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6:15 AM

AU - Geelong - Race 8

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
15.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TALKIN' ITALIAN (1) has to lug the big weight here but deserves it, having bolted in second up over this track and trip in a BM62, scoring by 3.5 lengths. Now comes back in grade, hence the impost, but a repeat effort should see him very hard to beat again. AQUA STORM (10) won a Coleraine highweight race last time out as a very short favourite. He'd been threatening prior and might be able to go on with it now. JUMPINMYCAR (9) resumes. He showed ability in four runs last time in and should be able to go on with it this time in, respecting. I SAID SO (7) was no match for the winner but ran well fresh at Bairnsdale. He can improve and rates well. SWITCH HIT (6) next best off a short let-up.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Talkin' Italian silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 3rd of 12 at this track 0 - 66 on June 19 over 6f, in the wet, 1.1 len behind Tori's Dee carrying 131lbs at $31. Second run from a spell won by 3.5 len at this track Bm62 July 10 over 6 ¼f in heavy going defeating Mrs Archibald carrying 136lbs at $11. Far too good latest and looks hard to beat again off that.

1st Pick
1

Talkin' Italian

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Josh Cartwright

J: Non Runner

T: Josh Cartwright

178---34%2/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 3rd of 12 at this track 0 - 66 on June 19 over 6f, in the wet, 1.1 len behind Tori's Dee carrying 131lbs at $31. Second run from a spell won by 3.5 len at this track Bm62 July 10 over 6 ¼f in heavy going defeating Mrs Archibald carrying 136lbs at $11. Far too good latest and looks hard to beat again off that.

10
Aqua Storm silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, won by 1.0 len at Coleraine Mdn-Hwgt July 19 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Daniel Boone carrying 153lbs at $1.65. Before that 2nd of 10 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 2 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Blazing Brook with 131lbs at $4. Will take beating again.

2nd Pick
10

Aqua Storm

Jockey: Jack Hill

Trainer: Shane Jackson

J: Jack Hill

T: Shane Jackson

131---5%20/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, won by 1.0 len at Coleraine Mdn-Hwgt July 19 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Daniel Boone carrying 153lbs at $1.65. Before that 2nd of 10 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 2 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Blazing Brook with 131lbs at $4. Will take beating again.

9
Jumpinmycar silk

Resuming. Finished off last campaign sixth of 8 at this track Bm66 January 3 over 1 ¹/16m, 9 len behind Darkbonee with 127lbs at $9. On debut fourth of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw November 7 over 6f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Motorsports with 131lbs at $31. Best form reads well, keep safe.

3rd Pick
9

Jumpinmycar

Jockey: Michael Dee

Trainer: A & J Williams

J: Michael Dee

T: A & J Williams

76---6%16/1

Analysis

Resuming. Finished off last campaign sixth of 8 at this track Bm66 January 3 over 1 ¹/16m, 9 len behind Darkbonee with 127lbs at $9. On debut fourth of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw November 7 over 6f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Motorsports with 131lbs at $31. Best form reads well, keep safe.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.