AU - Pakenham - Race 2

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

31.8K

VIEW

Verdict

IRREVERENT (11) missed a nose in a future stars series heat at Pakenham three weeks ago. That followed a near miss at Sandown-Hillside first-up. She has more to give and appeals most. ON THE LOOSE (9) had been well-educated and finished third on debut and also went close in a future star heat at Pakenham. Is sure to have taken benefit and has been kept on the fresh side. Tough to peg back. COSTA PAROS (4) races forward and brings placings from Cranbourne. The gate is awkward and he may not have the immediate upside of the pair above. He's a hope regardless. ZOUDEADLY (13) finds a bit tougher, but there was a lot to like about his Werribee placing fourth-up. He'll be hitting the line well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 8 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo F Mdn-Sw on January 21 over 6 ½f, 0.7 len behind Get Honor with 126lbs at $2.90. Second run from a spell raced on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 12 over 7f, nose behind The Benchmark with 126lbs at $3. Winning chance. 1st Pick 11 Irreverent Jockey: Zac Spain Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Zac Spain T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	179	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 8 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo F Mdn-Sw on January 21 over 6 ½f, 0.7 len behind Get Honor with 126lbs at $2.90. Second run from a spell raced on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 12 over 7f, nose behind The Benchmark with 126lbs at $3. Winning chance.
9	At debut, rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 5 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Berlemont carrying 130lbs at $13. Plenty of upside and is among the leading contenders. 2nd Pick 9 On The Loose Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Greg Eurell J: Beau Mertens T: Greg Eurell	158	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At debut, rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on February 5 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Berlemont carrying 130lbs at $13. Plenty of upside and is among the leading contenders.
4	Form hard to fault. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 13 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Cinturato with 128lbs at $6.50. The start before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on January 30 over 7 ½f, neck behind Lisa Lass carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Perfectly placed to get off the mark. 3rd Pick 4 Costa Paros Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Luke Currie T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	142	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 13 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Cinturato with 128lbs at $6.50. The start before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 8 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on January 30 over 7 ½f, neck behind Lisa Lass carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Perfectly placed to get off the mark.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.