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2:55 AM

AU - Geelong - Race 2

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
7.7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
22.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NO NO NO NO NO (4) was heavily-supported when a $1.50 fav last start at Werribee and while seemingly having his chance, he wasn't beaten far. That was an improved effort on the debut and with that further experience, he gets the chance to go one better here, especially with the blinkers going on. Another wearing blinkers for the first time is FALSTAFFIAN (2), who didn't do a great deal to inspire confidence in three runs in the debut prep but has put together two impressive jumpouts of late. He's gone forward in each, so he might give a sight on-speed. HYDROTHERMAL (8) started fav on debut and while beaten 3.3 lengths, it was by a horse who ran 4th in a G1 in Adelaide last Saturday, so it might be a handy maiden. Fitter now, extra trip suits and gets Linda Meech. Bit of a gap to the rest, the best of whom might be THE MAILER (5), who should be ready to fire after three runs back and REEL RAIDER (6) who can improve out in trip.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
No No No No No silk

Had two starts to date. At debut, 4th of 8 at Ararat 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 30 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Miss Ellaneous with 128lbs at $11. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on April 11 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Galant Knight carrying 130lbs at $1.50. Capable of a better showing. Blinkers on and great chance to atone for last start.

1st Pick
4

No No No No No

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Lindsey Smith

J: Jamie Mott

T: Lindsey Smith

202---34%2/1

Analysis

Had two starts to date. At debut, 4th of 8 at Ararat 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 30 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Miss Ellaneous with 128lbs at $11. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on April 11 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Galant Knight carrying 130lbs at $1.50. Capable of a better showing. Blinkers on and great chance to atone for last start.

2
Falstaffian silk

Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Not seen since he finished last in a small field at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw November 12 over 1m, soft track, 5.5 len behind Sketch with 128lbs at $5. On debut fifth of 12 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Mdn-Sw September 24 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Obucci carrying 128lbs at $21. Didn't do a lot in the debut prep, but last two jumpouts have been good enough for a race like this.

2nd Pick
2

Falstaffian

Jockey: Jordan Childs

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Jordan Childs

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

137---27%11/4

Analysis

Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Not seen since he finished last in a small field at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw November 12 over 1m, soft track, 5.5 len behind Sketch with 128lbs at $5. On debut fifth of 12 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Mdn-Sw September 24 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Obucci carrying 128lbs at $21. Didn't do a lot in the debut prep, but last two jumpouts have been good enough for a race like this.

8
Hydrothermal silk

Was well-supported at debut, 3rd in a small field at this track 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Aragog carrying 128lbs at $2.45. Can only be better for the handy debut in a nice maiden and draws to advantage.

3rd Pick
8

Hydrothermal

Jockey: Linda Meech

Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

J: Linda Meech

T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

167---20%4/1

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, 3rd in a small field at this track 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Aragog carrying 128lbs at $2.45. Can only be better for the handy debut in a nice maiden and draws to advantage.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.