AU - Hamilton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.1K

VIEW

Verdict

IMMINENT STORM (1) has enjoyed a 39-day let-up since struggling on a heavy track at Warrnambool. Back in class on his most recent efforts but lumps 60kgs accordingly. Won't mind this trip while a bit on the fresh side and he has the class to play a big role in the outcome. POPTHEBUBBLY (5) travelled midfield then came wide but couldn't finish off as hoped last time out over 7f at Bendigo. Has raced over this distance once for a minor placing. Can improve enough to test this field. Veteran mare ALPINOVA (7) made it two minor placings on the bounce when runner-up over this trip at Wangaratta recently, coming from near the tail on the corner. Doesn't win out of turn but should be putting in the big strides late. IMACREEDYTWO (3) had only raced once in two months prior to his last start fourth over today's journey at Mortlake. Fitter and from a good gate is not out of the equation. STAR FORTIAN (6) is a good fresh performer with solid claims first-up from a 15-week break.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Comes off a 39 day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 10 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on October 1 over 7f, in the wet, 6 len behind Brroosha with 127lbs at $4.40. The start before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 11 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on September 21 over 7f, 2 len behind Captain Redbeard with 127lbs at $14. Freshened up to come back in distance - key runner in this easier race. 1st Pick 1 Imminent Storm Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Patrick Mckenna J: Jett Stanley T: Patrick Mckenna	102	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Comes off a 39 day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 10 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on October 1 over 7f, in the wet, 6 len behind Brroosha with 127lbs at $4.40. The start before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 11 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on September 21 over 7f, 2 len behind Captain Redbeard with 127lbs at $14. Freshened up to come back in distance - key runner in this easier race.
5	Last start 7th of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Bendigo on October 17 over 7f, 3 len behind Smash Blue with 128lbs at $9. Before that 4th of 10 in a Bm56 at Manangatang on October 10 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Sir Loyne carrying 126lbs at $5. Placed here at her only visit - sure to be thereabouts. 2nd Pick 5 Popthebubbly Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Brady Cross J: Jack Hill T: Brady Cross	92	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Last start 7th of 12 in a 0 - 56 at Bendigo on October 17 over 7f, 3 len behind Smash Blue with 128lbs at $9. Before that 4th of 10 in a Bm56 at Manangatang on October 10 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Sir Loyne carrying 126lbs at $5. Placed here at her only visit - sure to be thereabouts.
7	Racing well recently. Most recently came from the tail of the field 2nd of 12 in a Bm56 at Wangaratta on October 26 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind I Am Algadon with 121lbs at $10. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 11 in a 0 - 56 at Moe on October 18 over 6f, long-neck behind Elly Dee carrying 121lbs at $6. Racing well at the moment and gets her chance. 3rd Pick 7 Alpinova Jockey: Melea Castle Trainer: Brooke Verwey-Mitchell J: Melea Castle T: Brooke Verwey-Mitchell	155	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently came from the tail of the field 2nd of 12 in a Bm56 at Wangaratta on October 26 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind I Am Algadon with 121lbs at $10. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 11 in a 0 - 56 at Moe on October 18 over 6f, long-neck behind Elly Dee carrying 121lbs at $6. Racing well at the moment and gets her chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.