AU - Pakenham - Race 3

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

31.7K

VIEW

Verdict

The blue blood (I Am Invincible x Arcadia Queen) FEDERALIST (4) resumes as a gelding. He's yet to place in six runs but has put up some performances in top company that win this, just doing plenty wrong as a colt. Outside of his unlucky debut, this is the only time he's been in maiden company and despite the wide gate he can prove too good. STANDARD DEVIATION (1) resumes, making his local debut for Chris Waller. He showed ability in three runs in Ireland and should be respected, especially if firm in bettong. WRITTEN STORY (10) resumes. She showed ability last time in and can run well fresh. STUNTMAN (5) was good in a handy maiden on debut and can improve.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Resumes. Finished off last campaign ninth of 13 at Randwick in the G1 Champion October 25 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Attica carrying 125lbs at $9.50. First up last campaign second last of 12 at Rosehill in the G3 Ming Dynasty September 13 over 7f, soft track, 8 len behind Sixties with 120lbs at $9. Form last time reads very well for this. 1st Pick 4 Federalist Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: M, W & J Hawkes J: Teo Nugent T: M, W & J Hawkes	176	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Resumes. Finished off last campaign ninth of 13 at Randwick in the G1 Champion October 25 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Attica carrying 125lbs at $9.50. First up last campaign second last of 12 at Rosehill in the G3 Ming Dynasty September 13 over 7f, soft track, 8 len behind Sixties with 120lbs at $9. Form last time reads very well for this.
1	Resuming. Finished off last campaign second of 9 at Naas 3yo C&G Mdn Sw June 25 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Esherann with 134lbs at $1.30. On debut fourth of 12 at Gowran Park 3yo C&G Mdn Sw April 2 over 1m, 4 len behind The Liffey Swim carrying 134lbs at $8. Talented import who has to be respected. 2nd Pick 1 Standard Deviation Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Chris Waller J: Jye Mcneil T: Chris Waller	73	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last campaign second of 9 at Naas 3yo C&G Mdn Sw June 25 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Esherann with 134lbs at $1.30. On debut fourth of 12 at Gowran Park 3yo C&G Mdn Sw April 2 over 1m, 4 len behind The Liffey Swim carrying 134lbs at $8. Talented import who has to be respected.
12	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 3rd of 8 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo F Mdn-Sw on January 21 over 6 ½f, 0.7 len behind Get Honor carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 12 over 7f, nose behind The Benchmark carrying 126lbs at $3. Peaks now and finds the right race. 3rd Pick 12 Irreverent Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Non Runner T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	178	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 3rd of 8 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo F Mdn-Sw on January 21 over 6 ½f, 0.7 len behind Get Honor carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 12 over 7f, nose behind The Benchmark carrying 126lbs at $3. Peaks now and finds the right race.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.