip to resume over. ACCIDENTAL BID (4) is an import having his first run for the Maher yard. Very wary for the sharp connections.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Lining up for just third start. At debut, held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 13 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Cinturato with 128lbs at $14. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on February 28 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Naraghi with 130lbs at $2.80. Coming along well and should be very hard to catch. 1st Pick 7 Kings Domain Jockey: Linda Meech Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Linda Meech T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	174	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Lining up for just third start. At debut, held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 13 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Cinturato with 128lbs at $14. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on February 28 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Naraghi with 130lbs at $2.80. Coming along well and should be very hard to catch.
12	Second run back. First-up after three months 7th of 10 at Kilmore 3yo F Mdn-Sw on March 6 over 7 ¼f, slow going 4 len behind She's Stargazing with 126lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 4th of 7 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm64 on December 3 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Island Boy with 123lbs at $5.50. Strips much fitter and is expected to improve. 2nd Pick 12 Certainly Quiet Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Jerome Hunter J: Thomas Stockdale T: Jerome Hunter	178	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months 7th of 10 at Kilmore 3yo F Mdn-Sw on March 6 over 7 ¼f, slow going 4 len behind She's Stargazing with 126lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 4th of 7 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm64 on December 3 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Island Boy with 123lbs at $5.50. Strips much fitter and is expected to improve.
3	Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on March 5 over 7f, 6 len behind Labelmaker carrying 131lbs at $14. The race before that held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Sandown-Hillside Mdn-Sw on January 21 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Mystery 'N' Drama carrying 131lbs at $14. Finds a nice race and can take catching. 3rd Pick 3 Zamparini Spirit Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Clayton Douglas J: Jamie Mott T: Clayton Douglas	124	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on March 5 over 7f, 6 len behind Labelmaker carrying 131lbs at $14. The race before that held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Sandown-Hillside Mdn-Sw on January 21 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Mystery 'N' Drama carrying 131lbs at $14. Finds a nice race and can take catching.

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