AU - Kyneton - Race 1

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

9.2f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

24.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Looks the perfect race for MENESS (14) who has just found one better in two runs this time in against much stronger opposition. He missed a nose to Zambales fresh at Bendigo then went toe-to-toe with True Rebel at Geelong who is high up in Derby markets. Gets every chance to break through. CORVIGLIA (1) ran well fresh at Caulfield Heath behind an impressive winner who has franked the form. Fitter now and will take holding out. BOHEMIAN BOY (13) tackled the Spring Preview at Caulfield last time and was okay. That form is a little bit suspect but he's a chance. WINDHOWLER (6) was much better second up, he just needs a bit of luck from the gate to be figuring.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
14	Third-up today. First-up rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 12 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 6 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, nose behind Zambales with 128lbs at $5. Second run from a spell 2nd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on September 23 over 7f, 0.8 len behind True Rebel with 126lbs at $2.10. Rates very highly. 1st Pick 14 Meness Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Mark Walker J: Craig Williams T: Mark Walker	248	-	-	-	67%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 12 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 6 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, nose behind Zambales with 128lbs at $5. Second run from a spell 2nd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on September 23 over 7f, 0.8 len behind True Rebel with 126lbs at $2.10. Rates very highly.
1	Second run back. First-up after five months held ground to the line 2nd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Caulfield Heath on September 16 over 7 ½f, 3.5 len behind Scarole with 131lbs at $8.50. Previously second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Sale on April 8 over 1 ¹/16m, 3.5 len behind Good Harmony carrying 130lbs at $6. Solid return and looks hard to hold out. 2nd Pick 1 Corviglia Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Alexander Rae J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Alexander Rae	128	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months held ground to the line 2nd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Caulfield Heath on September 16 over 7 ½f, 3.5 len behind Scarole with 131lbs at $8.50. Previously second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Sale on April 8 over 1 ¹/16m, 3.5 len behind Good Harmony carrying 130lbs at $6. Solid return and looks hard to hold out.
13	Last start 6th of 8 in a 3yo Hcp at Caulfield on September 19 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Quick Finish with 127lbs at $8.50. The race before that 5th of 8 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 7 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Boys Bounce carrying 128lbs at $31. Can figure in the finish. 3rd Pick 13 Bohemian Boy Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Ben Allen T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	118	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Last start 6th of 8 in a 3yo Hcp at Caulfield on September 19 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Quick Finish with 127lbs at $8.50. The race before that 5th of 8 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Hillside on September 2 over 7 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Boys Bounce carrying 128lbs at $31. Can figure in the finish.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.