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Resulted

AU - Moe - Race 1

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 7
23.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Wide open but on best figures MISS LOLA (10) should go close. All form has been in NSW, placing in four of seven and in far richer maidens in Sydney. First try in this area and is yet to see soft ground but hard to beat on almost any of the figures returned so far. FEAR THE IMPACT (1) was put away after a debut fifth, then returned finishing runner-up last time. Wound up strongly and fitter again looks a top chance to break through. THINK ABOUT HER (12) is a well-related three-year-old filly on debut. By So You Think from Sultah and plenty of winners in the family. Well educated and off a low draw. Watch the market closely. REAL HEIR (5) has fitness and was beaten only a length in a richer maiden latest. Among the main chances.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Miss Lola silk

Is first-up after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign fifth of 9 at Warwick Farm Super Mdn January 7 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Erin Jo with 126lbs at $4.40. When resuming last campaign third of 10 at Warwick Farm Superf&M Mdn-Sw September 24 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Surf's Up with 123lbs at $6. Best NSW figures stack up and expected to run well.

1st Pick
10

Miss Lola

Jockey: Jye Mcneil

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Jye Mcneil

T: Chris Waller

128---50%

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign fifth of 9 at Warwick Farm Super Mdn January 7 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Erin Jo with 126lbs at $4.40. When resuming last campaign third of 10 at Warwick Farm Superf&M Mdn-Sw September 24 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Surf's Up with 123lbs at $6. Best NSW figures stack up and expected to run well.

1
Fear The Impact silk

Third race start. First start 5th of 9 at Mornington 3yo Mdn-Sw on September 18 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Sassy For Sure with 128lbs at $11. Returned from break 2nd of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 1 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Eureka Rose carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Wound up strongly fresh and looks hard to beat.

2nd Pick
1

Fear The Impact

Jockey: Jason Maskiell

Trainer: Gavin Bedggood

J: Jason Maskiell

T: Gavin Bedggood

138---13%

Analysis

Third race start. First start 5th of 9 at Mornington 3yo Mdn-Sw on September 18 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Sassy For Sure with 128lbs at $11. Returned from break 2nd of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on May 1 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Eureka Rose carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Wound up strongly fresh and looks hard to beat.

3
Johnny Tightlips silk

Was well-supported at debut, 2nd of 8 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on April 18 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Paris Collection carrying 130lbs at $2.70. Went close on debut and looms as a serious contender.

3rd Pick
3

Johnny Tightlips

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Enver Jusufovic

J: Non Runner

T: Enver Jusufovic

100---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, 2nd of 8 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on April 18 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Paris Collection carrying 130lbs at $2.70. Went close on debut and looms as a serious contender.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.