AU - Hamilton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

15.2K

VIEW

Verdict

ROCKCLIFF (1) finished third over 5f at Donald last time out following a determined win when fresh from a spell two runs back. Has a lot of weight and drawn out but hard to tip against given the form he's in. KENTAHTEN (3) made an encouraging return at Bairnsdale and while he is yet to win in 6 second-up runs, he's placed 5 times so no reason he won't go well again here. CHELSEA TOFF (4) is also second-up, returning from a spell three weeks ago when she was beaten 5 lengths into fifth over 5f at Ballarat Synthetic. She has won second-up, so this looks a good progression. DERELICT (2) has been building this prep and might be ready to show something fourth-up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up ran on from midfield and won by a head at Donald 0 - 56 June 20 over 5f on a heavy track defeating The Last Judgement carrying 127lbs at $8. Second run from a spell held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at Donald 0 - 56 on July 11 over 5f, slow going 1.5 len behind Cool The Jets carrying 131lbs at $7. Capable enough on his day and is a key runner. 1st Pick 1 Rockcliff Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Ray Besanko J: Jack Hill T: Ray Besanko	134	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up ran on from midfield and won by a head at Donald 0 - 56 June 20 over 5f on a heavy track defeating The Last Judgement carrying 127lbs at $8. Second run from a spell held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at Donald 0 - 56 on July 11 over 5f, slow going 1.5 len behind Cool The Jets carrying 131lbs at $7. Capable enough on his day and is a key runner.
9	Most recently settled back and ran on when 5th of 8 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm56 on July 7 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Octrain with 127lbs at $17. Before that 5th of 11 at Donald 0 - 56 on June 20 over 5f, in the wet, 1.0 len behind Rockcliff with 127lbs at $8.50. Key runner on his best form and can feature in the finish. 2nd Pick 9 Spinhof Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Shay Keating J: Non Runner T: Shay Keating	118	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently settled back and ran on when 5th of 8 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm56 on July 7 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Octrain with 127lbs at $17. Before that 5th of 11 at Donald 0 - 56 on June 20 over 5f, in the wet, 1.0 len behind Rockcliff with 127lbs at $8.50. Key runner on his best form and can feature in the finish.
3	Second run back. Comes off a 50-day let-up. First-up after five months raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Bairnsdale Bm52 on June 12 over 5f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Irresistible Sir carrying 133lbs at $10. Previously second-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Dunkeld 0 - 56 on November 15 over 6f, on a slow track, long-neck behind Surfy Pete with 132lbs at $9. Back in good shape and is a definite top-three hope. 3rd Pick 3 Kentahten Jockey: Linda Meech Trainer: Tori Madigan J: Linda Meech T: Tori Madigan	98	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Second run back. Comes off a 50-day let-up. First-up after five months raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Bairnsdale Bm52 on June 12 over 5f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Irresistible Sir carrying 133lbs at $10. Previously second-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Dunkeld 0 - 56 on November 15 over 6f, on a slow track, long-neck behind Surfy Pete with 132lbs at $9. Back in good shape and is a definite top-three hope.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.