AU - Geelong - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

7.7f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

25.0K

VIEW

Verdict

STAY HUMBLE (1) has been about the money with three minor placings from four starts this campaign, the latest a solid second over 7f at Sandown-Lakeside. Will find this a touch easier and has good early toe, so he should be handy in the run. ALIEN ANGEL (7) is a lightly raced mare from France who was far from disgraced to finish 1.4 lengths away in fifth last start over 7f at Seymour after a win the run before. Looks to have plenty of upside. TRANGOOJAHRAY (3) has not won for a long while, last racing on August 8 when beaten 3.5 lengths into fourth at Caulfield Heath over 1m. Has the class to return to the winners' list. OCEAN BAY (5) returned from a spell last start with a strong win by a long neck over 6 ½f at Bendigo. Will be better for that latest run and she looms as a significant threat. DIAMOND EYE (13) was an impressive winner last start, when well-backed, and there looks to be more to come with her.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 14 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Lakeside on August 19 over 7f, slow going 1.0 len behind Celestial Zara carrying 129lbs at $8. The run before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 11 in a Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on July 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Jenni Multabella with 131lbs at $7. Bold showing expected this grade. 1st Pick 1 Stay Humble Jockey: Jabez Johnstone Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Jabez Johnstone T: Ciaron Maher	215	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 14 in a Bm66 at Sandown-Lakeside on August 19 over 7f, slow going 1.0 len behind Celestial Zara carrying 129lbs at $8. The run before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 11 in a Bm70 at Sandown-Hillside on July 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Jenni Multabella with 131lbs at $7. Bold showing expected this grade.
7	Third-up today. Resuming favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Cranbourne on July 16 over 6 ½f in heavy going defeating Marine Grade with 127lbs at $2.80. Second run from a spell 5th of 11 in a Bm66 at Seymour on August 7 over 7f, slow going 1.4 len behind Camp Cable with 123lbs at $3.10. Well placed and sure to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 7 Alien Angel Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Michael Dee T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	118	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Cranbourne on July 16 over 6 ½f in heavy going defeating Marine Grade with 127lbs at $2.80. Second run from a spell 5th of 11 in a Bm66 at Seymour on August 7 over 7f, slow going 1.4 len behind Camp Cable with 123lbs at $3.10. Well placed and sure to be in the finish.
3	Last start 4th of 11 in a F&M Bm74 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Davida carrying 126lbs at $20. The start before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 in a Bm66 at Moe on July 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Red On Red carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Further improvement is anticipated. 3rd Pick 3 Trangoojahray Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Enver Jusufovic J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Enver Jusufovic	133	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start 4th of 11 in a F&M Bm74 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Davida carrying 126lbs at $20. The start before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 in a Bm66 at Moe on July 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Red On Red carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Further improvement is anticipated.

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