AU - Geelong - Race 9

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

133.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

BIANCELLI (15) showed good early dash and held on well to finish a long neck second over 5f at Pakenham. She's in a top stable and has plenty of scope for improvement. A leading jockey takes over, replacing the 4lbs apprentice. Draws awkwardly, but the promising mare can step up and go one better. JENNI THE FOX (6) was outgraded at Pakenham, but her form prior stacks right up. Missed 1L at Group level three back, and she finally draws a half-decent gate. A live chance. GRACIE'S RAIN (5) was straight back into the winners' circle, winning easily from the front at Caulfield. Peaks and is sure to give a big sight. HEART OF GLASS (13) missed a whisker at Caulfield before spelling and impressed. Looked a run short first-up and has won 2/4 second-up. Has to be kept onside. MISS ICELANDIC (4) peaks and didn't have the best of it at Caulfield Heath last time. She is also going well enough to consider.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
15	Third-up today. Resuming made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Cranbourne Bm74 on November 22 over 5f, long-neck behind Gin A Tonic with 127lbs at $4.40. Second run from a spell sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Pakenham Bm74 on December 13 over 5f, long-neck behind Manolo Bling carrying 123lbs at $2.30. Profiles nicely. Big chance. 1st Pick 15 Biancelli Jockey: Ethan Brown Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Ethan Brown T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	155	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Cranbourne Bm74 on November 22 over 5f, long-neck behind Gin A Tonic with 127lbs at $4.40. Second run from a spell sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Pakenham Bm74 on December 13 over 5f, long-neck behind Manolo Bling carrying 123lbs at $2.30. Profiles nicely. Big chance.
6	Most recently 12th of 14 at Pakenham Supernova on December 13 over 7f, 5 len behind Warnie with 121lbs at $51. The race before that 4th of 14 at Cranbourne Meteorite on November 22 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Jigsaw with 121lbs at $91. Key runner who will be right in it. 2nd Pick 6 Jenni The Fox Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Lucy Yeomans J: Thomas Stockdale T: Lucy Yeomans	159	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Most recently 12th of 14 at Pakenham Supernova on December 13 over 7f, 5 len behind Warnie with 121lbs at $51. The race before that 4th of 14 at Cranbourne Meteorite on November 22 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Jigsaw with 121lbs at $91. Key runner who will be right in it.
5	Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, won by 2.5 len at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm78 December 20 over 6f defeating Quiseen carrying 127lbs at $3.10. The run before that 4th of 8 at Ballarat F&M Bm78 on December 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Swiftie Harriet with 127lbs at $4.60. Can go on with it. 3rd Pick 5 Gracie's Rain Jockey: Koby Jennings Trainer: Michael Huglin J: Koby Jennings T: Michael Huglin	120	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, won by 2.5 len at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm78 December 20 over 6f defeating Quiseen carrying 127lbs at $3.10. The run before that 4th of 8 at Ballarat F&M Bm78 on December 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Swiftie Harriet with 127lbs at $4.60. Can go on with it.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.