AU - Kilmore - Race 1

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

7.2f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

22.3K

VIEW

Verdict

FULL CONFIDENCE (10) made up a lot of late ground when finishing fourth as the favourite at Ballarat nearly 2 weeks ago, and she gets a lovely swing in her draw this time. She will find this an easier assignment, and is the one to beat, so follow your money. BLUE GAMBLE (9) finished fourth at long odds when making her debut at Bendigo just over 3 weeks ago, and she maps to settle a tad closer from the pole position this time. With the natural improvement expected, she should give the top pick plenty to think about, but the fancy price will be gone. THEATRICAL QUEEN (6) got back from a wide gate fresh up, and then hit the line strongly for fourth over 6f. The extra 1 ¼f is ideal, and she can figure in the top 3 here, especially from a superior gate. RED LIGHT RACHEL (4) made an encouraging return to the track when finishing fourth at Corowa nearly a month ago. She strips fitter and is worth including in all top 4 combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Raced two times to date. When well in the market at debut, 3rd of 7 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Hillside on September 9 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Regal Ambition with 123lbs at $3.60. Second-up 4th of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on September 30 over 7f, 1.2 len behind So Royal carrying 121lbs at $2.10. Plenty of scope for improvement and is right in the mix. 1st Pick 10 Full Confidence Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Harry Coffey T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	173	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Raced two times to date. When well in the market at debut, 3rd of 7 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Hillside on September 9 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Regal Ambition with 123lbs at $3.60. Second-up 4th of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on September 30 over 7f, 1.2 len behind So Royal carrying 121lbs at $2.10. Plenty of scope for improvement and is right in the mix.
9	Jumped at long odds at debut, 4th of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 20 over 7 ½f, 5 len behind Written Empire carrying 123lbs at $31. One of the top 4 contenders. 2nd Pick 9 Blue Gamble Jockey: Zac Spain Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Zac Spain T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	139	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Jumped at long odds at debut, 4th of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on September 20 over 7 ½f, 5 len behind Written Empire carrying 123lbs at $31. One of the top 4 contenders.
6	Second run back. First-up after five months 4th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Bairnsdale on September 20 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Luminary Miss with 127lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up 4th of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Sale on May 3 over 6f, 3.5 len behind High Ambitions carrying 123lbs at $4.20. Fitter and can break through. 3rd Pick 6 Theatrical Queen Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: Robbie Griffiths J: Craig Newitt T: Robbie Griffiths	92	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months 4th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Bairnsdale on September 20 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Luminary Miss with 127lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up 4th of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Sale on May 3 over 6f, 3.5 len behind High Ambitions carrying 123lbs at $4.20. Fitter and can break through.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.