AU - Pakenham - Race 1

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

12.4f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

30.1K

VIEW

Verdict

PHOENICIAN (4) should be ready to go third up. He's certainly had his fair share of chances being an 18 start maiden but two runs back this time in have been good, jumping sharply in trip to 1 5/16m at Echuca last start, narrowly beaten as favourite. He gets to 1 ?/16m now and draws for every chance. DIAMOND FLASH ONE (2) is another knocking on the door, just finding one better at his past couple. He backed up a solid effort at the Woolamai picnics with a strong showing at Sale (at $61) and a repeat of that goes close. DEVINE GRUNT (1) is relatively lightly raced and presents third up in his second campaign. He got home well for third behind Phoenician last time and can improve again. FEAR NO ONE (3) struggled last time but has claims on best form while GRECIA GIRL (7) can be an improver at her fourth start.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 13 at Geelong 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 12 over 7f, 4 len behind Mislight with 131lbs at $26. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on December 31 over 1 5/16m, 1.0 len behind The Sweeney with 131lbs at $2.40. Ready to win. 1st Pick 4 Phoenician Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Ern Ewert J: Brad Rawiller T: Ern Ewert	185	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 13 at Geelong 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 12 over 7f, 4 len behind Mislight with 131lbs at $26. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on December 31 over 1 5/16m, 1.0 len behind The Sweeney with 131lbs at $2.40. Ready to win.
2	Form hard to fault. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Sale Mdn-Sw on January 8 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Gold Label Patch carrying 131lbs at $61. The race before that 2nd in a small field at Woolamai Pic-Mdn-Sw on January 3 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Sierra Sun with 148lbs at $3.30. Genuine hope on latest. 2nd Pick 2 Diamond Flash One Jockey: Valentin Le Boeuf Trainer: Frankie Stockdale J: Valentin Le Boeuf T: Frankie Stockdale	145	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Sale Mdn-Sw on January 8 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Gold Label Patch carrying 131lbs at $61. The race before that 2nd in a small field at Woolamai Pic-Mdn-Sw on January 3 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Sierra Sun with 148lbs at $3.30. Genuine hope on latest.
1	Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 9 at Tatura Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 1m, 3 len behind Stole Him with 131lbs at $21. Second-up ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on December 31 over 1 5/16m, 2.5 len behind The Sweeney with 131lbs at $6.50. Peaks now and should get his chance. 3rd Pick 1 Devine Grunt Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Aaron Laing J: Teo Nugent T: Aaron Laing	111	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 9 at Tatura Mdn-Sw on December 14 over 1m, 3 len behind Stole Him with 131lbs at $21. Second-up ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on December 31 over 1 5/16m, 2.5 len behind The Sweeney with 131lbs at $6.50. Peaks now and should get his chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.