AU - Hamilton - Race 3

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

10.9f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.0K

VIEW

Verdict

ROLLIN'ONTHERIVER (13) ran easily the best race of her four so far when third over 1 ¼m at Warrnambool last start. Ridden more aggressively that day which seemed to do the trick. Should enjoy the extra 1f now and is a great chance to break through. ALLTOGETHERNOW (1) started a move before the turn then kept finding to finish runner-up over 1 ¼m at the Bool last time out. Has had plenty of chances but is right in this if he can repeat that latest effort. CONJURER (2) made it three minor placings in a row when a well-held third over 1 ¼m at St Arnaud recently. Rock hard fit after four runs back and looks ready for another tilt at this longer journey. MOSSQUILLO (6) steps up sharply in trip but lines up for just the third time so there is plenty of scope for improvement. ALL MOONLITE (8) ran a better race last start at St Arnaud and is in the mix with a repeat of the performance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
13	Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Warrnambool on October 29 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.5 len behind Ned Kelly with 149lbs at $14. The run before that 6th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Warrnambool on October 15 over 1 ¼m, 5.5 len behind Endless Fury carrying 127lbs at $11. Can improve again. Can keep getting better as the distances get longer. 1st Pick 13 Rollin'ontheriver Jockey: Neil Farley Trainer: Symon Wilde J: Neil Farley T: Symon Wilde	100	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Warrnambool on October 29 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.5 len behind Ned Kelly with 149lbs at $14. The run before that 6th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Warrnambool on October 15 over 1 ¼m, 5.5 len behind Endless Fury carrying 127lbs at $11. Can improve again. Can keep getting better as the distances get longer.
1	Most recently 2nd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Warrnambool on October 29 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.0 len behind Ned Kelly carrying 153lbs at $10. Before that ran second last of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on October 9 over 1m, 12 len behind Devoted To You carrying 131lbs at $8. Good signs last time and can go on with it now. 2nd Pick 1 Alltogethernow Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Michael Townsend J: Teo Nugent T: Michael Townsend	106	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Warrnambool on October 29 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.0 len behind Ned Kelly carrying 153lbs at $10. Before that ran second last of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on October 9 over 1m, 12 len behind Devoted To You carrying 131lbs at $8. Good signs last time and can go on with it now.
2	Recent form sound. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at St Arnaud on October 24 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Julep with 131lbs at $4.80. The start before that 3rd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Warrnambool on October 15 over 1 ¼m, 1.75 len behind Endless Fury with 131lbs at $21. Going better than most and gets his chance to break through. 3rd Pick 2 Conjurer Jockey: Holly Durnan Trainer: Chris Calthorpe J: Holly Durnan T: Chris Calthorpe	93	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at St Arnaud on October 24 over 1 ¼m, 3 len behind Julep with 131lbs at $4.80. The start before that 3rd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Warrnambool on October 15 over 1 ¼m, 1.75 len behind Endless Fury with 131lbs at $21. Going better than most and gets his chance to break through.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.