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7:30 AM

AU - Geelong - Race 8

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
5.6f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
25.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

IT'S A YES (8) raced and won on Monday at Warrnambool, scoring dominantly. Quick turnaround seems unlikely but he's a good horse and if Lindsey Smith does opt to back up he'll be very hard to beat again. SUN DEVIL (4) resumes. He looked good winning his first two starts, too strong on debut at Kyneton before a Sale BM62 victory. He didn't measure up in a good 3yo race at Flemington before a break but this suits ideally fresh. SHE'S MY EX (3) was just fair fresh over 5f at Mornington, sent out favourite but racing a bit keenly. She can improve sharply with the edge knocked off. ROSANGELA (5) has won two in a row on synthetic tracks. Now to turf but she'll get good ground and run well. ARABELLA STAR (11) struggled fresh in tougher over 5f but should get a soft run here and can improve up in trip.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
It's A Yes silk

Recent form sound. Last start 2nd in a small field at Warrnambool on September 21 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Thaimor with 134lbs at $1.85. The run before that favourite, won by a long-neck in a Bm66 at this track on September 11 over 5 ½f defeating Karren with 126lbs at $5.50. Great chance to atone.

1st Pick
8

It's A Yes

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Lindsey Smith

J: Jamie Mott

T: Lindsey Smith

155---25%3/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start 2nd in a small field at Warrnambool on September 21 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Thaimor with 134lbs at $1.85. The run before that favourite, won by a long-neck in a Bm66 at this track on September 11 over 5 ½f defeating Karren with 126lbs at $5.50. Great chance to atone.

4
Sun Devil silk

Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation second last of 15 at Flemington 3yo Hcp May 16 over 6f, 12 len behind Wise Inlaw with 122lbs at $31. On debut won by 1.75 len Kyneton Mdn-Sw March 13 over 5 ½f defeating Bluey Merchant carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Has plenty of ability and can take this out.

2nd Pick
4

Sun Devil

Jockey: Damian Lane

Trainer: Danny O'brien

J: Damian Lane

T: Danny O'brien

118---10%9/1

Analysis

Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation second last of 15 at Flemington 3yo Hcp May 16 over 6f, 12 len behind Wise Inlaw with 122lbs at $31. On debut won by 1.75 len Kyneton Mdn-Sw March 13 over 5 ½f defeating Bluey Merchant carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Has plenty of ability and can take this out.

3
She's My Ex silk

Second run back. First-up after five months raced on the pace before fading 7th of 9 in a Bm62 at Mornington on September 4 over 5f, slow going 3.5 len behind Fileeta carrying 131lbs at $2.40. Previously second-up 4th of 12 in a 3yo F Hcp at Flemington on January 10 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Jenni The Ninja carrying 122lbs at $8.50. Rates highly and should improve.

3rd Pick
3

She's My Ex

Jockey: Jordan Childs

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Jordan Childs

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

118---9%11/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months raced on the pace before fading 7th of 9 in a Bm62 at Mornington on September 4 over 5f, slow going 3.5 len behind Fileeta carrying 131lbs at $2.40. Previously second-up 4th of 12 in a 3yo F Hcp at Flemington on January 10 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Jenni The Ninja carrying 122lbs at $8.50. Rates highly and should improve.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.