AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

10.9f

Maiden

Synthetic

UNKNOWN

22.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

LINKENHOLT (3) looks nicely placed at his third career start having improved nicely up to 1 ¼m last start at Pakenham when closing off well into third. The extra 1f here should only be in his favour again and he draws for a soft run. ITSAGIVEN (9) has been thereabouts in three runs this time in, through the same race as Linkenholt at Pakenham when sent out $3.70 and battling into fourth. Onto the synthetic here could suit better. CREUSA (7) was fifth there, also in the market, and is another bred to stay who could appreciate firmer footing. LUXOR GOLD (4) is off a let up but has the ability to challenge while PRONOUNCED (6) is lightly raced and could improve.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Raced twice to date. At long odds at debut, 6th of 10 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on May 14 over 1m, 8 len behind Meleys with 131lbs at $41. Last start 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, long-neck behind Autumn Diamonds carrying 131lbs at $8. Progressing well and sets up nicely. 1st Pick 3 Linkenholt Jockey: Luke Cartwright Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Luke Cartwright T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	174	-	-	-	63%	3/5
Analysis Raced twice to date. At long odds at debut, 6th of 10 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on May 14 over 1m, 8 len behind Meleys with 131lbs at $41. Last start 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, long-neck behind Autumn Diamonds carrying 131lbs at $8. Progressing well and sets up nicely.
9	Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Autumn Diamonds with 127lbs at $3.70. Before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 28 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Catch The Moon carrying 126lbs at $41. Should take holding out. 2nd Pick 9 Itsagiven Jockey: Adam Mccabe Trainer: David & Coral Feek J: Adam Mccabe T: David & Coral Feek	93	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Autumn Diamonds with 127lbs at $3.70. Before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 28 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Catch The Moon carrying 126lbs at $41. Should take holding out.
7	At the latest run 5th of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 4 len behind Autumn Diamonds with 127lbs at $6.50. The run before that 10th of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 1m, slow going 13 len behind Don't Doubt Dare with 128lbs at $5.50. Should be right there again. 3rd Pick 7 Creusa Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Emma-Lee & David Browne J: Jye Mcneil T: Emma-Lee & David Browne	100	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 4 len behind Autumn Diamonds with 127lbs at $6.50. The run before that 10th of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 1m, slow going 13 len behind Don't Doubt Dare with 128lbs at $5.50. Should be right there again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.