AU - Geelong - Race 6

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

24.1K

VIEW

Verdict

Keen to stick with BRUISER MURPHY (3) who ran some slick late sectionals at Pakenham in a Class 1 last start, rattling home for a narrow fifth in a handy race. The debut win prior at Moe was impressive and if he can just land midfield here he'll go mighty close. EMPIRE SONG (4) ran in a much stronger race first up and faded but had shown ability prior and can do much better here up on speed which will be key. LOVING MANDY (1) was off a short break last time at Ballarat and ran a fair race, expect she can strip fitter here and take beating. PRINCE PIENZA (5) comes off a narrow maiden at Kilmore, the well bred colt might be able to go on with it now.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Lining up for just third start. When well in the market at debut, came from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Moe Mdn-Sw February 22 over 5f defeating Tillya Tepe carrying 130lbs at $1.80. Second-up got back early 5th of 9 at Pakenham Cl1 on March 12 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Perfect Picture carrying 132lbs at $15. Got home well last start and rates highly here. 1st Pick 3 Bruiser Murphy Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf Trainer: Charlotte Littlefield J: Lachlan Neindorf T: Charlotte Littlefield	161	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Lining up for just third start. When well in the market at debut, came from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Moe Mdn-Sw February 22 over 5f defeating Tillya Tepe carrying 130lbs at $1.80. Second-up got back early 5th of 9 at Pakenham Cl1 on March 12 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Perfect Picture carrying 132lbs at $15. Got home well last start and rates highly here.
6	Second-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 11 at Yarra Valley Bm62 on March 15 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Not Surprised carrying 131lbs at $3.20. Previously second-up favourite, won by a nose at Ballarat 3yo Mdn-Sw October 14 over 5f on a soft track defeating Motorsports carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Winning chance with that run under the belt. 2nd Pick 6 That'smoneybrother Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Matt Laurie J: Non Runner T: Matt Laurie	168	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 11 at Yarra Valley Bm62 on March 15 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Not Surprised carrying 131lbs at $3.20. Previously second-up favourite, won by a nose at Ballarat 3yo Mdn-Sw October 14 over 5f on a soft track defeating Motorsports carrying 128lbs at $5.50. Winning chance with that run under the belt.
4	Racing second-up today. Last outing sat behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 10 at Caulfield Vgold Dash on March 14 over 6f, 5 len behind Nostra Bella with 123lbs at $16. At only start last preparation tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a neck at Yarra Valley 3yo Mdn-Sw October 25 over 5f defeating Tallingas Immortal with 128lbs at $3.90. Can improve sharply into this. 3rd Pick 4 Empire Song Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Craig Williams T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	158	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Racing second-up today. Last outing sat behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 10 at Caulfield Vgold Dash on March 14 over 6f, 5 len behind Nostra Bella with 123lbs at $16. At only start last preparation tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a neck at Yarra Valley 3yo Mdn-Sw October 25 over 5f defeating Tallingas Immortal with 128lbs at $3.90. Can improve sharply into this.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.