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5:30 AM

AU - Geelong - Race 6

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
5.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
25.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KARREN (10) resumes. She was a $21 chance on debut at Sandown Lakeside but proved too good and the form has worked out a treat. She beat Sass Appeal there who is since a G2 winner and this looks a very winnable race first up off a solid trial. MOONRAKER (3) has just found one better at her past three starts, working home well behind in form mares at her past couple at Warrnambool. It'll be much firmer ground here but he should be right there again. BINE (5) doesn't win out of turn but put in a good effort when last seen to grab second at Bendigo. She's got the ability to be be figuring here. FARAWAY DREAM (7) didn't appear to handle the synthetic last time but was close up in town prior and can bounce back strongly.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Karren silk

Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when won by 0.5 len in a 3yo F Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Lakeside on December 10 over 6f defeating Sass Appeal carrying 126lbs at $21. Form reads very well, the one to beat.

1st Pick
10

Karren

Jockey: Lachlan Neindorf

Trainer: Lloyd Kennewell

J: Lachlan Neindorf

T: Lloyd Kennewell

99---58%8/11

Analysis

Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when won by 0.5 len in a 3yo F Mdn-Sw at Sandown-Lakeside on December 10 over 6f defeating Sass Appeal carrying 126lbs at $21. Form reads very well, the one to beat.

11
Simply Steffi silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last preparation fifth of 8 at Flemington in the G3 Ottawa March 7 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Medicinal carrying 123lbs at $10. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.3 len Cranbourne 2yo Hcp February 20 over 5f defeating Handee with 126lbs at $2.70. Expected to feature.

2nd Pick
11

Simply Steffi

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Clinton Mcdonald

J: Non Runner

T: Clinton Mcdonald

126---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last preparation fifth of 8 at Flemington in the G3 Ottawa March 7 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Medicinal carrying 123lbs at $10. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.3 len Cranbourne 2yo Hcp February 20 over 5f defeating Handee with 126lbs at $2.70. Expected to feature.

3
Moonraker silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on August 20 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Cinnamon Kiss with 134lbs at $3.70. The race before that 2nd of 10 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on July 23 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Queen Christine carrying 134lbs at $6. Will take beating again.

3rd Pick
3

Moonraker

Jockey: Ben Allen

Trainer: Daniel Bowman

J: Ben Allen

T: Daniel Bowman

91---10%9/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on August 20 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Cinnamon Kiss with 134lbs at $3.70. The race before that 2nd of 10 in a Bm62 at Warrnambool on July 23 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Queen Christine carrying 134lbs at $6. Will take beating again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.