AU - Kilmore - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

15.3K

VIEW

Verdict

SWITCH HIT (4) has been holding his form strongly, and he got to be within a nose of getting the job done here just over 2 weeks ago. He gets a similar set-up here, and deserves another winning turn. IMMORTALISED (6) was a beaten favourite last start after suffering a cardiac arrhythmia for the first time. That issue is often just an anomaly, and from the pole position, he is worth another chance, so follow your money. DANCE LADY (8) recovered from a poor start to score very comfortably here a month ago, and it was not that much of a shock, as she did carry some mid-market support. She remains in the same class, and is worth following up. CELESTIAL SPLENDOR (11) won a jump-out prior to a fair run fresh up. Expect sharp improvement here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Form hard to fault. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 in a Bm56 at this track on September 28 over 1m, nose behind Frostration with 136lbs at $3.80. The race before that 2nd of 10 in a Bm56 at Bordertown on September 11 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Miss Ellaneous carrying 136lbs at $6. Hard to beat this time. 1st Pick 4 Switch Hit Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Mitchell Freedman J: John Allen T: Mitchell Freedman	165	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 in a Bm56 at this track on September 28 over 1m, nose behind Frostration with 136lbs at $3.80. The race before that 2nd of 10 in a Bm56 at Bordertown on September 11 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Miss Ellaneous carrying 136lbs at $6. Hard to beat this time.
6	Last start ran last of 11 in a Cg&E Bm56 at Tatura on September 29 over 7 ¼f, 12 len behind Annotate with 136lbs at $2.80. The start before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Bm62 at Seymour on September 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Yauson with 129lbs at $31. Better than the last effort suggests and can bounce back. 2nd Pick 6 Immortalised Jockey: Jason Maskiell Trainer: Jason Warren J: Jason Maskiell T: Jason Warren	124	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Last start ran last of 11 in a Cg&E Bm56 at Tatura on September 29 over 7 ¼f, 12 len behind Annotate with 136lbs at $2.80. The start before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Bm62 at Seymour on September 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Yauson with 129lbs at $31. Better than the last effort suggests and can bounce back.
8	Returns from a 30-day let-up. Last start won by 2 len in a 0 - 56 at this track on September 13 over 1m defeating Dane On Tour with 128lbs at $14. The run before that 10th of 13 in a Bm56 at Wangaratta on August 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Sheer Lunacy with 129lbs at $41. Finds a few better today. Stick with her for all combos. 3rd Pick 8 Dance Lady Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Simon Zahra J: Teo Nugent T: Simon Zahra	114	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Returns from a 30-day let-up. Last start won by 2 len in a 0 - 56 at this track on September 13 over 1m defeating Dane On Tour with 128lbs at $14. The run before that 10th of 13 in a Bm56 at Wangaratta on August 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Sheer Lunacy with 129lbs at $41. Finds a few better today. Stick with her for all combos.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.