AU - Moe - Race 8

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

15.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Pretty tough finish but expecting BOLD SUITOR (3) to give a sight. Fourth at Sandown two back in tougher grade then not beaten far at Bendigo again in tougher grade latest. Handles the soft ground and with the claim will give a sight. LAKE GILLEAR (6) hasn't won for nearly a year but is well placed here. Course and distance winner and has won in the conditions. Going better than form suggests and gets chance to feature. BRING THE THUNDER (7) has more upside than most and presents fitter for two runs back. Not beaten far last time in similar conditions and should run well. DAZZLING SECRET (5) was well held last time in richer company and was a winner the start prior. Can bounce back in this easier company. SCHRODER'S MISTAKE (2) is tough to beat if near his best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at Bendigo Bm62 on July 30 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Semelle Rouge carrying 131lbs at $4.80. The start before that 4th of 11 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Bm64 on July 15 over 5f, in the wet, 1.4 len behind Final Moment with 122lbs at $17. Finds a nice race and has strong claims. 1st Pick 3 Bold Suitor Jockey: Nadia Daniels Trainer: Tony Noonan J: Nadia Daniels T: Tony Noonan	134	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at Bendigo Bm62 on July 30 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Semelle Rouge carrying 131lbs at $4.80. The start before that 4th of 11 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Bm64 on July 15 over 5f, in the wet, 1.4 len behind Final Moment with 122lbs at $17. Finds a nice race and has strong claims.
6	Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at this track Bm62 on July 21 over 5f, on heavy track, 1.0 len behind Blondie's Award carrying 123lbs at $5. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 13 at this track Bm62 on May 28 over 5f, on heavy track, 5 len behind Misty Legend with 125lbs at $5.50. Can turn things around. 2nd Pick 6 Lake Gillear Jockey: Jason Maskiell Trainer: Pat Carey & Harris Walker J: Jason Maskiell T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker	109	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at this track Bm62 on July 21 over 5f, on heavy track, 1.0 len behind Blondie's Award carrying 123lbs at $5. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 13 at this track Bm62 on May 28 over 5f, on heavy track, 5 len behind Misty Legend with 125lbs at $5.50. Can turn things around.
7	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 6th of 8 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm56 on July 7 over 5f, 5 len behind Octrain with 134lbs at $17. Second-up 6th of 8 at this track Bm62 on July 21 over 5f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Blondie's Award carrying 127lbs at $51. Capable enough and should be in the finish. 3rd Pick 7 Bring The Thunder Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Luke Oliver J: Brad Rawiller T: Luke Oliver	73	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 6th of 8 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm56 on July 7 over 5f, 5 len behind Octrain with 134lbs at $17. Second-up 6th of 8 at this track Bm62 on July 21 over 5f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Blondie's Award carrying 127lbs at $51. Capable enough and should be in the finish.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.