AU - Geelong - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.7f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

22.9K

VIEW

Verdict

CHEWING GUM (5) has been frustrating for punters this time in, placing in all four runs, three of those as runner-up and a couple when beaten under half a length as favourite. She's drawn a touch awkwardly again but comes back a notch in grade and if she holds her form she can get the job done. TSARINE (10) is lightly raced and will find this a fair bit easier than the BM70 she tackled at Caulfield Heath last time out when seventh. The fresh run was good and she's open to plenty of improvement. TASSRON (4) resumes. He got over a bit more ground last time in, winning his maiden over 7 ½f two back before a fourth here over 1 ¹/16m in a handy race. May find them a touch sharp but has the ability to be finishing strongly. ROCK THE BAR (1) resumes. He didn't fire in two runs last time in but his best would be very competitive. Watch the market for a lead. TIPSY GYPSY (9) is racing well in her first campaign and has claims again despite a wide draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 10 at this track Bm66 on November 14 over 6 ½f, 0.5 len behind Regal Tycoon carrying 126lbs at $3.20. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Ballarat Bm66 on October 14 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Roussillon carrying 126lbs at $1.65. Been a bit frustrating but this looks a very good race for her. 1st Pick 5 Chewing Gum Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Luke Currie T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	231	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 10 at this track Bm66 on November 14 over 6 ½f, 0.5 len behind Regal Tycoon carrying 126lbs at $3.20. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Ballarat Bm66 on October 14 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Roussillon carrying 126lbs at $1.65. Been a bit frustrating but this looks a very good race for her.
10	Third-up today. Resuming raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at Mornington Bm66 on October 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Shaalute carrying 125lbs at $5. Second run from a spell 7th of 10 at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm70 on November 12 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Wings Of Desire with 125lbs at $17. Capable of a better showing. Finds the right race here, should take beating. 2nd Pick 10 Tsarine Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Non Runner T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	118	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 7 at Mornington Bm66 on October 23 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Shaalute carrying 125lbs at $5. Second run from a spell 7th of 10 at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm70 on November 12 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Wings Of Desire with 125lbs at $17. Capable of a better showing. Finds the right race here, should take beating.
4	Resuming. Finished off last campaign fourth of 12 at this track 0 - 64 July 11 over 1 ¹/16m, on heavy track, 2.75 len behind Yes I Know with 130lbs at $14. On debut second of 13 at Seymour Mdn-Sw April 15 over 1m, a neck behind Gold Relay with 130lbs at $5.50. Has the ability to figure. 3rd Pick 4 Tassron Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Chris Waller J: Beau Mertens T: Chris Waller	95	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last campaign fourth of 12 at this track 0 - 64 July 11 over 1 ¹/16m, on heavy track, 2.75 len behind Yes I Know with 130lbs at $14. On debut second of 13 at Seymour Mdn-Sw April 15 over 1m, a neck behind Gold Relay with 130lbs at $5.50. Has the ability to figure.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.