AU - Geelong - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

25.8K

VIEW

Verdict

SEETHRU (10) is off a let up for this but looks well placed. His past two runs read well for this, beaten a nose two back at Sandown Hillside before starting $3.40 behind Zambardo over 1 ?m, finishing second. That horse has since run 2nd to Via Sistina. Seethru finds a winnable race here and can break through. FIASCO TESS (1) was okay fresh at Pakenham over 6f with the big weight. The ground was heavy that night and she should be much fitter for the rise in trip. Her best is good enough. LEG DRIVE (3) is coming off a narrow win over this route last time out in BM62 grade. Bit more depth here but he maps ideally and can win again. FIGLIO D'ARGENTO (4) ran well fresh in better grade and is much better suited at this trip. He'll need a good ride from the draw but can win. SMOKE 'N' OAKUM (11) is third up off a dominant win last time, respecting.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 56-day let-up. At the latest run rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 9 at Sandown-Hillside Bm66 on October 1 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Zambardo carrying 122lbs at $3.40. The run before that crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 12 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 on September 10 over 1m, nose behind Flying Valley with 117lbs at $31. Progressing well. Has strong claims. 1st Pick 10 Seethru Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Josh Cartwright J: Will Gordon T: Josh Cartwright	89	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 56-day let-up. At the latest run rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 9 at Sandown-Hillside Bm66 on October 1 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Zambardo carrying 122lbs at $3.40. The run before that crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 12 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 on September 10 over 1m, nose behind Flying Valley with 117lbs at $31. Progressing well. Has strong claims.
1	Second run back. First-up after four months 5th of 8 at Pakenham F&M Bm66 on November 7 over 6f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Reina Isabella with 136lbs at $11. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm84 on February 1 over 7f, 2 len behind Name Dropper carrying 119lbs at $71. Likely improver. 2nd Pick 1 Fiasco Tess Jockey: Emily Pozman Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Emily Pozman T: Matt Laurie	119	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months 5th of 8 at Pakenham F&M Bm66 on November 7 over 6f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Reina Isabella with 136lbs at $11. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm84 on February 1 over 7f, 2 len behind Name Dropper carrying 119lbs at $71. Likely improver.
3	Third-up today. Resuming 6th of 12 at Cranbourne Bm66 on October 31 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Miss Playlounge carrying 128lbs at $20. Second-up won by a neck at this track Bm62 November 14 over 7 ½f defeating Tatsu with 132lbs at $5.50. Racing well. Top prospects. 3rd Pick 3 Leg Drive Jockey: Patrick Moloney Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Patrick Moloney T: Matt Laurie	135	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 6th of 12 at Cranbourne Bm66 on October 31 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Miss Playlounge carrying 128lbs at $20. Second-up won by a neck at this track Bm62 November 14 over 7 ½f defeating Tatsu with 132lbs at $5.50. Racing well. Top prospects.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.