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8:45 AM

AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
6f
Class 1
Turf
GOOD 4
26.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FIRERATED (4) wasn't beaten far on debut at Pakenham and made good improvement to score at Moe at his second outing when racing up on speed. He draws for every chance here and can measure up. CHOCOLATE BOX (3) resumes with a consistent overall profile. She got over a touch further last time in but her only win to date came over this trip and she should be sharp enough to run a strong race. STORMBOURG (2) is looking to bounce back off an even run without the best of luck second up having caught the eye fresh with a big finish. He should be hard to hold out. OFF THEIR PERCH (8) is lightly raced off a solid return and has to be respected.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Stay Silent silk

Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation fourth of 13 at Sandown-Hillside Bm66 September 3 over 7f, 3 len behind Chest Of Gold carrying 129lbs at $8. Previous preparation first-up won by nose Geelong 3yo Mdn-Sw July 11 over 6f slow track defeating Rattle'n'roll carrying 128lbs at $3.10. Has the ability to take this out.

1st Pick
1

Stay Silent

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Non Runner

T: Ciaron Maher

73---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation fourth of 13 at Sandown-Hillside Bm66 September 3 over 7f, 3 len behind Chest Of Gold carrying 129lbs at $8. Previous preparation first-up won by nose Geelong 3yo Mdn-Sw July 11 over 6f slow track defeating Rattle'n'roll carrying 128lbs at $3.10. Has the ability to take this out.

4
Firerated silk

Having third race start. At debut, 4th of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 5f, slow going 1.1 len behind Ruby Avenue with 128lbs at $7. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw December 14 over 5 ½f defeating In'kantosstar carrying 128lbs at $10. Can go on with it.

2nd Pick
4

Firerated

Jockey: Koby Jennings

Trainer: Alexander Rae

J: Koby Jennings

T: Alexander Rae

124---35%15/8

Analysis

Having third race start. At debut, 4th of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 5f, slow going 1.1 len behind Ruby Avenue with 128lbs at $7. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at Moe 3yo Mdn-Sw December 14 over 5 ½f defeating In'kantosstar carrying 128lbs at $10. Can go on with it.

3
Chocolate Box silk

Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation fourth of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm64 August 6 over 1m, soft track, 1.5 len behind Moonlight Circus with 131lbs at $3.20. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 1.5 len Mornington Mdn-Sw May 26 over 6f defeating Shezadente with 127lbs at $1.80. Consistent sort who should run well fresh.

3rd Pick
3

Chocolate Box

Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf

Trainer: Wendy Kelly

J: Lachlan Neindorf

T: Wendy Kelly

102---20%4/1

Analysis

Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation fourth of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm64 August 6 over 1m, soft track, 1.5 len behind Moonlight Circus with 131lbs at $3.20. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 1.5 len Mornington Mdn-Sw May 26 over 6f defeating Shezadente with 127lbs at $1.80. Consistent sort who should run well fresh.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.