AU - Geelong - Race 2

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

7.1f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 9

30.1K

VIEW

Verdict

SAINT FOX (9) ran a strong race on debut here over 6f when boxing on gamely despite being a bit tight for room late, finishing third with improvement to come. The rise in trip should suit this son of Frankel much better and he'll be very hard to beat for strong connections. TALKIN' STERN (5) resumed with a good run at Sale over this trip, pulling up with excuses despite a solid fourth. Fitter and drawn well, he should take holding out. DIESEL DESMOND (1) resumes. Two runs in his maiden campaign were sound, D Lane booked here is a good lead and he should run a forward race. JUST LIKE JAGGER (3) has just found one better in both starts and did go around $1.50 at Mildura, he'll take holding out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 13 at this track on July 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Royal Duck with 126lbs at $3.60. Better for that experience and looks very hard to beat. 1st Pick 9 Saint Fox Jockey: Jordan Childs Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Jordan Childs T: Grahame Begg	163	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 13 at this track on July 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Royal Duck with 126lbs at $3.60. Better for that experience and looks very hard to beat.
5	Second-up. First-up after five months 4th of 10 at Sale on July 26 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Coronationhercules carrying 131lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up 2nd of 12 at Pakenham on February 19 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Light Moves with 130lbs at $6. Fitter and drawn ideally, go close. 2nd Pick 5 Talkin' Stern Jockey: John Allen Trainer: Gavin Bedggood J: John Allen T: Gavin Bedggood	176	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months 4th of 10 at Sale on July 26 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Coronationhercules carrying 131lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up 2nd of 12 at Pakenham on February 19 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Light Moves with 130lbs at $6. Fitter and drawn ideally, go close.
1	Resuming. Finished off last preparation fifth of 12 at Donald Mdn-Sw September 13 over 6 ¾f, 4 len behind Bangalow Road with 131lbs at $9.50. On debut sixth of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw August 22 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind Menshevik with 131lbs at $4. Can run well fresh. 3rd Pick 1 Diesel Desmond Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Mitchell Freedman J: Damian Lane T: Mitchell Freedman	110	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation fifth of 12 at Donald Mdn-Sw September 13 over 6 ¾f, 4 len behind Bangalow Road with 131lbs at $9.50. On debut sixth of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw August 22 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind Menshevik with 131lbs at $4. Can run well fresh.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.