AU - Moe - Race 2

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

22.6K

VIEW

Verdict

BELLABAMA (6) is long overdue and won't get a better chance to break through. Has placed 6/9 so far, four of them on wet ground and extra trip a plus now she's at her top. Hard to beat. STEAL AWAY (8) is yet to break through in seven runs but is another close to a win. Finished fourth after being prominent at the turn at her last appearance over 1m at Bairnsdale on August 4. Both career minors have been in heavy ground. Main danger. Race drops away outside that pair. GOOD LORDY ME (3) returned from a spell two-and-a-half weeks ago when he was in the firing line on the corner before being beaten 6 lengths into seventh over 7f at Sale. Likely improver with top-three prospects. GREY SABRE (4) is fitter for two runs back and can improve sharply. CHURCHILL LANE (2) was disappointing last time but gets his chance to atone.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 10 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on July 16 over 7f, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Shamansara with 120lbs at $6. Before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 6 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Jenni Agogo carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Overdue and expected to go close. 1st Pick 6 Bellabama Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Clayton Douglas J: Jamie Mott T: Clayton Douglas	184	-	-	-	72%
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 10 at Cranbourne 3yo Mdn-Sw on July 16 over 7f, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Shamansara with 120lbs at $6. Before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 6 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Jenni Agogo carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Overdue and expected to go close.
8	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 12 at Bairnsdale Mdn-Sw on August 4 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Venus Shock carrying 127lbs at $10. The race before that 2nd of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 21 over 1m, in the wet, 1.3 len behind Ngongotaha with 127lbs at $26. Thereabouts and worth noting both career placings have been in heavy ground. 2nd Pick 8 Steal Away Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Robbie Griffiths J: Jett Stanley T: Robbie Griffiths	113	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 12 at Bairnsdale Mdn-Sw on August 4 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Venus Shock carrying 127lbs at $10. The race before that 2nd of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on July 21 over 1m, in the wet, 1.3 len behind Ngongotaha with 127lbs at $26. Thereabouts and worth noting both career placings have been in heavy ground.
3	Second-up. First-up after six months 7th of 10 at Sale Mdn-Sw on July 26 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Coronationhercules with 131lbs at $16. Previously second-up 5th of 14 at Seymour 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 12 over 6f, 6 len behind Les Braves carrying 131lbs at $51. Rates highly and should do much better. 3rd Pick 3 Good Lordy Me Jockey: Jason Maskiell Trainer: Jack Laing J: Jason Maskiell T: Jack Laing	123	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months 7th of 10 at Sale Mdn-Sw on July 26 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Coronationhercules with 131lbs at $16. Previously second-up 5th of 14 at Seymour 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 12 over 6f, 6 len behind Les Braves carrying 131lbs at $51. Rates highly and should do much better.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.