AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 9

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Synthetic

UNKNOWN

19.0K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

STRONG BOX (13) is a lightly raced 3yo gelding who looks well placed. He was a smart maiden winner first up at Seymour before tackling a stronger race at Caulfield Heath, not far away in sixth. Up to 6f can suit now, he should be charging late. REGAL SECRET (7) has been below her best at her past two in Adelaide but is better than that and has placed here. Look for a better run with Neindorf booked. HAPPY LINK (10) resumes off good jumpout form. Her synthetic form isn't flash but she's well up to this class. LULU DARLING (12) is going okay without winning, off a let up for the drop in trip now. She loves it here and that can prove key. MR BUTT'S BOATS (3) next best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
13	Third-up today. First-up won by 1.5 len at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw April 13 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Finance Work carrying 128lbs at $8. Last start got back early 6th of 9 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm64 on May 20 over 5f, slow going 2 len behind I'm Foxing carrying 130lbs at $13. Has upside and is suited this level. 1st Pick 13 Strong Box Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Dominic Sutton J: Damien Thornton T: Dominic Sutton	92	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up won by 1.5 len at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw April 13 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Finance Work carrying 128lbs at $8. Last start got back early 6th of 9 at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm64 on May 20 over 5f, slow going 2 len behind I'm Foxing carrying 130lbs at $13. Has upside and is suited this level.
7	Comes here off a 30-day let-up. Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading 9th of 14 at Morphettville Parks F&M Bm64 on May 16 over 6 ¼f, 4 len behind Invertational with 128lbs at $4.20. Before that sat on the pace before fading 8th of 14 at Morphettville 0-68 on April 25 over 6f, 7 len behind Vangogh Bankcheque with 128lbs at $7.50. Can improve sharply here. 2nd Pick 7 Regal Secret Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Phillip Stokes	140	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Comes here off a 30-day let-up. Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading 9th of 14 at Morphettville Parks F&M Bm64 on May 16 over 6 ¼f, 4 len behind Invertational with 128lbs at $4.20. Before that sat on the pace before fading 8th of 14 at Morphettville 0-68 on April 25 over 6f, 7 len behind Vangogh Bankcheque with 128lbs at $7.50. Can improve sharply here.
10	Mare back from a spell of eight months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 12 at Seymour F&M Bm70 October 12 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Dane On Tour carrying 126lbs at $4.20. First up last campaign fourth of 7 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm70 April 9 2025 over 6f, 1.3 len behind I Am Velvet carrying 129lbs at $3. Best form reads well, respecting. 3rd Pick 10 Happy Link Jockey: Billy Egan Trainer: Greg Eurell J: Billy Egan T: Greg Eurell	65	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Mare back from a spell of eight months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 12 at Seymour F&M Bm70 October 12 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Dane On Tour carrying 126lbs at $4.20. First up last campaign fourth of 7 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm70 April 9 2025 over 6f, 1.3 len behind I Am Velvet carrying 129lbs at $3. Best form reads well, respecting.

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An apprentice jockey.

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A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

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An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.