AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 5

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Maiden

Synthetic

GOOD

22.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

HIT SQUAD (3) goes on top. He made his local debut at Kilmore over this trip and was kept very safe in betting, sticking on well enough for fourth. Expect sharp improvement off that, he should go close. DUNTULM LASS (7) struggled last time in town but had been coming along well prior with a couple of close up efforts at Sale. She should take holding out. JEZEBEL JENNI (8) has been good in two runs back and looks ideally suited rising to a mile third up. She draws ideally and has strong claims. CRYSTAL JADE (1) has been good in two runs to date and looks open to further improvement, look for him late in the piece from a wide draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Second-up today. Last run 4th of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Don't Doubt Dare carrying 131lbs at $2.70. At only start last preparation tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Kempton Park All Weather Nov Sw on October 22 over 7f, 2 len behind Conscript with 130lbs at $2.60. Should come on plenty and take catching. 1st Pick 3 Hit Squad Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Beau Mertens T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	105	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Second-up today. Last run 4th of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Don't Doubt Dare carrying 131lbs at $2.70. At only start last preparation tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Kempton Park All Weather Nov Sw on October 22 over 7f, 2 len behind Conscript with 130lbs at $2.60. Should come on plenty and take catching.
7	Last start ran second last of 8 at Caulfield Heath Mdn on May 27 over 7 ½f, slow going 8 len behind Just For Kicks carrying 127lbs at $8. The race before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Sale Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Posh Diamante carrying 127lbs at $9. Can bounce back in this. 2nd Pick 7 Duntulm Lass Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: John Sadler J: Damien Thornton T: John Sadler	158	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Last start ran second last of 8 at Caulfield Heath Mdn on May 27 over 7 ½f, slow going 8 len behind Just For Kicks carrying 127lbs at $8. The race before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Sale Mdn-Sw on May 17 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Posh Diamante carrying 127lbs at $9. Can bounce back in this.
8	Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 8 at Pakenham F Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Let Lily Loose with 128lbs at $21. Second run from a spell made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind Jawsome Rob with 127lbs at $4.40. Coming along well and is suited here. 3rd Pick 8 Jezebel Jenni Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Mark Walker J: Thomas Stockdale T: Mark Walker	92	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 8 at Pakenham F Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Let Lily Loose with 128lbs at $21. Second run from a spell made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw on May 29 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind Jawsome Rob with 127lbs at $4.40. Coming along well and is suited here.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.