AU - Geelong - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

8.7f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

15.3K

VIEW

Verdict

OUTDRIVE (1) presents third up in what looks a winnable race. He's the one with a bit of upside, winning well first up at Pakenham before a sound effort at Seymour up to a BM62. Comes back a notch now and the extra ¾f should suit nicely. COOL STAR (9) hasn't won in a while but did beat Outdrive home at Seymour first up (albeit at 100/1) before another sound effort over this route in tougher grade. Have to respect in the right race. ALBANIAN I AM (2) is another that hasn't won in some time but his best is certainly good enough and the quick turnaround can see him hard to beat. TREASURY PLACE (5) relished the heavy at Donald last time to score a rare victory and can run well again if conditions are similar.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Third-up today. First-up won by 0.8 len at Pakenham Mdn-Sw May 22 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Tagalaon with 131lbs at $4.20. Second run from a spell 4th of 12 at Seymour Bm62 on June 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Zentorno with 131lbs at $4.20. Racing well. Useful type and can make amends. 1st Pick 1 Outdrive Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Kelvin Southey J: Jamie Mott T: Kelvin Southey	124	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up won by 0.8 len at Pakenham Mdn-Sw May 22 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Tagalaon with 131lbs at $4.20. Second run from a spell 4th of 12 at Seymour Bm62 on June 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Zentorno with 131lbs at $4.20. Racing well. Useful type and can make amends.
9	Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 12 at Seymour Bm62 on June 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Zentorno with 123lbs at $101. Second-up 5th of 13 at this track Bm62 on June 19 over 1 ¹/16m, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Ceremonious with 123lbs at $14. Profiles nicely. Finds a nice race and is in the mix. 2nd Pick 9 Cool Star Jockey: Zac Spain Trainer: Tetyana Furdetska J: Zac Spain T: Tetyana Furdetska	113	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 12 at Seymour Bm62 on June 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Zentorno with 123lbs at $101. Second-up 5th of 13 at this track Bm62 on June 19 over 1 ¹/16m, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Ceremonious with 123lbs at $14. Profiles nicely. Finds a nice race and is in the mix.
2	At the latest run struggled in the run home, 10th of 13 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on July 1 over 1m, in the wet, 11 len behind Prestige Forever carrying 123lbs at $17. The start before that 6th of 11 at Ballarat Bm66 on June 12 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 6 len behind Amleto with 129lbs at $5.50. Suited this level. 3rd Pick 2 Albanian I Am Jockey: Neil Farley Trainer: Paul Koumis J: Neil Farley T: Paul Koumis	181	-	-	-	39%
Analysis At the latest run struggled in the run home, 10th of 13 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on July 1 over 1m, in the wet, 11 len behind Prestige Forever carrying 123lbs at $17. The start before that 6th of 11 at Ballarat Bm66 on June 12 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 6 len behind Amleto with 129lbs at $5.50. Suited this level.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race