AU - Pakenham - Race 6

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

27.9K

VIEW

Verdict

BELCONY (6) was strong in front and did enough to hold them off and score by a lip here two weeks ago. Is sure to have taken improvement from that and can make it two on the bounce. FIRST CHORUS (1) resumes over what may be short of her preferred trip, but she's a proven winner and has jumped out sharply in readiness. Is drawn to advantage and gets an important claim. Will be right there when they quicken. HERE THE CROWD (4) could not quite live up to market expectations last start at Caulfield Heath but can get things back on track third-up. Freshened 36 days and reunites with Benny Allen. Can give this a shake. GELLHORN (3) is another returning and will be looking to replicate her first-up effort last campaign when beating Watersports by a head. That form measures up well for this, and a jump-out in readiness should have her forward enough. Do not take lightly. Sectionals suggest HEAVENLY KISS (5) has been crying out for this sort of trip. Keep an eye on her late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Second run back. First-up after five months won by a nose at this track F&M Bm62 March 12 over 7f defeating Simply Outrageous with 131lbs at $14. Previously second-up ran last of 7 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Bm64 on April 9 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Sirena carrying 130lbs at $10. Likely to come on from that run and can make it two on the trot. 1st Pick 6 Belcony Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Reece Goodwin J: Jake Noonan T: Reece Goodwin	213	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months won by a nose at this track F&M Bm62 March 12 over 7f defeating Simply Outrageous with 131lbs at $14. Previously second-up ran last of 7 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Bm64 on April 9 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Sirena carrying 130lbs at $10. Likely to come on from that run and can make it two on the trot.
1	Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation winning by 1.5 len Flemington F&M Bm70 November 6 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Full Hao with 128lbs at $4.80. On debut seventh of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw June 20 over 6f, soft track, 8 len behind Electric Elvis with 127lbs at $51. Capable of a bold return off some nice jump-outs. 2nd Pick 1 First Chorus Jockey: Emily Pozman Trainer: Lindsey Smith J: Emily Pozman T: Lindsey Smith	177	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation winning by 1.5 len Flemington F&M Bm70 November 6 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Full Hao with 128lbs at $4.80. On debut seventh of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw June 20 over 6f, soft track, 8 len behind Electric Elvis with 127lbs at $51. Capable of a bold return off some nice jump-outs.
4	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Comes off a 36 day let-up. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at this track Bm62 on January 29 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Insain Harry carrying 128lbs at $9. Last start 5th of 9 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 on February 18 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Cameron Falls carrying 126lbs at $2.50. Building nicely and rates a key chance. 3rd Pick 4 Here The Crowd Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Ben Allen T: Ciaron Maher	146	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Comes off a 36 day let-up. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at this track Bm62 on January 29 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Insain Harry carrying 128lbs at $9. Last start 5th of 9 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 on February 18 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Cameron Falls carrying 126lbs at $2.50. Building nicely and rates a key chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.