AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 9

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Synthetic

ALL WEATHER

15.5K

VIEW

Verdict

YOU NEVER CAN TELL (4) was first up off a short break here over 6f and proved too good, scoring by just under a length. He should be even better suited rising to 7f off that and with any luck from the wide gate he should take beating. KING MAYWIN (3) was in the market over this route last time in a BM62 but struggled after drawing wide and pushing forward. The maiden win prior was dominant and he can bounce back strongly. QUBELLA (9) won nicely here two back over 6f and is racing quite well for an 8yo mare. She'll take some holding out. ACHETER (10) switches to synthetic for the first time which could spark improvement. EXPRESS GUARD (12) doesn't win out of turn but was good here two back and that has him right in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Second run back. First-up after two months won by 0.8 len at this track Bm56 July 6 over 6f defeating Godtfred Kirk carrying 131lbs at $11. Previously second-up 4th of 11 at Pakenham Bm62 on March 5 over 1m, 3 len behind Nic's Choice with 129lbs at $17. Nice win fresh and should go on with it. 1st Pick 4 You Never Can Tell Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Greg Eurell J: Thomas Stockdale T: Greg Eurell	109	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after two months won by 0.8 len at this track Bm56 July 6 over 6f defeating Godtfred Kirk carrying 131lbs at $11. Previously second-up 4th of 11 at Pakenham Bm62 on March 5 over 1m, 3 len behind Nic's Choice with 129lbs at $17. Nice win fresh and should go on with it.
3	At the latest run raced on the pace before fading ran second last of 12 at this track Bm62 on July 20 over 7f, 8 len behind Savannah Chill carrying 130lbs at $3.80. The run before that favourite, won by 4 len at this track Mdn-Sw June 15 over 7f defeating Prague Pride carrying 131lbs at $2.45. Terrific chance to return to form. 2nd Pick 3 King Maywin Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Greg Eurell J: Jamie Mott T: Greg Eurell	109	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run raced on the pace before fading ran second last of 12 at this track Bm62 on July 20 over 7f, 8 len behind Savannah Chill carrying 130lbs at $3.80. The run before that favourite, won by 4 len at this track Mdn-Sw June 15 over 7f defeating Prague Pride carrying 131lbs at $2.45. Terrific chance to return to form.
9	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 1.3 len at this track Bm56 July 6 over 6f defeating Bella Pietra carrying 128lbs at $16. Second run from a spell eased back early on 6th of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm56 on July 27 over 6f, 4 len behind Firerated with 132lbs at $8. Expected to do much better. 3rd Pick 9 Qubella Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Barry Goodwin J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Barry Goodwin	106	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 1.3 len at this track Bm56 July 6 over 6f defeating Bella Pietra carrying 128lbs at $16. Second run from a spell eased back early on 6th of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm56 on July 27 over 6f, 4 len behind Firerated with 132lbs at $8. Expected to do much better.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.