AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 8

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Synthetic

GOOD

15.3K

VIEW

Verdict

MANHATTAN THUNDER (2) doesn't win very often but ran a strong race last time out over this track and trip when holding fourth. Strips rock-hard fit now and keep Stockdale. Leading player. STORMBOURG (4) flashed home into the placings here last start over this journey. Will drift back again but if the pace is decent she can reel them in late. RUBY AVENUE (3) finished third last start at the first run back from a spell over 5f at this track, beaten a length. Will strip fitter this time. Placed to advantage and can fill another top-three spot. WILF (7) has left himself with far too much ground to bridge since resuming and has since been freshened with a month between runs. Draws to go back again but gets an important 7lbs claim. Can improve sharply and fill a spot at long odds.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Racing well recently. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at this track Bm62 on June 22 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Mafee carrying 131lbs at $7.50. The run before that 3rd of 10 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 on May 27 over 5f, slow going 1.3 len behind Along The River carrying 122lbs at $51. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance. 1st Pick 2 Manhattan Thunder Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: John Sadler J: Thomas Stockdale T: John Sadler	143	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at this track Bm62 on June 22 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Mafee carrying 131lbs at $7.50. The run before that 3rd of 10 at Caulfield Heath Bm70 on May 27 over 5f, slow going 1.3 len behind Along The River carrying 122lbs at $51. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.
4	At the latest run 2nd of 11 at this track Bm62 on June 22 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Mafee with 131lbs at $12. The run before that ran second last of 9 at Sale 0 - 66 on June 10 over 5f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Mad About Magnus with 121lbs at $4. Will take plenty of beating. 2nd Pick 4 Stormbourg Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: John Moloney J: Teo Nugent T: John Moloney	149	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 11 at this track Bm62 on June 22 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Mafee with 131lbs at $12. The run before that ran second last of 9 at Sale 0 - 66 on June 10 over 5f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Mad About Magnus with 121lbs at $4. Will take plenty of beating.
3	Second run back. First-up after four months made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track Bm62 on June 22 over 5f, 1.0 len behind Mafee with 131lbs at $21. Previously second-up won by a long-neck at Pakenham Mdn-Sw November 21 over 5f on a soft track defeating Posh Diamante with 131lbs at $18. Well placed and gets his chance to break through. 3rd Pick 3 Ruby Avenue Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Andrea Leek J: Jye Mcneil T: Andrea Leek	113	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track Bm62 on June 22 over 5f, 1.0 len behind Mafee with 131lbs at $21. Previously second-up won by a long-neck at Pakenham Mdn-Sw November 21 over 5f on a soft track defeating Posh Diamante with 131lbs at $18. Well placed and gets his chance to break through.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.