AU - Moe - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

15.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Good race with several chances but keen to stick with SQUARE DEAL (1) who continues to race well. Echuca winner two back then stormed home from well back for a close-up fourth latest. Looks tough to stop again. ATAEGINA (4) was a near miss two back then safely held at Flemington last time. This far more suitable and gets chance to immediately bounce back. COUNT OF TOULOUSE (2) ran on hard to score last time and will wind up late again. SETHEUS (9) is fitter for the extra ground and worth including.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 12 at Bairnsdale Bm56 on August 4 over 1m, slow going 0.8 len behind Bank Heist with 132lbs at $5.50. The race before that won by 0.8 len at Echuca Bm56 July 24 over 7f in heavy going defeating Bow Ribbon carrying 128lbs at $7. Stormed home latest and looks tough to stop again. 1st Pick 1 Square Deal Jockey: Sam Kennedy Trainer: Kelvin Southey J: Sam Kennedy T: Kelvin Southey	140	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 12 at Bairnsdale Bm56 on August 4 over 1m, slow going 0.8 len behind Bank Heist with 132lbs at $5.50. The race before that won by 0.8 len at Echuca Bm56 July 24 over 7f in heavy going defeating Bow Ribbon carrying 128lbs at $7. Stormed home latest and looks tough to stop again.
4	At the latest run 9th of 11 at Flemington F&M Bm78 on July 18 over 1m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Changing Colours carrying 110lbs at $31. Before that 2nd of 11 at Bendigo 0 - 66 on July 5 over 7 ½f, on rain affected going, head behind Omnic carrying 126lbs at $20. Rates highly on her best form and deserves another chance. 2nd Pick 4 Ataegina Jockey: Brad Rawiller Trainer: Luke Oliver J: Brad Rawiller T: Luke Oliver	161	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run 9th of 11 at Flemington F&M Bm78 on July 18 over 1m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Changing Colours carrying 110lbs at $31. Before that 2nd of 11 at Bendigo 0 - 66 on July 5 over 7 ½f, on rain affected going, head behind Omnic carrying 126lbs at $20. Rates highly on her best form and deserves another chance.
3	Form hard to fault. Last start raced on the pace when 3rd of 10 at this track Bm66 on July 21 over 1m, in the wet, 2.25 len behind Red On Red with 126lbs at $7.50. Before that 4th of 10 at Sale Bm62 on July 9 over 1 ¹/16m, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Garnacho with 123lbs at $5. Loves wet ground and will give a sight. 3rd Pick 3 Infinite Jest Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Paul & Tracey Templeton J: Non Runner T: Paul & Tracey Templeton	99	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start raced on the pace when 3rd of 10 at this track Bm66 on July 21 over 1m, in the wet, 2.25 len behind Red On Red with 126lbs at $7.50. Before that 4th of 10 at Sale Bm62 on July 9 over 1 ¹/16m, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Garnacho with 123lbs at $5. Loves wet ground and will give a sight.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.