AU - Kilmore - Race 4

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

18.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Moody-Coleman-trained CONFLICT (3) resumed off a promising maiden preparation with a dominant win over 5 ½f at Geelong, heavily bet. Sparingly raced and is sure to keep improving. Maps for the run of the race, and Pozman stays aboard and claims 3lbs today. COME ALONG JEFFREY (2) resumes for new trainer Jamie Edwards. Showed some ability in South Australia when last in work, and will be forward for this after two recent wins at the Geelong jumpouts. Has the inside barrier and can come back much improved. MANDRAKI (4) resumes for a top metro stable and was last seen at the races winning a Swan Hill Maiden. Has a handy barrier and a 3lbs claim and has impressed at the Pakenham jumpouts. Is sure to run well. VALIDATED (1) resumes and is much better than the form-line suggests. Has switched from a South Australian yard and has raced well in stronger than this. Has had three jumpouts and races well fresh. The 9lbs claim brings him into it.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Second-up. First-up after four months favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 2.75 len at Geelong Mdn-Sw March 14 over 5 ½f defeating I'm Da Boss carrying 127lbs at $2.15. Previously second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on November 5 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind National Code with 131lbs at $2.25. Sure to go well again. Shapes as the top chance again. 1st Pick 3 Conflict Jockey: Emily Pozman Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Emily Pozman T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	212	-	-	-	80%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 2.75 len at Geelong Mdn-Sw March 14 over 5 ½f defeating I'm Da Boss carrying 127lbs at $2.15. Previously second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on November 5 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind National Code with 131lbs at $2.25. Sure to go well again. Shapes as the top chance again.
2	Gelding back from a spell of 12 weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation ninth of 13 at Strathalbyn Bm58 January 4 over 6 ¾f, 4 len behind Andrew's Memory with 131lbs at $8.50. When resuming last campaign ran last of 9 at Mildura Bm70 July 18 over 5f, 9 len behind Dyer carrying 131lbs at $21. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to a positive return. 2nd Pick 2 Come Along Jeffrey Jockey: Ryan Houston Trainer: Jamie Edwards J: Ryan Houston T: Jamie Edwards	135	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Gelding back from a spell of 12 weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation ninth of 13 at Strathalbyn Bm58 January 4 over 6 ¾f, 4 len behind Andrew's Memory with 131lbs at $8.50. When resuming last campaign ran last of 9 at Mildura Bm70 July 18 over 5f, 9 len behind Dyer carrying 131lbs at $21. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to a positive return.
4	Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last preparation winning by long-neck Swan Hill Mdn-Sw October 28 over 6 ½f defeating Ponte Arcobaleno with 126lbs at $2.90. On debut eighth of 10 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw September 7 over 6 ½f, on heavy track, 4 len behind Romantic Encounter carrying 128lbs at $15. Likely to feature. 3rd Pick 4 Mandraki Jockey: Brittany Button Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Brittany Button T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	98	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last preparation winning by long-neck Swan Hill Mdn-Sw October 28 over 6 ½f defeating Ponte Arcobaleno with 126lbs at $2.90. On debut eighth of 10 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw September 7 over 6 ½f, on heavy track, 4 len behind Romantic Encounter carrying 128lbs at $15. Likely to feature.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.