AU - Pakenham - Race 2

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

12.4f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

25.2K

VIEW

Verdict

HANAFUBUKI (3) is knocking on the door, finishing in the first three at her past three starts. Will be hard fit coming back from 1 ?m last time and should take beating again. MERCANTE (2) was a narrow winner here over 1 ?/16m two back before struggling at Bendigo when in the market. Needs to find best but does map well. GYPSY COVE (4) is coming off an easy maiden win here last time out and may be able to go on with it. BIT OF OZ (5) perhaps next best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Most recently 5th of 11 at Sandown-Hillside Bm74 on February 26 over 1 ½m, 2 len behind Romans Luck carrying 125lbs at $3.60. The race before that favourite, won by 1.3 len at this track Bm64 January 30 over 1 ¼m defeating Socially Sassy carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Can atone. 1st Pick 1 Cotton Tree Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Non Runner T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	167	-	-	-	48%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently 5th of 11 at Sandown-Hillside Bm74 on February 26 over 1 ½m, 2 len behind Romans Luck carrying 125lbs at $3.60. The race before that favourite, won by 1.3 len at this track Bm64 January 30 over 1 ¼m defeating Socially Sassy carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Can atone.
3	Going well. Most recently 2nd in a small field at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on February 19 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Highland Blaze with 123lbs at $3.20. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Bendigo Bm64 on February 9 over 1 ½m, 0.5 len behind Black Peppermint with 130lbs at $3. Will prove a tough nut to crack. 2nd Pick 3 Hanafubuki Jockey: Blake Shinn Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Blake Shinn T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	249	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Going well. Most recently 2nd in a small field at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on February 19 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Highland Blaze with 123lbs at $3.20. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Bendigo Bm64 on February 9 over 1 ½m, 0.5 len behind Black Peppermint with 130lbs at $3. Will prove a tough nut to crack.
2	Comes here off a 32-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 7 at Bendigo Bm64 on February 9 over 1 ½m, 6 len behind Black Peppermint with 132lbs at $4.20. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a neck at this track Bm64 January 17 over 1/16m defeating Legatus carrying 128lbs at $2.80. Deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 2 Mercante Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Nigel Blackiston J: Beau Mertens T: Nigel Blackiston	117	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Comes here off a 32-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 7 at Bendigo Bm64 on February 9 over 1 ½m, 6 len behind Black Peppermint with 132lbs at $4.20. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a neck at this track Bm64 January 17 over 1/16m defeating Legatus carrying 128lbs at $2.80. Deserves another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.