AU - Pakenham - Race 4

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

40.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Handy race. FROSTNIP (4) ran a very good race first up at Geelong in a rich race, showing speed there and sticking on gamely for a narrow second. She looks to have come back better after not quite measuring up in some strong races as a 2yo and can go one better in this suitable affair. SHINJINA (5) resumes for her second campaign. She showed plenty of ability in her first campaign with form around some top horses including Point Barrow before a close-up effort in G3 company. She can land in a good spot here and take beating. WILTSHIRE SQUARE (3) wasn't far away fresh at Flemington against the older horses and comes back to her age here. She measured up well to some of the best 2yos last time in and should go close here. HELLO ROMEO (1) was solid fresh and could be an improver with consistent form last time in. YOLO (2) has been good in two runs back and has claims again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Second run back. First-up after seven months tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 9 at Geelong 3yo Hcp on January 3 over 5 ½f, 0.5 len behind Jewel Bandit carrying 119lbs at $21. Previously second-up 6th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside 2yo F Hcp on May 24 over 5f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Miss Ole with 126lbs at $9. Nice return and will be hard to catch here. 1st Pick 4 Frostnip Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Jye Mcneil T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	121	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after seven months tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 9 at Geelong 3yo Hcp on January 3 over 5 ½f, 0.5 len behind Jewel Bandit carrying 119lbs at $21. Previously second-up 6th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside 2yo F Hcp on May 24 over 5f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Miss Ole with 126lbs at $9. Nice return and will be hard to catch here.
5	Resuming. Finished off last campaign seventh of 11 at Moonee Valley in the G3 Champagne September 26 over 6f, 2 len behind Snow Mercy carrying 123lbs at $31. On debut third of 10 at Sandown-Hillside 2yo F Hcp July 23 over 5f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Tiz Worthy with 123lbs at $9.50. Progressive type who should take beating fresh. 2nd Pick 5 Shinjina Jockey: Emily Pozman Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Emily Pozman T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	119	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last campaign seventh of 11 at Moonee Valley in the G3 Champagne September 26 over 6f, 2 len behind Snow Mercy carrying 123lbs at $31. On debut third of 10 at Sandown-Hillside 2yo F Hcp July 23 over 5f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Tiz Worthy with 123lbs at $9.50. Progressive type who should take beating fresh.
3	Second-up. First-up after seven months 5th of 10 at Flemington F&M Bm74 on December 31 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Cavalry Girl with 117lbs at $14. Previously second-up won by 1.3 len at Werribee Mdn-Sw May 31 over 5f defeating Regina Dei Re carrying 121lbs at $1.45. Not beaten far fresh and has the ability to measure up. 3rd Pick 3 Wiltshire Square Jockey: Luke Cartwright Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Luke Cartwright T: Ciaron Maher	152	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months 5th of 10 at Flemington F&M Bm74 on December 31 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Cavalry Girl with 117lbs at $14. Previously second-up won by 1.3 len at Werribee Mdn-Sw May 31 over 5f defeating Regina Dei Re carrying 121lbs at $1.45. Not beaten far fresh and has the ability to measure up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.