AU - Geelong - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

5.5f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

100.0K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

A good race. JOB DONE (1) made it two wins on the bounce at Caulfield Heath, scoring by a head over 5 ½f in a 74, backed off the map. Will strip fitter again and benefits from Bates' handy 4lbs claim. Has a wide gate to contend with, but with average luck will be hard to beat. FARAWAY DREAM (4) is also third-up seeking the hat-trick. She is free running and was heavily bet winning a 64 handsomely at Cranbourne last time. Carries 15lbs less today, and that brings her right into it. MISS OLE (2) resumes off wins this grade at Sandown-Hillside and Flemington. She's had two jumpouts, and winning rider Ben Melham is reunited. She won't have to improve much to go close. ESMAHLI (3) bounced straight back into the winners' circle, delivering a 64 comfortably at Mornington. The outside barrier makes it tougher, but he's sure to keep improving. ROYAL RENDEZVOUS (9) is in the mix, building on his Maiden win at Werribee on debut.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today. Resuming favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.0 len at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm64 December 3 over 5f defeating Cavalry Girl carrying 131lbs at $3.60. Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a head at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm74 December 20 over 5 ½f defeating Naifah carrying 132lbs at $1.24. Can go on with it. 1st Pick 1 Job Done Jockey: Logan Bates Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Logan Bates T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	171	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.0 len at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm64 December 3 over 5f defeating Cavalry Girl carrying 131lbs at $3.60. Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a head at Caulfield Heath 3yo Bm74 December 20 over 5 ½f defeating Naifah carrying 132lbs at $1.24. Can go on with it.
4	Yet to taste defeat in two starts. When well in the market on debut, favourite, scored a big 5.5 len win at Ballarat Mdn-Sw November 20 over 5f defeating Pull My Finger with 123lbs at $2.80. Last start favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at Cranbourne 3yo Bm64 December 12 over 5f defeating La Astro Chat with 128lbs at $1.65. Can't knock the form and stick with her. 2nd Pick 4 Faraway Dream Jockey: Jackson Radley Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Jackson Radley T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	140	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Yet to taste defeat in two starts. When well in the market on debut, favourite, scored a big 5.5 len win at Ballarat Mdn-Sw November 20 over 5f defeating Pull My Finger with 123lbs at $2.80. Last start favourite, came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at Cranbourne 3yo Bm64 December 12 over 5f defeating La Astro Chat with 128lbs at $1.65. Can't knock the form and stick with her.
2	Resumes from a spell. Not seen since winning won by head Flemington 2yo Hcp June 7 over 5 ½f slow track defeating Espana with 128lbs at $2. On debut fifth of 9 at Warrnambool V Gold Strike April 29 over 5f, soft track, 1.75 len behind Mrs Iglesia carrying 126lbs at $4.20. A bold return is likely. 3rd Pick 2 Miss Ole Jockey: Ben Melham Trainer: Clinton Mcdonald J: Ben Melham T: Clinton Mcdonald	158	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Resumes from a spell. Not seen since winning won by head Flemington 2yo Hcp June 7 over 5 ½f slow track defeating Espana with 128lbs at $2. On debut fifth of 9 at Warrnambool V Gold Strike April 29 over 5f, soft track, 1.75 len behind Mrs Iglesia carrying 126lbs at $4.20. A bold return is likely.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).