AU - Geelong - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

6.2f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 7

29.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Open race. CIVIC SQUARE (4) resumes having run well enough on debut at Sandown Hillside in a strong maiden behind American Eagle. Since given time, he's trialled well and can be an improver this time around. MR NATURAL (6) was solid on debut at Moe over an unsuitable 5f having charged home on debut at Ballarat behind the smart Angelic Rise. Up in trip should suit much better now. BUREAU (3) is a Home Affairs gelding for for the Waller yard who debuts. He's jumped out well enough, betting will be key. WRITTEN VELOCITY (8) is a nicely bred Written Tycoon colt for the Waller yard who draws well and has claims, again, market is key. FLAMENCO STAR (9) is a Zousain filly for the Corstens & Larkin yard who can run well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Resuming off 12 weeks break after having had one race start. At debut last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 in a 2yo Hcp at Sandown-Hillside on July 15 over 6f, in the wet, 2.75 len behind American Eagle carrying 125lbs at $10. Had six recent trials to get fit for this. Last trial runner-up in a Cranbourne jump-out on August 31. Looks all set for a positive return. 1st Pick 4 Civic Square Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Greg Eurell J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Greg Eurell	87	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Resuming off 12 weeks break after having had one race start. At debut last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 in a 2yo Hcp at Sandown-Hillside on July 15 over 6f, in the wet, 2.75 len behind American Eagle carrying 125lbs at $10. Had six recent trials to get fit for this. Last trial runner-up in a Cranbourne jump-out on August 31. Looks all set for a positive return.
6	Second-up. Promising on debut made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 11 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on May 24 over 5f, on a slow track, neck behind Angelic Rise carrying 128lbs at $11. Went for a break before returning 4th of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Moe on September 24 over 5f, 6 len behind Roseatic carrying 128lbs at $1.90. Fitter and rates highly. 2nd Pick 6 Mr Natural Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Lindsey Smith J: Fred W Kersley T: Lindsey Smith	164	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. Promising on debut made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 11 in a 2yo Mdn-Sw at Ballarat on May 24 over 5f, on a slow track, neck behind Angelic Rise carrying 128lbs at $11. Went for a break before returning 4th of 9 in a 3yo Mdn-Sw at Moe on September 24 over 5f, 6 len behind Roseatic carrying 128lbs at $1.90. Fitter and rates highly.
3	Three-year-old gelding (Home Affairs - Lady Azamour). Chris Waller has him ready for this with five recent trials prior to his debut today. Ran 3rd in a jump-out at Flemington on September 24. Watch for a positive push but is expected to run a big race. 3rd Pick 3 Bureau Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Chris Waller J: Beau Mertens T: Chris Waller	75	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Three-year-old gelding (Home Affairs - Lady Azamour). Chris Waller has him ready for this with five recent trials prior to his debut today. Ran 3rd in a jump-out at Flemington on September 24. Watch for a positive push but is expected to run a big race.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.