AU - Pakenham - Race 2

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

32.2K

VIEW

Verdict

No surprise to see AVENUE MONTAIGNE (2) in the red. Two runs back have been good in what look like stronger maidens, getting home well for second here last time out. She gets blinkers on, draws ideally and this race looks to lack depth on paper. VESPERS (6) has been solid in two runs to date, battling on well here on wet ground second up. She can continue to progress. EMANATING (3) was just fair first up at Geelong over 6f but will be fitter and the rise to 7f looks in her favour. SHINY DIAMOND (5) is a filly by Super Seth on debut for the Bedggood yard. Her jumpouts suggest further might be better in time but she can run well. ADIRA RIVER (1) next best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today. First-up 4th of 7 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 25 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Santana with 123lbs at $4.20. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on April 9 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind There Were Roses carrying 127lbs at $3.10. Capable of a better showing. Peaks now and finds an ideal race. 1st Pick 2 Avenue Montaigne Jockey: Jordan Childs Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Jordan Childs T: Grahame Begg	273	-	-	-	58%	8/11
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 4th of 7 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 25 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Santana with 123lbs at $4.20. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on April 9 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind There Were Roses carrying 127lbs at $3.10. Capable of a better showing. Peaks now and finds an ideal race.
6	Raced twice to date. At very long odds at debut, of 7 at Geelong 3yo F Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 6f, 4 len behind Farakta with 126lbs at $51. Last start 3rd in a small field at this track Mdn-Sw on April 16 over 7f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Upstage with 127lbs at $7.50. Sure to feature again. 2nd Pick 6 Vespers Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: John Moloney J: Teo Nugent T: John Moloney	122	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Raced twice to date. At very long odds at debut, of 7 at Geelong 3yo F Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 6f, 4 len behind Farakta with 126lbs at $51. Last start 3rd in a small field at this track Mdn-Sw on April 16 over 7f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Upstage with 127lbs at $7.50. Sure to feature again.
3	Second run back. First-up after four months 5th of 7 at Geelong 3yo F Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Farakta carrying 126lbs at $31. Previously second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 at Mornington F&M Mdn-Sw on November 10 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Ravens Bay with 121lbs at $31. Fitter and can improve. 3rd Pick 3 Emanating Jockey: Luke Nolen Trainer: Craig Blackshaw J: Luke Nolen T: Craig Blackshaw	116	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months 5th of 7 at Geelong 3yo F Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Farakta carrying 126lbs at $31. Previously second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 at Mornington F&M Mdn-Sw on November 10 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Ravens Bay with 121lbs at $31. Fitter and can improve.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.