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Resulted

AU - Hamilton - Race 2

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
22.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ABYDOS (1) stormed home at any old price to be beaten just over a length on debut over 6 ¼f at Geelong. Settled back again last start over this trip at Sale but struggled to reel them in. Meets a weaker field today and looks an excellent chance to open the account. RENTIER (8) has made a promising start to his career. Missed the placings for the first time last start but recorded by far his best rating when beaten less than a length over 6f at Swan Hill. Gets winkers on for the first time and should enjoy the extra 1f. NEVER PEGASUS (5) made it three minor placings in a row when just denied as a short-priced favourite over a similar trip to this at Naracoorte recently. Might settle off the pace this time with the blinkers removed. One of the key contenders. PIKLEMEGRANMOTHER (11) was 45-days between runs when a close fourth over 6f at the Bool last start. Big chance over the longer journey today. VAULTED (9) lines up for only the second time and can improve sharply.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Abydos silk

Having third race start. At very long odds at debut, 4th of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on October 7 over 6 ¼f, slow going 1.1 len behind Mr Natural with 131lbs at $91. Last start 7th of 12 in a 4yo+ Mdn-Sw at Sale on October 25 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind Rough Enuff carrying 131lbs at $14. This is a weaker race so he gets his chance.

1st Pick
1

Abydos

Jockey: Jett Stanley

Trainer: Colin Scott

J: Jett Stanley

T: Colin Scott

130---17%

Analysis

Having third race start. At very long odds at debut, 4th of 10 in a Mdn-Sw at Geelong on October 7 over 6 ¼f, slow going 1.1 len behind Mr Natural with 131lbs at $91. Last start 7th of 12 in a 4yo+ Mdn-Sw at Sale on October 25 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind Rough Enuff carrying 131lbs at $14. This is a weaker race so he gets his chance.

8
Rentier silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 8 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Swan Hill on October 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Celtic Spy with 128lbs at $14. The run before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Kyneton on October 8 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Lightwatch with 126lbs at $5. Genuine gelding who is expected to feature.

2nd Pick
8

Rentier

Jockey: Dean Yendall

Trainer: Lindsey Smith

J: Dean Yendall

T: Lindsey Smith

215---58%

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 8 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Swan Hill on October 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Celtic Spy with 128lbs at $14. The run before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Kyneton on October 8 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Lightwatch with 126lbs at $5. Genuine gelding who is expected to feature.

5
Never Pegasus silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 10 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Naracoorte on November 1 over 7f, head behind Shujinko carrying 128lbs at $1.80. The race before that sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 13 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Murray Bridge on October 28 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Grand Millesime carrying 128lbs at $4.60. Rarely far away and should once again be very competitive.

3rd Pick
5

Never Pegasus

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Sue & Jason Jaensch

J: Linda Meech

T: Sue & Jason Jaensch

135---15%

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 10 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Naracoorte on November 1 over 7f, head behind Shujinko carrying 128lbs at $1.80. The race before that sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 13 in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Murray Bridge on October 28 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Grand Millesime carrying 128lbs at $4.60. Rarely far away and should once again be very competitive.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.