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2:00 AM

AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 1

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
10.9f
Maiden
Synthetic
UNKNOWN
22.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LINKENHOLT (3) looks nicely placed at his third career start having improved nicely up to 1 ¼m last start at Pakenham when closing off well into third. The extra 1f here should only be in his favour again and he draws for a soft run. ITSAGIVEN (9) has been thereabouts in three runs this time in, through the same race as Linkenholt at Pakenham when sent out $3.70 and battling into fourth. Onto the synthetic here could suit better. CREUSA (7) was fifth there, also in the market, and is another bred to stay who could appreciate firmer footing. LUXOR GOLD (4) is off a let up but has the ability to challenge while PRONOUNCED (6) is lightly raced and could improve.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Linkenholt silk

Raced twice to date. At long odds at debut, 6th of 10 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on May 14 over 1m, 8 len behind Meleys with 131lbs at $41. Last start 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, long-neck behind Autumn Diamonds carrying 131lbs at $8. Progressing well and sets up nicely.

1st Pick
3

Linkenholt

Jockey: Luke Cartwright

Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

J: Luke Cartwright

T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

174---43%11/8

Analysis

Raced twice to date. At long odds at debut, 6th of 10 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on May 14 over 1m, 8 len behind Meleys with 131lbs at $41. Last start 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, long-neck behind Autumn Diamonds carrying 131lbs at $8. Progressing well and sets up nicely.

9
Itsagiven silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Autumn Diamonds with 127lbs at $3.70. Before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 28 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Catch The Moon carrying 126lbs at $41. Should take holding out.

2nd Pick
9

Itsagiven

Jockey: Adam Mccabe

Trainer: David & Coral Feek

J: Adam Mccabe

T: David & Coral Feek

93---29%5/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Autumn Diamonds with 127lbs at $3.70. Before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on April 28 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Catch The Moon carrying 126lbs at $41. Should take holding out.

7
Creusa silk

At the latest run 5th of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 4 len behind Autumn Diamonds with 127lbs at $6.50. The run before that 10th of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 1m, slow going 13 len behind Don't Doubt Dare with 128lbs at $5.50. Should be right there again.

3rd Pick
7

Creusa

Jockey: Jye Mcneil

Trainer: Emma-Lee & David Browne

J: Jye Mcneil

T: Emma-Lee & David Browne

100---13%7/1

Analysis

At the latest run 5th of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 4 len behind Autumn Diamonds with 127lbs at $6.50. The run before that 10th of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 1m, slow going 13 len behind Don't Doubt Dare with 128lbs at $5.50. Should be right there again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.