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5:00 AM

AU - Geelong - Race 5

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
6.6f
Class 1
Turf
HEAVY 9
24.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Easily race of the day if they all stay in. SHAMANSARA (5) comes back in trip off a brave run at Sandown Hillside, setting up a good pace over 1m and trying hard in a narrow fourth. Was well backed there off a big maiden win and suspect they'll take a sit here and be strongest late. LYRICS 'N' SONG (3) resumes. Only one run last time in which was solid but she's shown plenty of ability having never missed the placings and has jumped out well. LOFTY THOUGHTS (1) continues to race very well, placing in all three this time in and only going down half a length as favourite at Sale last time out. Rock hard fit and maps well, consider. GODTFRED KIRK (2) is another very consistent sort, had a few chances now but certainly wouldn't shock. TSARINE (6) can do better than an even showing at Sandown Hillside.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Shamansara silk

Third race start today. At debut, won by 1.3 len at Cranbourne on July 16 over 7f in heavy going defeating Bellabama carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Second-up 4th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, in the wet, 0.9 len behind Censori carrying 126lbs at $4.20. Back in trip but profiles well.

1st Pick
5

Shamansara

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Jamie Mott

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

147---25%3/1

Analysis

Third race start today. At debut, won by 1.3 len at Cranbourne on July 16 over 7f in heavy going defeating Bellabama carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Second-up 4th of 8 at Sandown-Hillside on July 29 over 1m, in the wet, 0.9 len behind Censori carrying 126lbs at $4.20. Back in trip but profiles well.

3
Lyrics 'n' Song silk

Back from a long spell. Finished off last preparation sat on the pace when 3rd of 7 at Cranbourne on February 27 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Arlington Row with 126lbs at $5.50. When resuming last campaign 2nd of 7 at Moonee Valley on October 3 over 6f, long-neck behind Shocap carrying 126lbs at $2.15. Won a Cranbourne jump-out on August 3. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Talented mare who can win this fresh.

2nd Pick
3

Lyrics 'n' Song

Jockey: Michael Dee

Trainer: Mark Walker

J: Michael Dee

T: Mark Walker

123---35%15/8

Analysis

Back from a long spell. Finished off last preparation sat on the pace when 3rd of 7 at Cranbourne on February 27 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Arlington Row with 126lbs at $5.50. When resuming last campaign 2nd of 7 at Moonee Valley on October 3 over 6f, long-neck behind Shocap carrying 126lbs at $2.15. Won a Cranbourne jump-out on August 3. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Talented mare who can win this fresh.

1
Lofty Thoughts silk

Last start 2nd of 14 at Sale on July 26 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Princing with 133lbs at $2.45. The start before that 3rd of 11 at Sale on July 9 over 6f, on rain affected going, 1.2 len behind Mongolian City carrying 133lbs at $3. Going well and is one of the leading chances.

3rd Pick
1

Lofty Thoughts

Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf

Trainer: Alexander Rae

J: Lachlan Neindorf

T: Alexander Rae

165---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start 2nd of 14 at Sale on July 26 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Princing with 133lbs at $2.45. The start before that 3rd of 11 at Sale on July 9 over 6f, on rain affected going, 1.2 len behind Mongolian City carrying 133lbs at $3. Going well and is one of the leading chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.