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6:30 AM

AU - Geelong - Race 8

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
8.6f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
24.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Open one to finish. COVERT THINKING (4) put in a much better run last start stepping up to 1 ³/16m at Canterbury, running on well in a BM72 to grab second. She's a consistent sort of mare who looks well placed this level. Stablemate OMNIC (3) will be one of the hardest to beat. He won two on the bounce then just found one better here last time in a similar race. He'll be up on speed and hard to run down. DENY ENTRY (8) is another lightly raced type who stuck on well behind an all the way winner with strong 3yo form at Sandown lakeside. Fitter again and has strong claims. QUEENSBURY (7) is consistent with four minor placings in a row, he maps well and should be right there again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Covert Thinking silk

At the latest run 2nd of 7 at Canterbury on July 22 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 0.6 len behind Velaris with 120lbs at $5. Before that got back early 7th of 9 at Canterbury on July 8 over 7 ¾f, on a wet track, 7 len behind Let's Fly with 129lbs at $12. Brings solid form down and can win this.

1st Pick
4

Covert Thinking

Jockey: Zac Moore

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Zac Moore

T: Ciaron Maher

189---17%5/1

Analysis

At the latest run 2nd of 7 at Canterbury on July 22 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 0.6 len behind Velaris with 120lbs at $5. Before that got back early 7th of 9 at Canterbury on July 8 over 7 ¾f, on a wet track, 7 len behind Let's Fly with 129lbs at $12. Brings solid form down and can win this.

3
Omnic silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 13 at this track on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Charming Deel with 131lbs at $3.70. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a head at Bendigo on July 5 over 7 ½f on a heavy track defeating Ataegina carrying 121lbs at $2.50. Racing well and will be hard to catch.

2nd Pick
3

Omnic

Jockey: Jabez Johnstone

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Jabez Johnstone

T: Ciaron Maher

210---19%9/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 13 at this track on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Charming Deel with 131lbs at $3.70. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a head at Bendigo on July 5 over 7 ½f on a heavy track defeating Ataegina carrying 121lbs at $2.50. Racing well and will be hard to catch.

10
Hotei Senshi silk

Third-up today. Resuming sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at Bendigo on July 5 over 6 ½f, on rain affected going, nose behind Magnetic Chess carrying 133lbs at $5. Last start 7th of 11 at Caulfield on July 25 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Lauberhorn carrying 114lbs at $16. Can improve. Expect he can make amends.

3rd Pick
10

Hotei Senshi

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Luke Oliver

J: Non Runner

T: Luke Oliver

102---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at Bendigo on July 5 over 6 ½f, on rain affected going, nose behind Magnetic Chess carrying 133lbs at $5. Last start 7th of 11 at Caulfield on July 25 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Lauberhorn carrying 114lbs at $16. Can improve. Expect he can make amends.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.