AU - Pakenham - Race 2

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

29.2K

VIEW

Verdict

POISED (9) resumes. She only had one run last time in and ran last but it was on heavy ground and she did start $3.40 so it can be excused. Her very early form suggested she had good ability and the stable should have her ready to go off two solid trials. ALIANO (1) resumes having run a close-up fourth on debut at Sandown Lakeside, only beaten 1.1 lengths on that occasion. He can be an improver with a spell under the belt and draws for every chance. BRAZEN DIVA (8) ran well fresh at Mornington over this trip, notching up her fifth minor placing to date. Has the advantage of race fitness now and can go one better. LOUIS BARTHAS (3) resumes having run well at his local debut at Sale last time in. With a bit more time to acclimate, he can run a good race. ROCK GLORY (10) has shown glimpses of ability that have her in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Back after a long spell. Only had one start last campaign ran last in a small field at Canterbury 2&3yo Mdn-Sw on April 30 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 9 len behind Big Red Tequila carrying 125lbs at $3.40. First up last campaign 2nd of 12 at Warwick Farm 2yo F Mdn on June 5 2024 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, long-neck behind Declichy Boulevard carrying 126lbs at $4.50. Trialled on November 7 at Randwick over 5 ¼f and finished fourth. Should take plenty of beating. 1st Pick 9 Poised Jockey: Jordan Childs Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Jordan Childs T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	85	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Back after a long spell. Only had one start last campaign ran last in a small field at Canterbury 2&3yo Mdn-Sw on April 30 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 9 len behind Big Red Tequila carrying 125lbs at $3.40. First up last campaign 2nd of 12 at Warwick Farm 2yo F Mdn on June 5 2024 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, long-neck behind Declichy Boulevard carrying 126lbs at $4.50. Trialled on November 7 at Randwick over 5 ¼f and finished fourth. Should take plenty of beating.
1	Resumes from a spell after only one run when 4th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Double Pi with 131lbs at $3.10. Profiles nicely. 2nd Pick 1 Aliano Jockey: Luke Nolen Trainer: Robbie Griffiths J: Luke Nolen T: Robbie Griffiths	110	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Resumes from a spell after only one run when 4th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Double Pi with 131lbs at $3.10. Profiles nicely.
8	Second-up. First-up after seven months 2nd of 8 at Mornington F&M Mdn on November 2 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Regina D'oro carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at Werribee 3yo F Mdn-Sw on January 31 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Duty Calls carrying 126lbs at $5. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat. 3rd Pick 8 Brazen Diva Jockey: Logan Bates Trainer: Greg Eurell J: Logan Bates T: Greg Eurell	180	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months 2nd of 8 at Mornington F&M Mdn on November 2 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Regina D'oro carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at Werribee 3yo F Mdn-Sw on January 31 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Duty Calls carrying 126lbs at $5. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.