AU - Geelong - Race 9

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

7.2f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

15.3K

VIEW

Verdict

Siding with MISS CASTELVECCHIO (2) second up off an encouraging return at Moe, well backed there and boxing on for a solid fourth from a handy position. She comes back a notch in grade now and should strip much fitter, expecting she kicks on. STEADFAST (5) resumes. She's off a year long spell but her form last time in reads very well for this. Watch the late market for the best guide to her chances. HONEY MAKER (1) can be a bit hit or miss but is up to these on best and draws well. QUEEN OF CORDOBA (8) found the heavy 10 a bit too much last time but had won well fresh at big odds and can bounce back. Wary of the resuming SEPHIA (9) who was contesting stronger races last time in, she is off a long break however and this trip will be short of her best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Second run back. First-up after six months sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Moe F&M Bm62 on June 18 over 6f, on heavy track, 3 len behind Unapproachable carrying 132lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up ran second last of 8 at Ballarat F&M Bm62 on October 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Street Lark carrying 130lbs at $2.60. Fitter for that and looks a strong hope. 1st Pick 2 Miss Castelvecchio Jockey: Emily Pozman Trainer: Charlotte Littlefield J: Emily Pozman T: Charlotte Littlefield	97	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Moe F&M Bm62 on June 18 over 6f, on heavy track, 3 len behind Unapproachable carrying 132lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up ran second last of 8 at Ballarat F&M Bm62 on October 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Street Lark carrying 130lbs at $2.60. Fitter for that and looks a strong hope.
7	Second-up. First-up after four months scored a big 4 len win at Bendigo 3yo F Mdn-Sw June 25 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Bellabama with 119lbs at $21. Previously second-up 6th of 8 at Burrumbeet Mdn-Sw on January 1 over 6 ¾f, 6 len behind Knock Of Beers with 119lbs at $3. Can go right on with it. 2nd Pick 7 Licentious Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Non Runner T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	102	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months scored a big 4 len win at Bendigo 3yo F Mdn-Sw June 25 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Bellabama with 119lbs at $21. Previously second-up 6th of 8 at Burrumbeet Mdn-Sw on January 1 over 6 ¾f, 6 len behind Knock Of Beers with 119lbs at $3. Can go right on with it.
5	Resumes. Finished off last preparation second last of 10 at Caulfield 3yo F Bm78 May 31 2025 over 1m, 9 len behind Madiyya carrying 112lbs at $16. Previously first up, fifth of 7 at Cranbourne 3yo F Mdn-Sw January 11 2025 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Magna Mak carrying 121lbs at $3. Sets up nicely here, respecting fresh. 3rd Pick 5 Steadfast Jockey: Ruby Lamont Trainer: Cindy Alderson J: Ruby Lamont T: Cindy Alderson	78	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Resumes. Finished off last preparation second last of 10 at Caulfield 3yo F Bm78 May 31 2025 over 1m, 9 len behind Madiyya carrying 112lbs at $16. Previously first up, fifth of 7 at Cranbourne 3yo F Mdn-Sw January 11 2025 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Magna Mak carrying 121lbs at $3. Sets up nicely here, respecting fresh.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.