AU - Moe - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

34.1K

VIEW

Verdict

HEDJET (9) brings the most appealing profile after justifying strong market support in a BM66 at Cranbourne, beating Mount Sabyinyo by just under a length and keeping his strong campaign rolling. Progressive former import rising through the grades and should go close again. FEELING DUSTY (8) is a danger on ratings, with a strong good-track record and weight relief after being beaten at Sale. He was much better two runs back when a long-neck third at Bendigo and can rebound third-up. HOUDINI (3) closed strongly first-up in a BM78 at Cranbourne after a slow start and can improve with added fitness. FRIDGE MONSTER (2) perhaps next best off the Cranbourne fourth two back.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Won a BM66 at Cranbourne last start as a well-supported favourite, beating Mount Sabyinyo by just under a length after letting down nicely in a tight finish. That followed a solid fourth at Sale when beaten a length and a half on heavy ground. Profiles well and sets up for a beautiful run. 1st Pick 9 Hedjet Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Clinton Mcdonald J: Damian Lane T: Clinton Mcdonald	158	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Won a BM66 at Cranbourne last start as a well-supported favourite, beating Mount Sabyinyo by just under a length after letting down nicely in a tight finish. That followed a solid fourth at Sale when beaten a length and a half on heavy ground. Profiles well and sets up for a beautiful run.
8	Was below expectations when seventh behind Overpriced in a BM66 at Sale, beaten just under five lengths after settling back and never fully threatening. The run prior was much better, flashing home for third at Bendigo when beaten a long neck at generous odds. Sale run was plain, but the Bendigo third reads well for this. 2nd Pick 8 Feeling Dusty Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Charlotte Littlefield J: Jye Mcneil T: Charlotte Littlefield	155	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Was below expectations when seventh behind Overpriced in a BM66 at Sale, beaten just under five lengths after settling back and never fully threatening. The run prior was much better, flashing home for third at Bendigo when beaten a long neck at generous odds. Sale run was plain, but the Bendigo third reads well for this.
5	Comes in with winning momentum after leading and holding on in a BM66 at Sale, beating Mount Sabyinyo by half a length and also accounting for Feeling Dusty. He had won a BM62 at Warrnambool by the same margin the run prior, so the form is honest and progressive. Can go on with it. 3rd Pick 5 Overpriced Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Dean Binaisse J: Non Runner T: Dean Binaisse	134	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Comes in with winning momentum after leading and holding on in a BM66 at Sale, beating Mount Sabyinyo by half a length and also accounting for Feeling Dusty. He had won a BM62 at Warrnambool by the same margin the run prior, so the form is honest and progressive. Can go on with it.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.