AU - Geelong - Race 3

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

6.1f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 9

30.1K

VIEW

Verdict

KEEN OBSERVER (6) was well backed on debut last start over 5f at Moe and finished second, beaten a head as the $2.30 favourite. The rise in trip will suit this son of Ole Kirk nicely and Shinn going on is another positive. Looks very hard to hold out. AVENGERS (2) resumed with an even run at Sale over 5f behind a handy one, finishing midfield. He should improve sharply off that and take some catching. SOMETHINGS BURNIN' (15) resumes. He showed ability last time in but does draw to get a long way back, watch the betting for a lead. ALCHEMISTIC (1) is a gelding by Shamus Award on debut for the Dabernig yard who has jumped out very well leading in, expect he gives this a shake from the inside. I AM JUSTICE (12) is a well bred I Am Invincible filly for the Maher yard who has jumped out well and has claims.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Was well-supported at debut, made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Moe on July 21 over 5f, on heavy track, head behind Regal Vanguard carrying 126lbs at $2.30. Expected to improve quickly and take beating. 1st Pick 6 Keen Observer Jockey: Blake Shinn Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Blake Shinn T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	141	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Moe on July 21 over 5f, on heavy track, head behind Regal Vanguard carrying 126lbs at $2.30. Expected to improve quickly and take beating.
2	Third race start. Promising on debut tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Canterbury on February 27 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.75 len behind Forest King with 126lbs at $9. Returned from break 6th of 10 at Sale on July 26 over 5f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Organised Crime carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Plenty of improvement to come through a handy race. 2nd Pick 2 Avengers Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Jamie Mott T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	96	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Third race start. Promising on debut tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Canterbury on February 27 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.75 len behind Forest King with 126lbs at $9. Returned from break 6th of 10 at Sale on July 26 over 5f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Organised Crime carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Plenty of improvement to come through a handy race.
15	Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation 11th of 13 at Rosehill in the G3 Baillieu March 28 over 7f, soft track, 9 len behind Southend with 122lbs at $41. On debut third of 9 at Newcastle Paul Perry March 6 over 6 ½f, 1.2 len behind Southend carrying 126lbs at $4.40. Has ability, watch for him late. 3rd Pick 15 Somethings Burnin' Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Chris Waller J: Fred W Kersley T: Chris Waller	78	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation 11th of 13 at Rosehill in the G3 Baillieu March 28 over 7f, soft track, 9 len behind Southend with 122lbs at $41. On debut third of 9 at Newcastle Paul Perry March 6 over 6 ½f, 1.2 len behind Southend carrying 126lbs at $4.40. Has ability, watch for him late.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.