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Resulted

AU - Hamilton - Race 6

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 10
15.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

THOUGHTFUL (4) doesn't win out of turn but ran a strong race last time out over 1m at Murtoa, finishing second beaten just 1.5 lengths. Has been more consistent than most others in this race of late and gets the chance to break through. BRUZANI (1) made significant late ground last start to get up for third over 7 ¾f at Mt Gambier. Has a win and two placings at this journey from five starts. Will be hard to hold out again. ON THE MAP (8) gets a change of rider and has been freshened up since finishing 13th over 7 ½f at Morphettville last start. Can feature prominently. STATE OF MAINE (9) finished strongly for second last start, which was only the second run of the prep. Nearing peak fitness now and suited up in trip. DARK HARMONY (2) missed the placings two runs back then didn't do any better last start when 5.5 lengths away in seventh over 1m at Donald. The engagement of Linda Meech is a positive move, which might spark improvement.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Thoughtful silk

Recent form sound. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Murtoa 0 - 56 on July 25 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Fonn Power carrying 127lbs at $9. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Donald 0 - 56 on July 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Frostration with 126lbs at $13. Looks tough to beat in this line-up.

1st Pick
4

Thoughtful

Jockey: Tom Madden

Trainer: Nell Carter

J: Tom Madden

T: Nell Carter

85---36%

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Murtoa 0 - 56 on July 25 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Fonn Power carrying 127lbs at $9. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Donald 0 - 56 on July 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Frostration with 126lbs at $13. Looks tough to beat in this line-up.

1
Bruzani silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Mt Gambier 0-56 on July 12 over 7 ¾f, on a wet track, 2 len behind Robert The Puss carrying 132lbs at $5. The race before that won by 3 len at Donald 0 - 56 June 20 over 6 ¾f in the wet defeating Thoughtful carrying 127lbs at $6. Racing well and looks a key chance.

2nd Pick
1

Bruzani

Jockey: Jack Hill

Trainer: Peter Chow

J: Jack Hill

T: Peter Chow

150---34%

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Mt Gambier 0-56 on July 12 over 7 ¾f, on a wet track, 2 len behind Robert The Puss carrying 132lbs at $5. The race before that won by 3 len at Donald 0 - 56 June 20 over 6 ¾f in the wet defeating Thoughtful carrying 127lbs at $6. Racing well and looks a key chance.

8
On The Map silk

Comes here off a 42-day let-up. At the latest run ran second last of 14 at Morphettville 4yo+ 0-64 on June 20 over 7 ½f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Nicajon carrying 119lbs at $51. The run before that 4th of 13 at Mt Gambier 0-56 on June 10 over 7 ¾f, on heavy track, 1.75 len behind Dora Aurora carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Willing to give her another chance.

3rd Pick
8

On The Map

Jockey: Sarah Field

Trainer: Lindsay Cadzow

J: Sarah Field

T: Lindsay Cadzow

67---15%

Analysis

Comes here off a 42-day let-up. At the latest run ran second last of 14 at Morphettville 4yo+ 0-64 on June 20 over 7 ½f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Nicajon carrying 119lbs at $51. The run before that 4th of 13 at Mt Gambier 0-56 on June 10 over 7 ¾f, on heavy track, 1.75 len behind Dora Aurora carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Willing to give her another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.