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6:25 AM

AU - Geelong - Race 8

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6.5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
24.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BATTLE OF THE ICE (6) resumes. He's a lightly raced 4yo who only had one run last time in work when third in a good form race at Mornington, a winner on debut prior to that. He's been jumping out nicely and looks ready to go first up. MR BLUNT (3) struggled first up at Caulfield Heath, his first run on turf having bolted in with two synthetic track wins last time in. Want to see him again now but he can improve quickly. SUSSEX DUCHESS (8) is racing in fine form of late, not all that far away in a stronger affair last time and that form has stood up well through Torsheen. Big chance. STREET CONQUEROR (5) is consistent and an each-way hope again while DOBKINS (7) is progressive and can measure up.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Battle Of The Ice silk

Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation 3rd of 7 at Mornington Bm66 on November 2 over 6f, 3 len behind Recon carrying 129lbs at $7.50. Won previous preparation first up won by 1.75 len at Kyneton Mdn-Sw May 8 over 6f in soft going defeating Larkin carrying 131lbs at $5.50. Finished sixth in a Cranbourne jump-out on March 23. Has upside and can win this fresh.

1st Pick
6

Battle Of The Ice

Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf

Trainer: Lloyd Kennewell

J: Lachlan Neindorf

T: Lloyd Kennewell

86---27%11/4

Analysis

Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation 3rd of 7 at Mornington Bm66 on November 2 over 6f, 3 len behind Recon carrying 129lbs at $7.50. Won previous preparation first up won by 1.75 len at Kyneton Mdn-Sw May 8 over 6f in soft going defeating Larkin carrying 131lbs at $5.50. Finished sixth in a Cranbourne jump-out on March 23. Has upside and can win this fresh.

3
Mr Blunt silk

Second-up. First-up after eight months 6th of 8 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 on March 18 over 6f, 3 len behind Eternal carrying 133lbs at $2.35. Previously second-up favourite, scored a big 4 len win at Ballarat Synthetic Bm64 July 22 over 6f defeating Nordic carrying 131lbs at $1.10. Better than the fresh run, can improve.

2nd Pick
3

Mr Blunt

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

J: Non Runner

T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

143---20%4/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after eight months 6th of 8 at Caulfield Heath Bm66 on March 18 over 6f, 3 len behind Eternal carrying 133lbs at $2.35. Previously second-up favourite, scored a big 4 len win at Ballarat Synthetic Bm64 July 22 over 6f defeating Nordic carrying 131lbs at $1.10. Better than the fresh run, can improve.

8
Sussex Duchess silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th in a small field at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm70 on March 4 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Torsheen with 127lbs at $7. The start before that came from midfield and won by a head at Seymour F&M Bm62 February 20 over 6f defeating Lujaego with 131lbs at $3. Well placed. Going well and has winning claims.

3rd Pick
8

Sussex Duchess

Jockey: Craig Williams

Trainer: Andrew Noblet

J: Craig Williams

T: Andrew Noblet

154---13%7/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th in a small field at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm70 on March 4 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Torsheen with 127lbs at $7. The start before that came from midfield and won by a head at Seymour F&M Bm62 February 20 over 6f defeating Lujaego with 131lbs at $3. Well placed. Going well and has winning claims.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

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A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.