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3:00 AM

AU - Geelong - Race 1

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
6.1f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 8
30.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SOMERSAULT (8) hasn't raced since finishing 2.25 lengths back in fourth over 7f at Sandown on Jan 8. Placed in three runs at around this trip the three starts prior and has been trialling up well ahead of this. TAGAMATE (6) is close to breaking through after finishing third last start over 6f at Sandown. Ideally placed and is sure to play a pivotal role. BRADFORD (2) resumes, having finished sixth over 6f at Pakenham at the latest appearance on February 5. Fitter for two trials, placing most recently. Shapes as one to consider. CALEXPO (3) is a gelding by Mehmas who cost GNS 270,000 in the UK as a yearling. Spotting maturing to his Southern Hemisphere rivals, so might have more upside than a few of these and be better later but looks to have talent. BJORSON (1) is a local who's been trialling well and gets the all-important inside alley.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Somersault silk

Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside Mdn-Sw January 8 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Missapprehend carrying 123lbs at $15. On debut sixth of 8 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw October 29 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Cavern carrying 123lbs at $10. Looks all set for a positive return.

1st Pick
8

Somersault

Jockey: Jordan Childs

Trainer: Grahame Begg

J: Jordan Childs

T: Grahame Begg

162---39%13/8

Analysis

Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside Mdn-Sw January 8 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Missapprehend carrying 123lbs at $15. On debut sixth of 8 at Bendigo Mdn-Sw October 29 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Cavern carrying 123lbs at $10. Looks all set for a positive return.

6
Tagamate silk

Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside Mdn-Sw on June 3 over 6f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Miss Lola with 131lbs at $17. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Kilmore 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 6f, slow going 1.4 len behind Brroosha with 128lbs at $4.40. Doesn't need to improve a great deal to take this out.

2nd Pick
6

Tagamate

Jockey: Brad Rawiller

Trainer: Mark & Levi Kavanagh

J: Brad Rawiller

T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh

185---34%2/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside Mdn-Sw on June 3 over 6f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Miss Lola with 131lbs at $17. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Kilmore 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 15 over 6f, slow going 1.4 len behind Brroosha with 128lbs at $4.40. Doesn't need to improve a great deal to take this out.

2
Bradford silk

Colt back from a spell of four-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation second last of 7 at Pakenham 3yo Mdn-Sw February 5 over 6f, 6 len behind I Stand By You with 128lbs at $20. When resuming last campaign sixth of 8 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw January 16 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Savoyard with 128lbs at $14. Tested in handy maidens to date and trials this time in have been good.

3rd Pick
2

Bradford

Jockey: Zac Spain

Trainer: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black

J: Zac Spain

T: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black

90---16%11/2

Analysis

Colt back from a spell of four-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation second last of 7 at Pakenham 3yo Mdn-Sw February 5 over 6f, 6 len behind I Stand By You with 128lbs at $20. When resuming last campaign sixth of 8 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw January 16 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Savoyard with 128lbs at $14. Tested in handy maidens to date and trials this time in have been good.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.