AU - Geelong - Race 4

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

6.2f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

18.7K

VIEW

Verdict

Looks a nice race for POKER (4) second up. He's a lightly raced colt who ran a solid race first up at Flemington against good 3yo opposition. He's got plenty of upside coming back in grade for this and should be very hard to run down around a bend. Wary of YUKI (5) who won convincingly on debut at Ballarat when kept safe in betting, coming away to score by 1.5 lengths. Plenty more to come from this Frosted gelding and he can win again. DYNAMITE DANCER (6) was beaten first up at Ballarat Synthetic but was well backed there and tried hard up on speed with improvement to come. He profiles nicely and should take beating with added fitness. UPOLU (8) broke through for a handy maiden win over Blue Shield last start and that form should hold up fairly well, respecting.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Second-up. Strong on debut raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at Bendigo Mdn-Sw September 7 over 5 ½f on a heavy track defeating Gunz with 126lbs at $4.80. Went for a spell before racing on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at Flemington 3yo Hcp on June 20 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind I'mateez carrying 117lbs at $8. Better for that and profiles very well. 1st Pick 4 Poker Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Jamie Mott T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	113	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Second-up. Strong on debut raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at Bendigo Mdn-Sw September 7 over 5 ½f on a heavy track defeating Gunz with 126lbs at $4.80. Went for a spell before racing on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at Flemington 3yo Hcp on June 20 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind I'mateez carrying 117lbs at $8. Better for that and profiles very well.
5	Was well in the market at debut, won ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Ballarat Mdn-Sw June 12 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Iberian Lynx with 131lbs at $4.80. Can go right on with the job now. 2nd Pick 5 Yuki Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Thomas Stockdale T: Ciaron Maher	118	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Was well in the market at debut, won ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Ballarat Mdn-Sw June 12 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Iberian Lynx with 131lbs at $4.80. Can go right on with the job now.
3	Second run back. First-up after five months settled well back, won by a long-neck at Ballarat Synthetic 3yo Bm64 June 24 over 6f defeating Dynamite Dancer with 129lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up won by a long-neck at Wangaratta Bm56 December 22 over 5f in soft going defeating Turnaquid with 131lbs at $3.70. Has come back well and can measure up again. 3rd Pick 3 Audio Pop Cam Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Non Runner T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	158	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months settled well back, won by a long-neck at Ballarat Synthetic 3yo Bm64 June 24 over 6f defeating Dynamite Dancer with 129lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up won by a long-neck at Wangaratta Bm56 December 22 over 5f in soft going defeating Turnaquid with 131lbs at $3.70. Has come back well and can measure up again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.