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Resulted

AU - Kilmore - Race 4

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
15.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ROYAL HERITAGE (7) has battled in his last couple of starts over 7f, and dropping back in trip could be what is best for him at this stage of his career. He won't lack fitness, and with the aid of the pole position, he is worth another chance. I SAID SO (5) has been racing well off some bad draws this prep, and he is drawn slightly closer in to the fence this time. He is also down in class, and expected to figure in the top 4 again. SUSPECT (4) resumes from a spell, and has needed time to mature. He will never live up to his nearly 2 million dollar price tag as a yearling, but he is still only lightly tried, and more than capable of progressing further than BM56 company. BLACK ADAM (1) is a chance on wet ground. Keep safe.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Manchego silk

Third-up today. Resuming set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 9 in a C,G&E Bm56 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 25 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Shooter Mcgavin carrying 130lbs at $2.60. Second run from a spell favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2 len in a 0 - 56 at Echuca on September 19 over 6f defeating Hidden Witness carrying 130lbs at $2.35. Hard to beat again.

1st Pick
6

Manchego

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

J: Non Runner

T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

126---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 9 in a C,G&E Bm56 at Ballarat Synthetic on August 25 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Shooter Mcgavin carrying 130lbs at $2.60. Second run from a spell favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2 len in a 0 - 56 at Echuca on September 19 over 6f defeating Hidden Witness carrying 130lbs at $2.35. Hard to beat again.

7
Royal Heritage silk

Returns from a 29-day let-up. Most recently 9th of 11 in a Bm56 at Hamilton on September 14 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Racey Casey carrying 134lbs at $5.50. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 in a Bm56 at Echuca on August 30 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Bell's Bighouse carrying 136lbs at $8.50. Great chance to bounce back into form.

2nd Pick
7

Royal Heritage

Jockey: Brad Rawiller

Trainer: Nigel Blackiston

J: Brad Rawiller

T: Nigel Blackiston

117---19%

Analysis

Returns from a 29-day let-up. Most recently 9th of 11 in a Bm56 at Hamilton on September 14 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Racey Casey carrying 134lbs at $5.50. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 in a Bm56 at Echuca on August 30 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Bell's Bighouse carrying 136lbs at $8.50. Great chance to bounce back into form.

5
I Said So silk

Comes off a 30 day let-up. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 in a Bm62 at Sale on September 13 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Wetumpka with 128lbs at $12. The race before that 7th of 14 in a Bm62 at Seymour on August 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Bardia's Dream carrying 129lbs at $4.80. Racing well and is nicely placed.

3rd Pick
5

I Said So

Jockey: Jason Maskiell

Trainer: Wendy Kelly

J: Jason Maskiell

T: Wendy Kelly

110---56%

Analysis

Comes off a 30 day let-up. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 in a Bm62 at Sale on September 13 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Wetumpka with 128lbs at $12. The race before that 7th of 14 in a Bm62 at Seymour on August 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Bardia's Dream carrying 129lbs at $4.80. Racing well and is nicely placed.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.