AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 1

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Synthetic

GOOD

29.6K

VIEW

Verdict

ADAKITE (14) was beaten first up as favourite at Mornington but ran a good race to grab second and should come on from that. She's knocking on the door with three minor placings in a row and finds a nice race to break through with any luck from the gate. NOVAMIRA (10) improved rising to this trip at Bendigo last time out at her third start when fourth. She's another drawn wide but can improve again. HELVECCHIO (2) resumes having run well on debut at Flemington, getting home nicely for a narrow fifth. He'll likely get further this time in but should take holding out. TUZEMAK (12) presents third up and can improve having tackled a stronger race in town last time. VIKING KID (7) is a Wootton Bassett gelding for the Price & Kent Jnr yard who must be respected with Shinn booked.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
14	Second-up. First-up after three months made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Mornington on September 17 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Coronation Turbo carrying 121lbs at $2.15. Previously second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 10 in a 2yo Hcp at Mornington on June 8 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Determined Rose with 125lbs at $31. Winning chance with that run under the belt. 1st Pick 14 Adakite Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black J: Non Runner T: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black	145	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Mornington on September 17 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Coronation Turbo carrying 121lbs at $2.15. Previously second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 10 in a 2yo Hcp at Mornington on June 8 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Determined Rose with 125lbs at $31. Winning chance with that run under the belt.
10	Last start 4th of 12 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 20 over 7f, 4 len behind Classic Gem carrying 122lbs at $5. Before that from last on the turn ran second last of 10 in a 3yo F Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 5f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Smoky Kitchen carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Will take holding out this level. 2nd Pick 10 Novamira Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Chris Waller J: Fred W Kersley T: Chris Waller	95	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Last start 4th of 12 in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 20 over 7f, 4 len behind Classic Gem carrying 122lbs at $5. Before that from last on the turn ran second last of 10 in a 3yo F Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 5f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Smoky Kitchen carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Will take holding out this level.
2	Returns to racing after only one start. Back after three-and-a-half months break. At debut last start 5th of 14 in a 2yo Hcp at Flemington on June 20 over 7f, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Fontein Jewel carrying 126lbs at $26. Had six recent trials to get ready for this. Last trial ran 3rd in a jump-out at Flemington on September 24. Has ability and should take holding out. 3rd Pick 2 Helvecchio Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Jye Mcneil T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	192	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Returns to racing after only one start. Back after three-and-a-half months break. At debut last start 5th of 14 in a 2yo Hcp at Flemington on June 20 over 7f, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Fontein Jewel carrying 126lbs at $26. Had six recent trials to get ready for this. Last trial ran 3rd in a jump-out at Flemington on September 24. Has ability and should take holding out.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.