AU - Geelong - Race 2

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

8.4f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

30.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ABAYA (12) made her debut at Sale and caught the eye with a strong finish in a fast-run race, finishing third to Cignetti who was well backed and a luckless second last Saturday. She looks a staying type who could be on an Oaks path so up to 1 ¹/16m should be perfect. ROCKZINO (8) has finished third in all three runs to date, not beaten all that far here last time over 7 ¾f. Gets every hope up on speed from the inside and will give a huge sight. VESPASIAN (5) has placed in his past couple, a narrow third over this route two back reading well. He can land handy and take some catching. UNOYASELF (4) is knocking on the door as well, albeit in slightly easier maidens and wouldn't shock.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
12	At debut, 3rd of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Sale on August 21 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Cignetti carrying 121lbs at $6.50. Shows ability and expected to improve. Nice debut and will take holding out. 1st Pick 12 Abaya Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman J: Jye Mcneil T: Anthony & Sam Freedman	112	-	-	-	34%
Analysis At debut, 3rd of 14 in a Mdn-Sw at Sale on August 21 over 7f, slow going 5.5 len behind Cignetti carrying 121lbs at $6.50. Shows ability and expected to improve. Nice debut and will take holding out.
8	At the latest run raced on the pace when 3rd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 28 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Arashi Flash carrying 127lbs at $5. Before that 3rd in a small field in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on August 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Valda Warrior with 127lbs at $1.40. Shows ability and is expected to go close from the inside gate. 2nd Pick 8 Rockzino Jockey: Jordan Childs Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Jordan Childs T: Grahame Begg	147	-	-	-	39%
Analysis At the latest run raced on the pace when 3rd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 28 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Arashi Flash carrying 127lbs at $5. Before that 3rd in a small field in a Mdn-Sw at Bendigo on August 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Valda Warrior with 127lbs at $1.40. Shows ability and is expected to go close from the inside gate.
5	Recent form sound. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on August 24 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Hit Squad with 131lbs at $8.50. Before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 0.8 len behind Frank Whisper with 131lbs at $4.60. Should take catching. 3rd Pick 5 Vespasian Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Michael Dee T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	148	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Pakenham Synthetic on August 24 over 1m, 1.3 len behind Hit Squad with 131lbs at $8.50. Before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 13 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on July 31 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 0.8 len behind Frank Whisper with 131lbs at $4.60. Should take catching.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.