AU - Hamilton - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

15.3K

VIEW

Verdict

SEPTIMUS (6) has attracted solid market support at his past 2 outings without producing the expected result, but this appears a far more suitable contest. He has changed stables with a probable jumping career ahead of him, and maybe the change of scenery can help him bounce back to his best. DIGARI (7) showed promise with a placing when resuming before failing to reproduce that effort at Murray Bridge last start in a better field off a wide gate. This is easier, and he should be right in the mix. LISA LASS (8) has found stronger company a little too testing at her past two starts, but this drop in grade gives her an excellent chance to bounce back at some each-way value. SIDE PIECE (10) needs it heavy, and with conditions to suit, he is capable of a top 3 finish in this sort of field.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	At the latest run ran last of 12 at Goulburn Bm58 on June 22 over 1 5/16m, slow going 13 len behind Reel Crystal with 136lbs at $7. The race before that got back early 6th of 10 at Wyong Bm64 on June 7 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Villa Castina with 117lbs at $10. Has upside and expected to be in the finish this time. 1st Pick 6 Septimus Jockey: Cillin Leonard Trainer: Simon Ryan J: Cillin Leonard T: Simon Ryan	142	-	-	-	15%
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 12 at Goulburn Bm58 on June 22 over 1 5/16m, slow going 13 len behind Reel Crystal with 136lbs at $7. The race before that got back early 6th of 10 at Wyong Bm64 on June 7 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Villa Castina with 117lbs at $10. Has upside and expected to be in the finish this time.
7	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 13 at Bendigo 0 - 56 on June 13 over 7f, on a slow track, long-neck behind Flying Jude with 132lbs at $6. Last start ran last of 11 at Murray Bridge 4yo+ 0-68 on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Brave Star carrying 115lbs at $12. Can bounce back after a modest effort last time. 2nd Pick 7 Digari Jockey: Tom Ryan Trainer: Andrew Bobbin J: Tom Ryan T: Andrew Bobbin	127	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 13 at Bendigo 0 - 56 on June 13 over 7f, on a slow track, long-neck behind Flying Jude with 132lbs at $6. Last start ran last of 11 at Murray Bridge 4yo+ 0-68 on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Brave Star carrying 115lbs at $12. Can bounce back after a modest effort last time.
8	Last start ran second last of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm70 on July 1 over 1m, on a wet track, 7 len behind Oraqua carrying 120lbs at $31. The run before that 4th of 11 at Donald Bm62 on June 9 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Paddypie with 125lbs at $13. Willing to give her another chance. 3rd Pick 8 Lisa Lass Jockey: Nathan Newton Trainer: Aaron Purcell J: Nathan Newton T: Aaron Purcell	115	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Last start ran second last of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm70 on July 1 over 1m, on a wet track, 7 len behind Oraqua carrying 120lbs at $31. The run before that 4th of 11 at Donald Bm62 on June 9 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Paddypie with 125lbs at $13. Willing to give her another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.