AU - Pakenham Synthetic - Race 1

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

10.9f

Maiden

Synthetic

GOOD

22.5K

VIEW

Verdict

SOUL MISTRESS (6) finished third last start over 1m at this track to make it six minor placings from eight runs. Has been in the frame at both appearances at this circuit. Nicely placed and expected to go very well. STAR OF TENNYSON (3) finds the maiden win elusive but has been finishing full of running. If he can settle closer this time and finish with the same turn of foot he can give this a shake. BUILTTHISCITY (1) has been better in his last two and should be at his top now. Rise in trip could be key. CRUNCH TIME (2) has struggled to make an impression so far but has been freshened with 31 days and rises sharply in trip for this. Shinn's booking adds interest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 6 over 1m, long-neck behind Shindy with 127lbs at $9.50. Second-up 3rd of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 20 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Oshima carrying 127lbs at $3.60. Big chance. 1st Pick 6 Soul Mistress Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Ken & Kasey Keys J: Jye Mcneil T: Ken & Kasey Keys	190	-	-	-	80%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 6 over 1m, long-neck behind Shindy with 127lbs at $9.50. Second-up 3rd of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 20 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Oshima carrying 127lbs at $3.60. Big chance.
5	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 13 at Sale Mdn-Sw on June 28 over 7f, on a wet track, 2.25 len behind Laura Eliza with 118lbs at $31. Last start 6th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind De Ascot carrying 127lbs at $7. Can bounce back. 2nd Pick 5 Chateau Dancer Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Adrian Mcgregor J: Non Runner T: Adrian Mcgregor	171	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 13 at Sale Mdn-Sw on June 28 over 7f, on a wet track, 2.25 len behind Laura Eliza with 118lbs at $31. Last start 6th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on July 15 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind De Ascot carrying 127lbs at $7. Can bounce back.
3	Last start 8th of 11 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 27 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Flying Capital with 131lbs at $21. The run before that 5th of 11 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 14 over 7f, 3 len behind Done My Job with 131lbs at $14. Came from a wide gate and could only manage to finish eighth last time out over 7 ½f at Ballarat Synthetic. 3rd Pick 3 Star Of Tennyson Jockey: Alana Kelly Trainer: Timothy Mcguigan J: Alana Kelly T: Timothy Mcguigan	105	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Last start 8th of 11 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 27 over 7 ½f, 4.5 len behind Flying Capital with 131lbs at $21. The run before that 5th of 11 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 14 over 7f, 3 len behind Done My Job with 131lbs at $14. Came from a wide gate and could only manage to finish eighth last time out over 7 ½f at Ballarat Synthetic.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.